#64 – The Memorandum of Misunderstanding: What Negotiators Can Learn From Trump's Failed Iran Deal
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On the evening of June 17th, 2026, between courses of a state dinner at Versailles, President Trump signed a memorandum of understanding meant to end the war with Iran. But shortly after, the shooting started again, leading commentator Mike Baker to aptly dub the document a "Memorandum of Misunderstanding." It's easy to read this situation as a verdict on one man's dealmaking... but there's something else in there for the rest of us.
This week on S4N, Gene works through the collapse as a negotiator, not a pundit, because the mistakes that sank the memorandum aren't really about Trump, or Iran, or a dinner in France. They're the same ones any of us makes — misreading strength, chasing the wrong leverage, and signing our name to something we only hope will hold. Which leaves the question that actually matters to you: if the most powerful country on earth can sign a deal and watch it fall apart almost immediately, how can YOU keep your next deal from going the same way?
You've felt versions of this. The person who threatens to walk away but wants the deal just as badly as you do. The agreement you rush to sign just to keep things moving — until the piece you left for "later" is the piece that comes back to bite you. The person who was never in the room but can kill the whole thing with one email. They're all the same mistakes, just with smaller stakes. This episode helps you see the next one coming.
Remember: negotiation is life.
Mentioned in this episode:
- The Art of War by Sun Tzu
- Mike Baker's President's Daily Brief podcast