Your fantasy record might be lying to you.

After three weeks, a 3-0 team can be in trouble — and an 0-3 team might be much closer to a championship run than it feels.

So instead of guessing, we pulled data from 1,374 fantasy football leagues and built 8 different team profiles based on:

🏈 How strong your team actually is
💰 How much FAAB you have left
📈 Where you rank in points scored
🍀 How much your record has been helped — or hurt — by luck

Then we looked at what teams in each situation actually did next.

Should you keep spending FAAB?
Should you slow down?
Should you start trading?
Should you stop touching a good roster just because you're 0-3?

Some of the results were pretty wild.

Unlucky high-scoring teams that continued bidding won 5x as many titles as the teams that stopped.

Strong teams with FAAB were better off continuing to attack the waiver wire.

And some teams with great records actually had one of the WORST championship rates in the entire dataset.

We also get into one of Arlen's favorite underused strategies: trading for FAAB and effectively rebuilding your waiver budget during the season.

Find your profile. Be honest about what kind of team you actually have. Then play the rest of the season accordingly.

👇 Tell us which of the 8 profiles your team falls into.

And if you've found something that works when you're 0-3, sitting on a pile of FAAB, or desperately trying to save a bad roster — drop it in the comments. We respond to every one.

CHAPTERS
00:00 Your Record Doesn't Tell the Whole Story
03:45 The 8 Fantasy Team Profiles
05:50 How We Ranked 1,374 Teams
09:45 What Last Year's Champions Looked Like
11:45 Strong Teams: Keep Spending or Save FAAB?
14:25 Unlucky Teams: Don't Panic at 0-3
18:05 Lucky Teams: Your Record May Be a Mirage
21:50 Middle Teams: Waivers vs. Trades
24:40 Weak Teams: It's Time to Get Aggressive
27:25 The FAAB Trade Strategy Nobody Uses
31:05 5 Fantasy Football Myths the Data Killed
34:25 Find Your Profile & Make Your Move

#FantasyFootball #FAAB #WaiverWire