『015 - The Road Who Wouldn't Be』のカバーアート

015 - The Road Who Wouldn't Be

015 - The Road Who Wouldn't Be

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What happens to a road made of ice when the winter turns warm and the customers who pay for it start to disappear? Every winter for more than four decades, crews have built the Tibbitt to Contwoyto Winter Road from scratch, roughly 400 kilometres north from Tibbitt Lake, east of Yellowknife, about 85 per cent of it across frozen lakes. In eight to ten weeks, the trucks carry a year's worth of diesel, explosives, tires, food and heavy equipment to the Northwest Territories' diamond mines. Building it costs 20 million dollars or more a season, and the mines have paid because flying the same freight costs more. This fall, the equatorial Pacific is warming fast. Forecasters give better than 90 per cent odds of a very strong El Niño, and federal scientists expect a Canadian winter about two degrees warmer than normal, with the peak in December, the month the road's builders need cold the most. Canada had a rehearsal in the winter of 2023 to 2024. The ice road opened two weeks late, Banff broke a temperature record set in 1931, and the Okanagan went into spring without the snowpack it needed. Across northern Ontario, winter road seasons have shrunk from an average of 77 days to as few as 28 in some places. In Ottawa, all three federal parties debated diesel tax relief scheduled to end just as the trucks would roll north. Scientists have modelled a slow decline for the ice road, with 2°C of global warming as a possible tipping point and no viable seasons by 2080. Markets moved faster. Diavik closed in March, Ekati went into receivership, and Gahcho Kué plans to stop after 2028. On September 16, the joint venture that runs the road announced it would not build one for 2027. In this episode, we follow the ice road from Tibbit Lake, near Yellowknife, through a warm winter's forecast, a trucking company and an airline that depend on it, a Winnipeg firm proposing cargo airships to replace it, and a joint venture that calls its decision a pause, not an ending. Bibliography Local and regional outlets Cabin Radio. Winter road to diamond mines to open end of January.Cabin Radio. Climate change 'threatens viability' of winter road to mines. 2021.Cabin Radio. Air Tindi flight was working on winter road, says TSB. December 2023.Cabin Radio. NWT mines winter road on track to open February 4. January 2025.Cabin Radio. Inside Ekati's insolvency: Here's the full scale of the problem. 2026.Cabin Radio. NWT's diamond mine winter road moves into new, uncertain era. May 15, 2026.Castanet. RDNO pushing for provincial support as Greater Vernon water supply challenges continue. July 2026.CKPG Today, via The Canadian Press. Joint venture of arctic mining companies assisting plane crash victims. December 2023.Manitoba Co-operator. Should we bring back blimps to haul cargo north?. January 16, 2025.Rocky Mountain Outlook. 'Super' El Niño in store for Bow Valley and what that means for ski bums awaiting winter runs. August 21, 2026.Rocky Mountain Outlook. Banff breaks two temperature records. January 2024.Vernon Matters. Above normal temperatures, limited precipitation recorded locally so far this winter. December 28, 2023.Western Producer. VIDEO: Super El Niño in full swing weather and crops analyst says. July 2026.yourkenora.ca. Nishnawbe Aski Nation welcomes additional funding for winter roads. Trade and industry press Mining.com, via Reuters. Canada's mild winter disrupts key ice road to remote Arctic diamond mines. April 2, 2024.Rapaport. Ekati Deposit to Close as Buyers Fail to Step Up. 2026. Government and regulatory sources Environment Canada, Pacific and Yukon Region. Effect of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on British Columbia and Yukon winter weather. Bill Taylor. Report 98-02. March 1998.PricewaterhouseCoopers Inc., Receiver. Arctic Canadian Diamond Company Ltd., and Burgundy Diamonds (Canada) Limited: Status of File. September 15, 2026. Peer-reviewed research Mullan, D. J., I. D. Barr, R. P. Flood, J. M. Galloway, A. M. W. Newton, and G. T. Swindles. Examining the Viability of the World's Busiest Winter Road to Climate Change Using a Process-Based Lake Model. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 102, no. 7 (2021): E1464 to E1480.Shabbar, Amir, Barrie Bonsal, and Madhav Khandekar. Canadian Precipitation Patterns Associated with the Southern Oscillation. Journal of Climate 10 (1997): 3016 to 3027.Song, Jerry, Sarah Sparrow, and David Wallom. The impact of climate change on a large industrial winter road operation in Northern Canada. Cold Regions Science and Technology 248 (2026): 104952. Polling Leger, via The Canadian Press. More Canadians now report being affected by extreme weather, poll suggests. June 17, 2026. Additional figures via CJME. Prediction markets Kalshi. Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?. Prices observed via the SimpleFunctions aggregator on June 8 and October 7, 2026. Federal party materials House of Commons, Hansard #141. Debate on Bill C-38, Canadian Fuel ...
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