Ed Hoskins: “Weather-Dependent “Renewables” | Tom Nelson Pod #435
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Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy.
00:00 Renewables Reality Check
02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010
05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup
08:42 Wind Drought Case Study
11:43 Storage Costs And Scale
13:25 Energy Return On Investment
16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown
17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass
21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl
25:01 Build Times And Lifespans
29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity
41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions
46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns
49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China
56:06 Wrap Up And Resources
About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/
https://edhoskins.substack.com/
CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1