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Why the 3-Month Yield Is Sticky Above the Fed Funds Rate

Why the 3-Month Yield Is Sticky Above the Fed Funds Rate

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The 3-month Treasury yield has been stubbornly sitting above the Fed funds rate for months, and it's not just a technical glitch. In this episode, Lucas and Luna dig into why short-term rates are breaking from the central bank's target, what it says about liquidity in the repo market, and how the Fed's interest on reserve balances is losing its grip. With the 3-month yield at 3.84% and the Fed funds rate flat at 3.63%, the gap is signaling that the plumbing of money markets is under stress. Using fresh data from July 2026, they walk through the role of Treasury bill supply, money market fund flows, and the Fed's reverse repo facility. If you've been wondering why the yield curve's short end feels broken, this one's for you. #3MonthTreasury #FedFundsRate #YieldCurve #MoneyMarkets #RepoMarket #Liquidity #TreasuryBills #ReverseRepo #IOER #MoneyMarketFunds #BondMarket #FixedIncome #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics #CentralBanking #LiquidityCrisis #ShortTermRates Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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