Why Long-Term Unemployment Is a Hidden Fiscal Time Bomb

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Why Long-Term Unemployment Is a Hidden Fiscal Time Bomb

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This week on The National Debt Podcast, Lucas and Luna connect two seemingly separate dots: the rising long-term unemployment rate and the accelerating national debt. With federal debt at 38.5 trillion dollars and the 30-year Treasury yield hovering near 5 percent, they explain why workers who are out of a job for more than six months aren't just a labor-market problem — they're a structural fiscal problem. Lucas breaks down the math: how long-term joblessness reduces tax revenue, forces higher spending on unemployment insurance and food assistance, and ultimately widens the deficit. Luna points to the human cost — lost skills, reduced lifetime earnings, and the hidden drag on GDP. Using data from the May jobs preview and the latest Treasury yields, they argue that if long-term unemployment is surging even as headline job growth looks decent, the bond market is going to notice. The episode closes on the question no policymaker wants to answer: can we afford to ignore the long-term unemployed when the debt-to-GDP ratio is already at 122 percent? #LongTermUnemployment #NationalDebt #FederalDeficit #TreasuryYields #FiscalPolicy #EconomicRecovery #LaborMarket #BondMarket #DebtToGDP #30YearYield #JoblessRecovery #StructuralUnemployment #GovernmentSpending #TaxRevenue #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #NationalDebtPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo

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