Wheat Watch: Global Glut Grinds Prices, but US Exports Flourish
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Wheat Watch: Global Glut Grinds Prices, but US Exports Flourish
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This is your Daily Wheat Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.
Hey friends, welcome back to Daily Wheat Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. I'm Vanessa, your go-to guide for all things wheat, and today we're diving into the latest on wheat prices, global supply trends, and what it means for you.
Let's start with the numbers you care about most. According to Trading Economics, wheat hit 508.93 US dollars per bushel on December 18, up a slight 0.53 percent from yesterday, though it's been sliding about 5.18 percent over the past month. GX94 Radio reports closing prices with feed wheat at 169.58 and one red spring wheat at 245.77, up 1.96. Over in Chicago, Grainsprices.com shows the March 2026 CBOT wheat contract hovering around 5.06 to 5.07 dollars per bushel, steady but under pressure.
Why the softness? Heavy global supplies are weighing everything down. The US Department of Agriculture's December WASDE report projects world wheat supplies jumping to 1,097.8 million tons, thanks to bumper crops in Argentina at a record 25.5 million tons, Australia's third-largest harvest ever, plus rebounds in the EU and higher yields in Russia. Syngenta notes worldwide output for 2025-26 now at a record 837.8 million tonnes. Policies are adding fuel too, like Russia dropping its wheat export tax to zero and Argentina cutting duties.
On exports, USDA data shows strong US wheat sales at 712,200 metric tons last week, up 50 percent from the four-week average, with Indonesia leading buyers. Farm Futures says US commitments are up 23 percent year-over-year. Funds are mixed, per Coopfe, but ample supply from Kazakhstan and Southern Hemisphere giants keeps competition fierce.
What can you do with this, pals? If you're a farmer, watch winter wheat hardiness with warmer, drier conditions in play, and consider locking in sales amid export strength. Buyers, stock up now before potential Q1 tightness from South America. Traders, Trading Economics forecasts 528.19 by quarter's end, but 490.27 in 12 months, so stay nimble.
That's your wheat wrap-up, keeping you ahead of the curve. Thanks for tuning in, friends, subscribe for daily updates, and catch you next time on Daily Wheat Price Tracker!
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