Wheat Watch: Ample Supply Keeps Prices Low, But Demand Sparks Hope
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Wheat Watch: Ample Supply Keeps Prices Low, But Demand Sparks Hope
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This is your Daily Wheat Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.
Hey friends, welcome to another episode of Daily Wheat Price Tracker. Im Vanessa Clark, your go-to guide for all things wheat market, and today were diving into the latest on wheat prices, global supply trends, and what it means for you whether youre a farmer, trader, or just keeping an eye on your grocery bill.
Lets kick off with the current trading price. According to Grains Prices dot coms Grain Market Overview for Tuesday December sixteenth, two thousand twenty-five, March twenty-six CBOT SRW wheat is indicated around five dollars fifteen and a half cents per bushel. Thats down from Mondays close of five dollars twenty and three-quarters cents per bushel, as the market opened on a defensive note with traders weighing solid US export inspections of four hundred eighty-eight thousand metric tons against softer sales and fund selling pressure.
Why the dip? Global supplies are at record highs, putting downward pressure on prices. The US Department of Agricultures December World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates bumped wheat production up by nine million tonnes to a whopping eight hundred thirty-seven point eight million tonnes, driven by huge gains in Canada, Argentina, and the EU. Ending stocks are expected to climb to two hundred seventy-four point nine million tonnes, outpacing demand. Trading Economics reports wheat at five hundred seventeen point seven five US dollars per bushel, the lowest since October two thousand twenty-five, with record crops in Argentina, Australia, and Russia, plus policy tweaks like Russias zero export tax on wheat.
Demand is mixed but showing sparks. US Wheat Associates notes a weaker dollar and strong commercial sales offer some lift, though logistics and weather hiccups on rails are tightening things up. Chinas Sinograin auction and first Argentine wheat cargo in decades signal diversification, while Philippines led recent wheat inspections. Frances twenty twenty-six soft wheat area is up to four point five six million hectares, adding to the supply story.
For you at home or in the field, heres your takeaway: With ample supply winning, keep an eye on export competition from low-price Argentina and Black Sea risks for potential bounces. If youre buying, lock in now before January tightness; if selling, hold for demand upticks from Asia.
Thanks for tuning in, friends. Subscribe, share with your crew, and catch you next time on Daily Wheat Price Tracker for more wheat wisdom. Take care.
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