Putin wants Washington to believe he holds every card, but Glenn Corn argues he is not in the driver's seat.

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Ryan Fugit and Glenn Corn examine what Moscow may actually require to stop the war in Ukraine and how Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff should approach potential negotiations with Moscow and Kyiv.

They also discuss how the Iran war could strengthen Putin's position by diverting attention and critical PAC-3 interceptors from Ukraine, along with naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz, IRGC propaganda, Russian threats against European shipping, and the potential threat to Air Force One in Turkey.

In this episode, we cover:

• Why Glenn believes Putin is negotiating from weakness
• The military and economic pressure Washington can apply
• Ukraine's shortage of PAC-3 interceptors
• The structure of a potentially enforceable ceasefire
• Sanctions relief as a diplomatic incentive
• Territory, NATO membership, and Putin's maximalist demands
• How the Iran war diverts resources from Ukraine
• What an IRGC general revealed in a rare Western interview
• The potential Iranian threat against Air Force One
• Russian and Ukrainian battlefield losses
• What the Battle of Fort Mercer teaches about Ukrainian resistance
• The devastating earthquake in Colombia

This conversation offers a direct look at the pressure points shaping Ukraine negotiations and the danger of allowing Moscow or Tehran to manufacture an illusion of strength.

Timeline / chapters

• 00:00 What Witkoff and Kushner should tell Putin
• 00:21 Ukraine negotiations, Iran, and the episode ahead
• 00:59 Glenn prepares for the UK, Ukraine, and Ukrainian lessons
• 03:57 Drone pranks, remote pilots, and Navy Hellfires
• 07:56 What Putin actually needs to end the Ukraine war
• 11:49 Ukraine's PAC-3 shortage and Russia's ballistic campaign
• 13:14 An enforceable ceasefire and the sanctions question
• 15:36 Territory, NATO, and Putin's core demands
• 18:45 Can any agreement with Putin last?
• 21:15 Robert Gilman's release and Russian threats at sea
• 23:23 How the Iran war gives Putin leverage
• 27:55 Why US envoys need to visit Ukraine
• 29:15 Inside the IRGC's propaganda campaign
• 33:16 The potential Iranian threat to Air Force One
• 36:57 Russian support for Iran and the strategy of patience
• 38:43 The human cost of the Ukraine war
• 39:28 What Fort Mercer teaches about Ukrainian resistance
• 41:54 Colombia's election and devastating earthquake

How to find Glenn Corn

Glenn Corn is a former CIA Senior Intelligence Service officer and multi-time Chief of Station in some of the world's most difficult posts. You can find him at the Institute of World Politics (https://www.iwp.edu/faculty/glenn-corn/) or his consultancy at Great South Bay Consulting
(https://greatsouthbayinc.com/).

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