エピソード

  • Tuesday BEST BETS | Total Selectivity | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/5/26

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Total Selectivity | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/5/26
    2026/05/05
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NBA
    CLE +3

    NHL
    MIN/COL Under 6.5 -110

    MLB
    TEX +105

    Toadstool Sports Tuesday (Cinco de Mayo): Rangers ML, Wild/Avalanche Under 6.5 & Cavs +3 | Full MLB Card Breakdown

    Toad returns on Cinco de Mayo after a 1-1 day, recapping the Marlins loss and a late empty-net goal cashing Vegas. He breaks down a selective MLB slate with detailed bullpen, offense, pitching, and market notes across multiple games, including A’s/Phillies, Orioles/Marlins, Red Sox/Tigers, Blue Jays/Rays, Twins/Nationals, and more. His only official baseball play is Texas Rangers moneyline at the Yankees, citing a rest edge, deGrom’s pitching advantage, and Texas’ superior bullpen while fading a public Yankees side. In NHL, he plays Wild/Avalanche under 6.5 in Game 2 after the 9-6 outlier. He also adds an NBA play: Cavaliers +3 at Detroit, leaning on experience and regression angles, while passing on the other NBA matchup.

    00:00 Hold On Cold Open
    01:27 Show Intro and Recap
    03:04 Dodgers Talk and Chat
    03:53 As vs Phillies Breakdown
    09:36 Betting Style Rant
    09:56 Orioles vs Marlins Preview
    15:12 Red Sox vs Tigers Angle
    21:11 Blue Jays vs Rays Lean
    26:09 Twins vs Nationals Total
    31:40 Rangers Fade Yankees Play
    36:00 DeGrom Breakdown
    37:28 Rodriguez Familiarity Edge
    38:59 Rangers Value Pick
    40:27 Reds Cubs Handicapping
    45:26 Guardians Royals Pitching
    50:28 Brewers Cardinals Angles
    55:12 Dodgers Astros Ohtani Start
    01:02:29 Break Chat And Recap
    01:04:34 Mets Rockies Coors Field
    01:10:12 White Sox Angels Preview
    01:12:42 Aldigheri Breakdown
    01:13:52 White Sox Betting Read
    01:14:32 YouTube Notifications Rant
    01:14:55 Braves Mariners Under
    01:19:28 Pirates Diamondbacks Spot
    01:24:48 Padres Giants Pitching
    01:29:19 NHL Game Two Under
    01:33:27 Cavs Pistons Play
    01:41:30 Lakers Thunder Angle
    01:45:20 Plays Recap Outro
    01:45:49 Show Plugs Updates
    01:47:41 Closing Song

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs
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    1 時間 49 分
  • Monday BEST BETS | Are We Hot Again? | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/4/26

    Monday BEST BETS | Are We Hot Again? | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/4/26
    2026/05/04
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NHL
    VGK -1.5 +150 / -165

    MLB
    MIA +100

    Toad Stool Sports (Mon May 4): Miami ML Best Bet, Vegas Split Bet Playoff Pick + MLB/NHL/NBA Leans

    Toad opens with a song-like intro, recaps going 3-0 on yesterday’s show (Toronto/Minnesota first five under, full-game under, Philadelphia, and Cleveland Cavs), then previews Monday’s slate with one official MLB play and one NHL play. He passes on Mets-Rockies due to no Mets starter announced, leans Tigers/first five under vs Red Sox behind Skubal, and makes Miami +100 his lone baseball pick, fading Aaron Nola and backing Jansen Junk. He gives leans on multiple MLB games including Tampa Bay over Toronto, Yankees advantages vs Orioles, over lean in Reds-Cubs (wind), Milwaukee lean vs Cardinals, Dodgers team total vs Astros bullpen, and situational leans for Mariners and Padres. In NHL, he leans Flyers +1.5 but officially plays a Vegas split bet (moneyline plus -1.5). He also discusses NBA Game 1 leans and closes with plugs and upcoming content.

    00:00 Hold On Intro
    01:28 Show Opening Recap
    02:54 Today Card Preview
    03:36 Mets Rockies Breakdown
    07:08 Red Sox Tigers Preview
    12:01 Best Bet Miami
    16:52 Nephilim Crash In
    20:42 Back To Picks
    20:44 Blue Jays Rays Lean
    25:04 Orioles Yankees Setup
    26:02 Baz vs Yankees Breakdown
    27:19 Schlittler Cy Young Case
    28:29 Yankees Tax And Bets
    30:16 Reds Cubs Division Clash
    32:13 Petty vs Cabrera Wrigley Wind
    37:07 Guardians Royals Spot Fade
    39:35 Bibee Wacha Total Debate
    44:50 Brewers Cardinals Hangover
    46:45 Patrick Leahy Pitching Edge
    50:13 Dodgers Astros Bullpen Mismatch
    55:44 White Sox Angels Pitchers Duel
    01:03:37 Braves Mariners Bounceback Spot
    01:05:37 Bullpen Rest Breakdown
    01:06:49 Starting Pitchers Preview
    01:08:54 Betting Market And Total
    01:10:08 Giants Travel Fade Spot
    01:11:44 Padres Edge And Starters
    01:15:45 Padres Moneyline Lean
    01:16:48 NHL Handicaps And Leans
    01:19:44 Vegas Split Bet Explained
    01:21:18 Vegas Vs Ducks Case
    01:27:32 NBA Knicks Sixers Angle
    01:31:22 Wolves Spurs Spread Talk
    01:36:31 Wrap Up Plays And Plugs
    01:37:10 World Cup Rant
    01:39:27 Final Sign Off Outro

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs
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    1 時間 42 分
  • Sunday BEST BETS | I'm Not Alive | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/3/26

    Sunday BEST BETS | I'm Not Alive | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/3/26
    2026/05/03
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NBA
    CLE -7.5

    MLB
    TOR/MIN F5 Under 4.5 -130
    PHI -140

    Toad’s Sports (May 3): Blue Jays/Twins F5 Under, Phillies ML, Cavs -Points + Full Slate Leans
    Toad returns for Sunday, May 3, after going 2-2, and gives three official plays: Blue Jays–Twins first five innings under 4.5 (to avoid bad bullpens), Phillies moneyline at Miami behind Jesus Luzardo over Chris Paddack, and Cavaliers -7.5/-8 in a Game 7 at home. He breaks down numerous MLB matchups with pitching, bullpen usage, offense rankings, public/money splits, and situational angles (sweeps, lookaheads), offering leans on totals and sides but passing several games. He also previews two NHL Game 7/series openers (lean Tampa Bay; slight lean Minnesota) and discusses NBA Game 7s, including Detroit–Orlando and Cleveland–Toronto rationale. He closes with channel plugs and frustration about lack of subscriber growth.

    00:00 Cold Open Lyrics
    01:28 Show Intro and Recap
    01:44 Best Bet Jays Twins F5 Under
    05:25 Orioles Yankees Breakdown
    10:51 Reds Pirates Pitching Duel
    16:50 Astros Red Sox Spot
    22:27 Brewers Nationals Stay Away
    29:07 Best Bet Phillies at Marlins
    37:07 Giants Rays Series Angle
    39:58 Giants Rays Under Lean
    42:42 Dodgers Cardinals Sweep Spot
    44:44 Robleski vs May Breakdown
    49:54 Dbacks Cubs Wind Game
    52:11 Kelly Boyd Pitching Mystery
    59:20 Braves Rockies Strider Returns
    01:05:32 Coors Field Betting Stayaway
    01:08:48 Guardians As Bullpen Park
    01:11:07 Messick vs Civale First Five
    01:14:28 Mets Angels Pitching Edges
    01:15:56 Holmes vs Kohanowicz Under Look
    01:20:35 White Sox Padres Sweep Pressure
    01:21:10 Padres White Sox Breakdown
    01:25:29 Over Total and Price Talk
    01:26:45 Royals Mariners Pick
    01:32:31 Rangers Tigers Bullpen Game
    01:38:02 NHL Game Seven Angles
    01:41:20 Wild Avalanche Series Read
    01:46:11 NBA Game Sevens Picks
    01:56:01 Final Card and Signoff

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs
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    1 時間 59 分
  • Saturday BEST BETS | Derby Day | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/2/26

    Saturday BEST BETS | Derby Day | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/2/26
    2026/05/02
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NBA
    BOS -7.5

    NHL
    PHI +1.5 -135 / +185

    MLB
    CHC -1.5 +140 / -160
    CWS/SD F5 Under 4.5 -118

    Derby Day Picks + MLB Best Bets (Cubs Split, White Sox/Padres F5 Under) | Flyers Split Bet & Celtics Game 7

    Toadstool Sports host Toad recaps going 2-2 the prior day, expresses frustration with the Dodgers loss and a ruined Mariners/Royals under, and notes The Puma has been scratched from the Kentucky Derby while pointing viewers to his Derby special. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with bullpen, offense, starter stats, splits, market percentages, and leans, highlighting two official baseball plays: a Cubs split bet (part moneyline, part -1.5) versus Arizona behind Imanaga vs Nelson, and White Sox–Padres first five under 4.5 featuring Burke vs Michael King. He also gives a situational NHL playoff play on a Flyers split bet (+1.5 and moneyline) at Carolina due to rest-vs-rust, and an NBA Game 7 wager on Celtics -7.5/-8 at home versus Philadelphia, citing regression from poor shooting and series context.

    00:00 Gambler Blues Intro
    01:27 Derby Day Update
    02:14 Yesterday Recap
    03:36 Today Card Preview
    04:16 Leans That Hit
    05:19 Yankees Orioles Breakdown
    09:13 Blue Jays Twins Breakdown
    13:39 Cubs Split Bet Play
    19:27 Reds Pirates Quick Look
    24:42 Brewers Nationals Lean
    31:17 311 Side Chat
    32:01 Guardians Athletics Total Talk
    37:08 Astros Red Sox Breakdown
    41:21 First Five Under Angle
    42:47 Phillies Marlins Matchup
    46:30 Lean Miami First Five
    47:41 Giants Rays Bullpen Game
    49:42 Raupp vs Rays Opener
    53:57 Rangers Tigers Bullpen Edge
    57:10 Detroit Split and Totals
    59:04 Midstream Break and Reset
    01:00:43 Dodgers Cardinals Rematch
    01:01:59 Sasaki vs McGreevy Read
    01:05:49 Braves Rockies at Coors
    01:11:11 Coors First Five Under
    01:13:09 White Sox Padres Under
    01:15:04 Burke King Breakdown
    01:18:53 Mets Angels Lean
    01:23:44 Royals Mariners Total
    01:29:22 Flyers Upset Split
    01:35:27 Celtics Game Seven
    01:44:07 Plays Recap Outro

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs
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    1 時間 47 分
  • 2026 KENTUCKY DERBY BEST BETS | I'm an Amateur

    2026 KENTUCKY DERBY BEST BETS | I'm an Amateur
    2026/05/02
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    Leans in order
    Chief Wallabee
    Renegade
    Further Ado
    Commandment
    The Puma
    Potente

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs
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    37 分
  • Friday BEST BETS | I Hate Everything | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/1/26

    Friday BEST BETS | I Hate Everything | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/1/26
    2026/05/01
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    TEX +100
    MIL -1.5 +110
    LAD -1.5 -105
    KC/SEA Under 7 -103

    Toadstool Sports (May 1): Rough Day Recap + MLB Best Bets (Rangers ML, Brewers RL, Dodgers RL, KC/SEA Under) + NHL/NBA Leans

    Toad opens the May 1 episode after a brutal prior day, recapping a strange Astros/Orioles doubleheader result, venting about the Celtics forcing another Game 7 with Jayson Tatum’s calf injury, and noting a Ducks win as hockey playoff results improve. He previews the MLB slate, passing on D-backs/Cubs, then gives four official plays: Texas Rangers moneyline (+100) vs Detroit, Brewers -1.5 (+110) at Washington behind a major starting-pitching edge, Dodgers -1.5 (about -105) at St. Louis in a bounce-back/rest spot, and Royals/Mariners under 7 with Ragans vs Wu. He also discusses several other matchups (including rest/travel and bullpen usage), leans such as White Sox 1st 5 vs Padres and Blue Jays/Twins over, and closes with NHL and NBA playoff thoughts and show plugs.

    00:00 Cold Open Hold On
    01:27 Show Intro Bad Beats
    01:50 Astros Doubleheader Recap
    02:59 Celtics Collapse Rant
    05:20 Hockey Playoffs Check In
    06:13 Chat Sixers Flop Hate
    07:37 Today Card Setup
    08:15 Cubs Diamondbacks Breakdown
    14:26 Best Bet Rangers Moneyline
    21:35 Pirates Reds Handicapping
    28:02 Brewers Run Line Play
    34:26 Doubleheader Fade Angles
    35:03 Yankees Orioles Spot
    40:02 Astros Red Sox Preview
    42:23 Red Sox Starter Mystery
    44:40 Bullpen Edge Team Total
    47:05 Phillies Marlins Spot
    48:29 First Five Under Lean
    51:51 Giants Rays Rest Angle
    53:58 Ray vs McClanahan Breakdown
    58:34 Blue Jays Twins Over
    01:03:03 Dodgers Run Line Play
    01:06:30 Sheehan vs Liberatore
    01:12:47 Braves Rockies Coors Read
    01:19:54 Mets Angels Pitching Mystery
    01:26:34 White Sox Padres Breakdown
    01:27:27 Bullpen and Offense Edges
    01:28:52 Noah Schultz First Five Lean
    01:30:23 Fading Marquez at Home
    01:32:18 Guardians Athletics Matchup
    01:33:36 Cantillo vs Ginn Pitching Angles
    01:36:39 First Five Under and Side Lean
    01:37:57 Royals Mariners Under 7
    01:40:28 Ragans and Wu Pitching Case
    01:45:05 NHL Playoff Leans
    01:45:14 Lightning Canadiens Elimination Game
    01:48:17 Bruins Sabres Home Spot
    01:50:04 Golden Knights Closeout Talk
    01:53:34 NBA Playoff Slate
    01:53:40 Pistons Magic Game Six
    01:56:44 Raptors Cavs Betting Value
    02:00:47 Lakers Rockets Zigzag Angle
    02:05:37 Final Card and Sign Off

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs
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    2 時間 9 分
  • Thursday BEST BETS | Rainouts | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/30/26

    Thursday BEST BETS | Rainouts | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/30/26
    2026/04/30
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NBA
    BOS -6

    NHL
    ANA +110

    MLB
    HOU (G1 - Lambert v Bassitt, Pitchers Must Start) F5 +100

    April 30 Betting Picks: Astros F5 (Game 1), Ducks ML, Celtics -6 | MLB Doubleheaders Breakdown

    Toad opens by venting about a brutal betting slump, then gives his Thursday, April 30 card across MLB, NHL, and NBA. He recaps an easy Yankees/Rangers under win and a Cavaliers spread loss, mentions Red Sox pitching injuries, and notes Philadelphia fired its manager. On the MLB slate—complicated by rainouts and doubleheaders—his only official baseball play is Houston Astros first five innings moneyline in Game 1 vs Baltimore (Lambert vs Bassitt), emphasizing “listed pitchers must start” and fading Houston’s bullpen. He leans through other matchups including Tigers/Braves, Giants/Phillies doubleheader, Pirates with Paul Skenes, and more. In hockey he plays Anaheim moneyline vs Edmonton. In the NBA he backs Celtics -6 at Philadelphia, with additional leans on Hawks and an under in Nuggets/Timberwolves.

    00:00 Slump Spiral Montage
    01:34 Show Intro and Recap
    05:01 Detroit Atlanta Breakdown
    10:00 Doubleheader Setup
    11:26 Astros Orioles Game One Pick
    16:06 Astros Orioles Game Two Lean
    19:29 Giants Phillies Game One
    23:37 Giants Phillies Game Two Mystery
    28:27 Cardinals Pirates Skenes Day
    33:18 Rockies Reds Total Talk
    38:41 Nationals Mets Blowout Recap
    39:29 Philly Manager Spark
    40:19 Mets Nationals Breakdown
    43:48 Mets Team Total Angle
    44:59 Dbacks Brewers Pitching
    49:08 Royals As Total Debate
    53:44 Jays Twins First Five
    59:23 Hockey Series Setup
    01:01:57 Ducks Upset Pick
    01:05:41 NBA Hawks Lean
    01:09:02 Celtics Bounce Back Bet
    01:13:23 Nuggets Wolves Under Lean
    01:18:44 Wrap Up Plays And Plugs

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs
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    1 時間 20 分
  • Wednesday BEST BETS | Are We Good? | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/29/26

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Are We Good? | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/29/26
    2026/04/29
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    NBA
    CLE -9

    MLB
    NYY/TEX Under 8.5 -105
    HOU F5 +102

    MLB Picks: Yankees/Rangers Under + Astros F5 | NBA Playoffs: Cavs Bounce-Back

    Toad opens by venting about recent slumps, then recaps going 3-0 on the previous show with wins on the St. Louis–Pittsburgh over, Mariners full game, and Bruins low-scoring play. He notes market-percentage data issues and outlines his approach of straight betting rather than parlays. For April 29, he gives two MLB plays and one NBA play: Yankees–Rangers under 8.5 (citing Texas’ strong under trends at home, pitching matchup with Eovaldi and Yankees debutant Elmer Rodriguez, and bullpens) and Astros first five moneyline vs. Baltimore (backing Peter Lambert over struggling Chris Bassitt while avoiding Houston’s bullpen). His NBA play is Cavaliers minus the points vs. Toronto, expecting a home bounce-back and offensive regression. He also discusses several lean-only games, quick NHL thoughts, and plugs his social channels, podcasts, and upcoming Derby and NFL win totals content.

    00:00 Slump Meltdown Montage
    01:32 Show Intro and Recap
    03:46 Today Card and Process
    05:03 Betting Strategy and Parlays
    06:03 Rays vs Guardians Breakdown
    11:29 Angels vs White Sox Pass
    15:43 Mariners vs Twins Read
    19:15 Play Under Yankees Rangers
    27:03 Red Sox Jays Over Lean
    32:23 Marlins Dodgers Preview
    35:51 Dodgers Run Line Debate
    37:09 Cubs Padres Series Breakdown
    40:26 Waldron Knuckleball Angle
    43:16 Astros First Five Play
    49:26 Rockies Reds Lean
    54:15 Giants Phillies Pitching Edge
    59:18 Break Then Cardinals Pirates
    01:05:18 Nationals Mets First Five
    01:09:31 Tigers Braves Bullpen Edge
    01:10:23 Braves Tigers Breakdown
    01:12:15 Atlanta Underdog Lean
    01:13:58 Diamondbacks Brewers Preview
    01:15:14 E Rod vs Sprout Angles
    01:18:02 Royals Athletics Over Spot
    01:19:29 Waka vs Severino Picks
    01:24:01 NHL Slate Market Reads
    01:24:07 Lightning Canadiens Series
    01:25:56 Flyers Closeout Talk
    01:27:47 Golden Knights Home Edge
    01:29:23 NBA Magic Pistons Leans
    01:33:22 Cavs Bounceback Play
    01:37:43 Rockets Lakers Injury Math
    01:41:05 Final Card and Signoff

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs
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    1 時間 43 分