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  • Thursday BEST BETS | Baseball's Back? | MLB & WNBA | 7/16/26
    2026/07/16
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    NYM +110

    Toadstool Sports (July 16): Mets Moneyline vs Phillies + Quick WNBA Leans

    Toad recaps a narrow WNBA loss on Seattle and notes other leans that hit, then shifts to Thursday’s slate with one MLB game and two WNBA games. His only official play is Mets moneyline vs. the Phillies on ESPN, citing Philadelphia’s distraction spot returning from a long road trip while hosting All-Star festivities, a potential momentum disruption from the break, Mets motivation, and bullpen rankings (Mets 9th vs Phillies 20th). He breaks down Christian Scott’s road split and prior outing vs. Philly, and fades Aaron Nola based on poor season numbers and especially bad home splits, while noting recent road form. In WNBA, he lightly leans Portland +6 vs Washington and leans New York +1.5 (revenge) at Dallas but passes on official picks.

    00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues
    01:29 Intro and Yesterday Recap
    02:57 World Cup Bracket Update
    03:54 Today Slate and MLB Focus
    04:30 Mets Moneyline Pick
    04:39 Spot and Motivation Angles
    07:44 Bullpen and Offense Breakdown
    08:20 Pitching Matchup Scott vs Nola
    12:22 Market Odds and Public Fade
    12:57 Chat Rants and Transition
    13:51 WNBA Portland vs Washington
    16:15 WNBA Liberty vs Wings
    20:24 Wrap Up and Plug the Channel
    00:34 Outro Lyrics

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup
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    24 分
  • Wednesday BEST BETS | We Don't Take Days Off | WNBA & World Cup | 7/15/26
    2026/07/15
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    WNBA
    SEA +2.5

    WNBA Pick for July 15: Seattle +2.5 vs Chicago | World Cup Semifinal Lean: England vs Argentina

    Toad recaps a winning day on the show, including a WNBA win on Washington, and discusses why MLB All-Star Games often lean under due to pitching and limited at-bats. With baseball still on break, he gives his only official play for Wednesday, July 15: Seattle +2.5 vs Chicago, also recommending a small moneyline sprinkle, citing Chicago’s poor situational spot returning home from a long road trip and potential look-ahead. He briefly reviews other WNBA matchups (LA at Minnesota; Golden State at Indiana) without official plays, noting market splits and situational factors. He also previews the World Cup semifinal England vs Argentina, leaning England to advance at around -120 and considering the under based on style, fatigue, and semifinal tendencies, but does not make it an official play.

    00:00 Cold Open Verse
    01:27 Show Intro and Recap
    01:48 All Star Game Thoughts
    02:45 Soccer Semifinal Recap
    03:33 Today Slate Overview
    04:26 Pick Seattle Plus Points
    05:04 Why Fade Chicago
    08:00 Other WNBA Leans
    10:21 Golden State at Indiana
    14:01 England Argentina Preview
    21:36 Best Bets and Sign Off
    00:33 Closing Verse

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup
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    24 分
  • Tuesday BEST BETS | All That Glitters | MLB All-Star Game & WNBA & World Cup | 7/14/26
    2026/07/14
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    WNBA
    WAS -1.5

    WNBA Pick: Washington vs. Toronto + MLB All-Star Game Pass & World Cup Semifinal Lean (Spain/France)

    Toad returns on Tuesday, July 14, recapping that he skipped yesterday’s card despite liking both WNBA spreads, and says he’s passing on MLB, including the All-Star Game and the Home Run Derby after Jordan Walker’s surprise win. He breaks down the All-Star Game matchup (Dylan Cease vs. Christopher Sanchez) but sees no betting angle. In the WNBA, he discusses Portland vs. Connecticut as a potential letdown spot for Portland and says he’d lean Connecticut, but his official play is Washington -1.5/-2 (or moneyline) over Toronto, citing a better spot for Washington and a letdown/sandwich spot for Toronto after a big win over New York and a tough upcoming schedule. He also discusses the World Cup semifinal France vs. Spain, leaning toward Spain to advance in a likely low-scoring, close match.

    00:00 Cold Open Poem
    01:28 Show Intro and Recap
    01:59 MLB Derby and All Star
    03:18 All Star Betting Pass
    04:13 WNBA Morning Game
    06:31 Pick Washington at Toronto
    10:51 World Cup Semifinal
    13:42 Spain to Advance Angle
    17:26 Wrap Up and Plugs
    18:51 Final Thoughts Outro

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup
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    20 分
  • Monday BEST BETS | Dingers | MLB HR Derby & WNBA | 7/13/26
    2026/07/13
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    No plays today

    Home Run Derby Betting Approach (Caminero +425), WNBA Leans & Recap | Toadstool Sports 7/13

    Toad returns for a shorter Monday, July 13th show, recapping a 3-1 day with an MLB under win (Philly/Detroit), a Toronto first-five loss, and a 2-0 WNBA sweep (Toronto moneyline and Chicago +9.5). He discusses why he doesn’t recommend serious betting on the Home Run Derby, suggesting only small “fun” stakes and emphasizing the importance of the hitter’s pitching setup and prior Derby experience. After reviewing odds and pitchers, he identifies Junior Caminero (+425) as his favorite, citing past Derby success and familiarity with Rays coordinator Thomas Francisco, while also noting Schwarber and Harper as other realistic contenders. He closes with WNBA thoughts, leaning Atlanta -7.5 vs LA and Phoenix +13/+13.5 vs Minnesota, plus brief notes on the All-Star break and Red Sox streak.

    00:00 Cold Open Verse
    01:28 Show Intro and Agenda
    02:08 Yesterday Recap MLB
    03:29 WNBA Sweep Recap
    05:02 Derby Betting Approach
    07:06 Odds and Key Factors
    08:16 Caminero Top Pick
    09:48 Fading Other Entrants
    13:11 Harper Schwarber Murakami
    15:28 Derby Final Picks
    16:18 WNBA Tonight Preview
    19:39 Wrap Up and Plugs
    22:53 Closing Verse Outro

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup
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    24 分
  • Sunday BEST BETS | Ready For a Break | MLB & WNBA | 7/12/26
    2026/07/12
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    PHI/DET Under 7 +100
    TOR F5 -0.5 +100

    WNBA
    TOR +6.5
    CHI +9.5

    Sunday Sports Betting Picks (July 12): MLB Unders, Blue Jays F5, WNBA Dogs | Toad’s Seal Sports

    Toad recaps a rough prior day, including a baseball under win in Cleveland–Miami but losses elsewhere, and notes Argentina advanced in extra time so the 90-minute play lost while his bracket remains alive; he mentions recent World Cup record swings and upcoming schedule breaks (All-Star break and World Cup off until Tuesday). He runs through the Sunday MLB board with market reads, bullpen usage, and starter matchups, passing on several games while highlighting leans like first-five unders or avoiding bullpens. His official MLB plays are under 7 in Phillies–Tigers behind Wheeler vs. Skubal, and Blue Jays first five -0.5 vs. Padres backing Gausman over Márquez. In the WNBA he plays Toronto +6.5 vs. New York and adds Chicago +9.5 vs. Dallas, with additional leans on other games and brief notes on Vegas roster issues.

    00:00 Cold Open Lyrics
    01:28 Show Intro Recap
    01:34 Yesterday Results
    03:47 Today Card Overview
    04:22 Schedule All Star Break
    05:08 Brewers Pirates Breakdown
    09:13 Royals Orioles Breakdown
    14:02 Yankees Nationals Breakdown
    18:44 Red Sox Mets Breakdown
    23:18 Cubs Reds Breakdown
    27:47 Guardians Marlins Notes
    32:53 Best Bet Phillies Tigers Under
    34:54 All Star Snub Rant
    35:47 Wheeler All-Star Snub
    36:22 Wheeler vs Tigers Matchup
    37:37 Skubal Injury Doubts
    39:26 Under 7 Betting Angle
    41:15 Mariners Rays Breakdown
    42:21 Hancock vs Seymour Read
    45:50 Angels Twins Bullpen Woes
    46:42 Soriano vs Bradley First Five
    51:07 As White Sox First Five
    52:19 Ginn Edge Over Schultz
    57:25 Slump Rant Reset
    58:56 Braves Cardinals Sweep Spot
    01:00:04 Richie Uncertain Role
    01:01:51 Dustin May vs Braves
    01:05:21 Astros Rangers Over Look
    01:06:36 Javier Opener Warning
    01:08:02 Gore Home Split vs Houston
    01:09:34 Texas Houston Total Talk
    01:09:59 Vermont Draft Trivia
    01:11:01 Rockies Giants Over Angle
    01:15:25 Dodgers Dbacks Uncertainty
    01:20:14 Blue Jays F5 Pick
    01:25:41 WNBA Toronto Fade Spot
    01:29:44 WNBA Seattle Washington Lean
    01:31:07 Chicago Sky Plus Points
    01:35:20 Aces Fever Rematch Notes
    01:40:56 Wrap Up Plays And Plugs

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup
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    1 時間 44 分
  • Saturday BEST BETS | Stick to What Works | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/11/26
    2026/07/11
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    World Cup
    Argentina -140

    MLB
    CLE/MIA Under 8 -119
    SEA -105

    Saturday Picks: Mariners ML, Guardians/Marlins Under & Argentina to Win (Toadstool Sports July 11)

    Toad recaps going 1-1 the previous day, frustrated by the Astros’ loss, then breaks down a full slate of MLB matchups with notes on pitching, bullpen usage, home/road splits, market percentages, and first-five vs full-game angles. He leans Pirates F5 in a Brewers doubleheader spot, likes A’s F5 behind Gage Jump versus a White Sox bullpen game, and discusses several other games including Yankees–Nationals and Rockies–Giants (over lean). He briefly touches WNBA lines and situational spots, then gives World Cup thoughts on England–Norway and makes his official soccer play Argentina to win in 90 minutes vs Switzerland. Official plays: Guardians/Marlins under 7.5 or 8, Mariners moneyline, and Argentina 90-minute moneyline.

    00:00 Cold Open Parlay Blues
    01:28 Show Intro and Recap
    03:04 Today Card Preview
    05:08 Brewers Pirates Doubleheader
    12:57 Twins Angels Ryan Duel
    18:19 As White Sox Bounce Back
    23:53 Yankees Nationals Bullpen Talk
    29:15 Rockies Giants Over Angle
    35:10 Red Sox Mets Pitching Wildcard
    41:40 Cleveland Miami Under
    44:10 Bibee vs Perez Breakdown
    49:13 Market Reads and Side
    51:29 Seattle Moneyline Pick
    53:12 Gilbert vs Jax Edges
    57:44 Phillies Tigers Stayaway
    01:03:52 Royals Orioles Over Lean
    01:09:16 Slump Rant Reset
    01:10:47 Astros Rangers Handicapping
    01:15:56 Cubs Reds High Total
    01:21:03 Atlanta Cardinals Preview
    01:21:55 Braves Cardinals Breakdown
    01:22:30 Pitching Matchup Deep Dive
    01:24:49 Totals and Market Signals
    01:26:23 Subscriber Chat Break
    01:26:55 Blue Jays Padres Preview
    01:28:20 Savage vs Buehler Angles
    01:31:42 Dodgers Dbacks Mismatch
    01:35:25 Dodgers Betting Options
    01:37:07 WNBA Liberty Lynx Spotlight
    01:42:03 WNBA Other Games Leans
    01:47:40 World Cup Norway England
    01:54:29 Argentina Switzerland Pick
    01:59:30 Final Plays and Wrap Up

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup
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    2 時間 3 分
  • Friday BEST BETS | Find the Edge | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/10/26
    2026/07/10
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    CLE/MIA Under 7.5 -115
    HOU -138

    MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Friday, July 10) | Two Official Plays + Leans, Market Splits & World Cup Talk

    Toad returns for Toadstool Sports on Friday, July 10 after a 1–1 day, breaks down multiple MLB matchups with bullpen/offense rankings, starter stats, matchup histories, and ticket/cash splits, and discusses several leans including Pittsburgh first five, Yankees–Nationals over, Royals–Orioles first five under, and Cubs–Reds first five under. His two official plays are Cleveland–Miami under 7.5 (citing pitcher-friendly Miami, Parker Messick vs Sandy Alcantara, and weak Cleveland offense) and Houston Astros moneyline -138 over Texas (rest edge and Hunter Brown over Cal Quantrill). He also touches on additional MLB games, WNBA games with situational angles, and a World Cup lean toward Spain to beat Belgium, plus plugs his social links, Patreon, and podcasts.

    00:00 Cold Open Intro
    01:28 Show Kickoff Recap
    02:02 Brewers Pirates Breakdown
    05:50 Phillies Tigers Lean
    10:38 Yankees Nationals Over Talk
    16:01 Royals Orioles First Five Under
    20:35 Cubs Reds Pitching Duel
    25:29 Best Bet Under Cleveland Miami
    31:03 Texas Ballpark Totals Rant
    32:13 Mariners Rays Sneaky Dog
    37:10 Red Sox Mets Apple TV
    42:44 As White Sox Market Split
    47:19 Play Two Astros Rangers Setup
    47:59 Astros Moneyline Breakdown
    53:13 Slump Vent Session
    54:49 Angels Twins Totals Talk
    01:00:20 Braves Cardinals Pitching Edge
    01:04:29 Blue Jays Padres Handicapping
    01:09:29 Dbacks Dodgers Value Debate
    01:14:56 Rockies Giants Over Angle
    01:19:29 WNBA Card And Leans
    01:26:42 Spain Belgium World Cup Pick
    01:30:55 Final Plays And Signoff

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup
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    1 時間 33 分
  • Thursday BEST BETS | Is it Rigged? | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/9/26
    2026/07/09
    My links
    www.linktree.com/learntotoad
    www.patreon.com/learntotoad

    MLB
    MIL -132
    LAA/TEX F5 Under 3.5 +100

    Toadstool Sports July 9: Brewers ML & Angels/Rangers 1st 5 Under | MLB Card + WNBA & France–Morocco Lean

    Toad recaps going 2–1 the prior day (Reds F5 win, Angels–Rangers under loss, Sparks cover) and then breaks down the July 9 slate with detailed reads on multiple MLB matchups, bullpen usage, and market splits. His official plays are Milwaukee Brewers moneyline behind Logan Henderson versus St. Louis and Angels–Rangers first five under 3.5 featuring Reid Detmers vs. Nathan Eovaldi. He also discusses leans including Mets–Royals over, Tampa Bay first five, Baltimore in a sweep-avoid spot, Cleveland–Minnesota first five under, White Sox team total/over vs. a Red Sox spot start, and notes uncertainty around A’s pitching. He closes with WNBA thoughts (Atlanta bounce-back vs. Seattle; Indiana–Phoenix matchup) and a World Cup lean toward Morocco +0.5 and/or the under against France.

    00:00 Cold Open Pep Talk
    01:28 Show Intro and Recap
    03:25 Today’s Card Setup
    04:29 Braves vs Pirates Breakdown
    08:25 Royals vs Mets Over Angle
    12:57 Yankees vs Rays Pitching Edge
    17:17 Cubs vs Orioles Sweep Spot
    22:21 Guardians vs Twins Leans
    28:09 Red Sox vs White Sox Over Talk
    33:50 White Sox Totals Angle
    34:51 Tigers Momentum vs A's
    39:10 A's Starter Switch Chaos
    42:08 Seattle Sweep Avoid Spot
    47:41 Slump Rant Reset
    49:13 Phillies vs Reds Breakdown
    54:24 Brewers Moneyline Play
    01:01:04 Rangers Angels First Five Under
    01:07:09 Angels Rangers F5 Under
    01:07:49 Dbacks Padres Over Angle
    01:09:08 Kelly vs Canning Breakdown
    01:12:56 Rockies Giants New Series
    01:15:34 Feltner Edge and F5 Lean
    01:18:31 Devers Trade Rant
    01:20:23 WNBA Seattle Atlanta Bounceback
    01:24:50 WNBA Indiana Phoenix No Bet
    01:27:51 WNBA Vegas Portland Injury Watch
    01:31:24 World Cup France Morocco Lean
    01:38:56 Ref Crew Rigging Talk
    01:41:18 Final Card and Signoff

    #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup
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    1 時間 44 分