Ole Miss 94% +174 @ Oklahoma Ole Miss +5.5 73% vs. Oklahoma. Last year was a 26-14 Rebels victory. I like against the spread and money line here Ole Miss.

Arkansas 92% -140 vs Auburn – Arkansas won 24-14 last year causing 5 turnovers. Closer game maybe this year but I’ll go with Petrino. Arkansas -140

Vandy 88% -140 vs Missouri 67% ATS This game could go either way as well just like the money line consensus is Vanderbilt the ATS consensus is Missouri. Missouri escaped last year with a win 30-27 game. As an SEC fan I root for the underdogs except they are the favorites in this game so I’m gonna stick with Vanderbilt.

Iowa State -145 vs BYU 45-13 Cyclones way but that was two years ago. I guess the cornerbacks are back healthy as they are on two game losing streak because of those injuries but still the offense only put up 17 last week in a loss at Colorado.

Texas A&M 92% -140 @ LSU was 38-23 Aggies was last year however they haven’t won in Baton Rouge since 1994. I’m gonna buck consensus on this one and take LSU who can’t afford to lose anymore because of playoffs but A&M could lose and still make playoffs. LSU Tigers is my pick.

Baylor +3.5 @ Cincinnati – Two years ago was 32-29 and you can bet this is gonna be a close game either way it goes. I’ll take the points Baylor +3.5

NC State +6.5 84 % @ Pitt on NC State despite Pitt pulling off the cover against Syracuse last week. Sides haven’t met since 2020. Right now I’m gonna pass on this game because I feel like Pitt at home is scary, they had Louisville down and let them come back. NC State +6.5

Purdue 92% vs. Rutgers Haven’t met since 2020, they are the consensus pick but some communities online are to the contrary with Rutgers here. I’ll just don’t trust Purdue, give me Rutgers right here.

Wake +3 83% vs SMU – SMU hasn’t lost since coming into the conference but no recent meetings. They just beat Clemson while Wake just beat Oregon State. Consensus is on Wake but I’ll take the road team Mustangs SMU -3.

Mississippi State +7.5 vs Texas – Its more road football in the SEC for Arch Manning and Texas. Consensus on the Cowbells at home, but it was 35-13 last year Texas’ way and I think the Longhorns cover here. Texas -7.5

Houston +7.5 @Arizona State Haven’t met since 1990 in what looked like a basketball score 62-45. Consensus on Houston and if they can move the ball they should be able to hang close here. Houston +7.5

Duke -2.5 vs GT consensus on the Devils but last year it was GT winning 24-14.

UCLA -160 vs. Maryland Consensus on the Bruins with this being first meeting between sides since 54-55.

Texas A&M -7.5 @ Arkansas Was Texas A&M 21-17 last year in Fayetteville the Aggies left with the 4 point victory.

UCF -7.5 vs. WV – The past two years its been the Mountaineers who came away with victory, 31-21 last year and 41-28.

Clemson -5.5 vs SMU 34-31 Clemson won narrowly last year.

LSU @ Vandy 24-17 Tigers way last year with the series not having a Vandy win since 1976.

UNLV +13 @ Boise State – Was 21-7 Broncos way last year.

Florida -9.5 consensus 13 % vs Mississippi State – Was 45-28 Gators way last year at State, this one is in Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

OSU -25 @ Wisconsin Two years ago was 24-10 Buckeyes win.

Texas -12.5 vs UK 31-14 last year Texas in Lexington

Oregon -17.5 vs. Rutgers – First Meeting

Bama -8 vs Tennessee – Tennessee won last year in Knoxville 24-17

Oklahoma -5 vs. South Carolina – Was 35-9 the Gamecocks way.

Cuse +10 vs Pitt Pitt won 41-13 last year at the Carrier Dome.

Alabama -3 @ Mizzouri – Alabama has won 6 in row in the matchup with the last one being 2024. 76% consensus.

USC -2.5 vs. Michigan – Only matchup not in the Rose Bowl was a 2024 27-24 Michigan win. 72% consensus on the Trojans at home.

Georgia -3.5 @ Auburn – UGA 8-1, winning last 8 under coach Smart.

Navy -10 vs. Temple – Navy won 38-11 last meeting in 2024.

Army -18.5 vs Charlotte – First meeting ever

Clemson -14 vs. BC – Clemson has won the last 12 meetings

FSU -10.5 vs. Pitt Only 3 meetings since Pitt joined ACC, FSU 2-1 in those years ago games.

Michigan State -7.5 vs UCLA – First matchup since 1974

Texas Tech -14.5 vs Kansas – TTU 91% consensus 23-2 all-time for Tech vs. Kansas 2023, last meeting was 16-13 Texas Tech.

Tennessee -12.5 vs Arkansas – 77% on the home team Vols, last year it was 19-14 with Arkansas upsetting the Vols

Air Force +6.5 vs UNLV – Consensus on UNLV here but I am not. UNLV won the most recent matchup in 2023 so it really isn’t relevant but Air Force is 18-7 all time vs. UNLV

Purdue +7.5 66% Consensus @ Minnesota Haven’t met since 2023 programs have overhauled since.

Texas A&M -8 vs Florida Consensus on the Aggies, the game went 33-20 last year the Aggies way.

Ohio State -14.5 – First meeting in last 8 years

Oklahoma vs Texas 59 % on the Sooners, Texas went 34-3 last years meeting.

Oregon -7 vs. Indiana – 67 % of 55k consensus on the Ducks, first meeting since 2004.

We start in Cincinnati where the Bearcats are taking consensus some 65%. Buyer beware the Cyclones have won the past two matchups in this series including a 30-10 win two years ago on the road just as this game is. My pick here is the Cyclones against the consensus. Iowa State -108 money line is the pick as they do bring back the QB and coaching staff from last years 34-17 win vs. the Bearcats.

App State host Oregon State in an early game for the west coast team. Consensus ATS and money line is on App State. I’ll follow the consensus here Appalachian State -120

Virginia Tech looks to get the ship righted they are -7 vs. Wake Forest. Wake traditionally has trouble with this team playing in VA. Two years ago the last matchup a 30-13 win for Va Tech. I’ll take the Hokies, Virginia Tech -7

Kentucky vs. Georgia – Well last year the game was 13-12 UGA escaped Lexington with a win. Georgia has won 15 in a row in the series. This version of the Wildcats doesn’t appear to really be able to compete with the SEC in league play. With this game coming the week after the Alabama game in which the DAWGS were upset doesn’t bode well for the Wildcats. In 2024, 2022, 2020 and 2016 Kentucky was able to keep it close. The Cats have shown me nothing yet to say they will keep this close. Under 48.5 and Georgia -20 the two options as I see it.

Fresh off their win vs. FSU the Cavaliers and Virginia travel to Louisville. This is a tough matchup at the Cards have won 3 in row in the series. At -6.5 the Cards would’ve covered two of the last 3 as well with last years matchup only going 24-20 Louisville’s way. Virginia can be tough to cover against because they run the ball well. After having to come back last week in Pittsburgh I think the Cardinals will want to start better at home. My pick U of L -6.5 of course try to get them even money should they fall behind here.

Nebraska the consensus favorite at around 66% laying -11.5 vs. Michigan State. While the Spartans haven’t won in Lincoln since 2013 they have won two and four years ago in the most recent matchups. This Nebraska team is good but I’ll take the Spartans with the points.

California 85% consensus vs. Duke, they have no recent matchup history here.

Florida hosting Texas in a year where things couldn’t look much worse last year it was Texas 49-17. This one may have live bet opportunities depending how long the Gators stick around. My pick though is Texas -7.

Miami looks to make some noise from the state of Florida and let it go nation wide they are for real. 74 % consensus is the Hurricanes here. They won last year 36-14, my pick is Miami -4.

Vikings vs. Steelers from Ireland. In this early season we have seen the stars of the Vikings show up even with McCarthy injured. The main thing with this Vikings team is the defense really because Coach Flores is showing everyone he should’ve been their head coach candidate. The Steelers showed last week on the road they can play that type of low scoring game in their win at New England. We do see so far it’s 27 a game for Minnesota and 24 a game for Pittsburgh. We see the total not paying that any mind at all sitting at 41. I think this is gonna be a defensive game that has a slight chance to get over. Who knows what kind of consistency we get from Wentz he hasn’t played Pittsburgh since Big Ben was at QB. That being said I’ll take the Under 41 and take my chances. With my lean towards the Steelers here.

Playoff look ahead? It’s week 4 but Todd Bowles has done well against the Eagles. Last team to beat Hurtz at QB was this Tampa Bay team. Yet we have the hamstring with Evans, Godwin may be out too with the ankle so the rookie and Baker. I think it’s only because the Eagles look unbeatable right now because I have to let you know that 4 or the last 5 meetings have gone the Buccaneers way. Eagles -3.5 I’m just not picking against them right now.

Bills /Saints Under 47.5 my reasoning being Buffalo is gonna want to get the win run the ball and get the fuck out of there. The Saints will want to move the ball anyway they can, but I’m on the UNDER instead of laying -16 thats too much.

Patriots vs Panthers Under 43, because I think it’s also New England -5, reason being its odd to see them favored by that much and the bookie knows something in setting that line.

Commanders vs Falcons – Over 45.5 and I think right now this line is giving credit where it has been a tall task to Washington since last year. Jayden Daniels has too many weapons right now for me to look at Atlanta. They have to show me to make me believe because the number -1 looks like free lunch. Always beware because you still gotta always beware what appears to be free lunch. Washington -1

The Lions vs. The Browns, I look at the -10 and said damn they set the line like they got Eminem up there betting on the Lions. The Browns strength is on defense which won’t hold up against Detroit. Lions -10.

0-3 and they get a division opponent they have beat up the four of five times in Tennessee. Texans -7.

Chargers are going to have to be dealt with in the playoff this year. I’ll take them in NY as well LAC-6.5

Jaguars +3 as injury woes have to take a toll eventually for the 49ers.

Colts vs. Rams I have to go with the every four year matchup having the Rams won the past 4. Rams Money Line

The Bears who looked good against the Cowboys and the trip to Vegas might be another win if they can run the ball and hold it the same way. I’ll take Chicago -103.

I’ll just take the over in the Ravens/Chiefs as it could go either way but the Chiefs have won 6 of 7 vs Baltimore with their 2012 being the last Ravens win at Arrowhead. Baltimore looked like they had some problems 3rd down getting off the field, thats where this game will be decided if the Ravens d can win 3rd down. Cheifs money line. Over 48.5

Packers -6.5 taking some 90% consensus. I know what they did in the playoffs but this game is all about Parsons hype, except the Pack has won 9 of 10 vs Dallas. Packers -6.5.

As always Best of luck and enjoy your Sunday

The Gamecocks QB Sellers returns from concussion, is back as the Wildcats look to not get beat like they did last year in the matchup. Last year it was 31-6 at Kroger Field in Lexington. The Cats do come off the early bye week and you have to think Stoops has a bit of different game plan, or do we have to start asking ourselves with the rise of Vandy and Beamer Ball in South Carolina are the Wildcats gonna end up the door mat of the SEC depending on Florida. They played tough at home vs. Ole Miss and have of course beaten some MAC teams but I look for the Wildcats to use their extra time to forge a different outcome as its been 3 in row in the series for South Carolina but 2021 UK won at their spot. Fan pick Kentucky +6.5

The Louisville Cardinals come into a familiar foe in Pittsburgh. Last year U of L won at home vs Pitt 37-9, but they haven’t won outright vs. Pitt in Pittsburgh in 2012. This is a tough one because the Cards are the consensus like 70 percent and they are favored on the road by -4.5. After looking into this game its the expectation of Moss at Qb for the Cardinals that have them with the backing at the bet window. Try live bet and maybe not have to lay the points on the road. Pitt is at an early cross roads after losing the Backyard Brawl at 7 point faves to WVU. Cardinals money line is my play.

LSU -1 at Ole Miss- Listening to Saban on TV and the corners are very good for LSU and the QB is one of the most experienced. He has came up big in big games, which this is. Ole Fashioned SEC West? LSU leads all time but since Kiffen has been there 2 of the last 3 have gone Ole Miss. I’m on the experienced qb in a tough environment. LSU-1

Indiana vs Iowa- Wow the line is IU -7.5 and the consensus on the road Hoosiers. What’s going on Mendoza put some guys on notice last week but the Hawkeyes have won 4 straight in the matchup in Iowa City and that is a tough place to win. My guess is the line is ramped up because the bookie knows more than you. Indiana -7.5 in what is being called a trap game by sports illustrated. The fact that IU is favored means that the head to head of 8 of 9 games in the series for Iowa means nothing to the oddsmakers. The early consensus that heavy on IU and take it how goes but at least you know. 2007 the last Hoosier win in Iowa 38-20 then and so this aint impossible. Indiana -7.5

ND travels to Arkansas, now the Irish are -4 on the road, I’ll take Carr and the Irish here. 50 /50 consensus -4

Mississippi State vs Tennessee – The cowbells will be ringing and the consensus is 80% on the Bulldogs at home. MSU+7.5

Cincinnati vs. Cleveland – Let me say this first at least we have Burrow playing the preseason this year at least some, but they added some guys who were playing well in the preseason to help out a loaded receiver unit, they recover from the mistake of letting Perine go as free agent. Then you bring in Al Golden and you have a chance as a team to help out the defense by going an extra play on offense, the pass game is the given with the Bengals, but the question for them is are they able to run the ball at all. With Perine back as the number two back it helps relieve a soft spot from last year. That and well Burrow has had a few nightmare games in Cleveland, a few years ago it was opening on the road just as they are again, but week 1 Cleveland has traditionally been bad. You have to assume internally they are thinking playoffs because even though it was a horrible beating at Houston blown out by a rookie qb but the Texans D shut them down in that game, but just like Pittsburgh who can win a playoff game? Cincinnati, because with rotating QBs we have seen Burrow put his up and try to keep up at that point. Get it live bet if you can of course and get it down to -3 or so or however it goes my pick is Bengals -5

Steelers vs Jets – Possibly an under right under here, but I’m on the Steelers just on thats how they usually perform.. unless Rodgers is a bust you win this game Steelers MONEY LINE & UNDER 38.5 is my pick.

Dolphins vs. Colts- I know the Colts are tough at home especially, but I think Tyreke Hill by not taking the Captain role is forcing others to step up and be leaders but he may have something to prove, and with the arrests everyone does. Slight road dog gimme the Phins bc you got Daniel Jones. Miami pk

49ers vs Seahawks- This should be all Niners if they are going to do anything this year. 49ers -136

Lions vs. Packers – This is another one where the matchup has been lopsided in the Lions way since Love took over at QB so we will see but I’m with the Lions +2.5

Buccaneers vs Falcons – Look up and the Falcons have won 4 of 5 vs TB and Penix is getting the hype assuming this is him at QB here. Mayfield and the Bucs never an easy out but you have to feel especially defensively they have them figured as to how they want to defend. Falcons +2