The Fiat Trap: Investing in a Distorted Reality with Paul Musson, Author of Capital Offense
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概要
We are living in a financial reality where money and capital are no longer the same thing.
In this deep-dive episode, Dan speaks with Paul Musson, author of Capital Offence, about the "Great Category Error" most investors make: confusing the currency they save with the wealth they create. Paul breaks down how the Fiat system punishes savers, why your home’s appreciation might be a hidden mechanism of wealth redistribution, and how to build a portfolio of "Real Assets" that allows you to opt out of the distorted reality and escape the clock.
Key Talking Points:
- The fundamental difference between Money (currency) and Capital (productive capacity)
- Why the "Wealth Effect" in housing is actually a transfer of wealth from the young to the old
- The "Paradox of Thrift" and why central banks are incentivized to punish prudence
- How to use the "Central Bank Lunacy Hedge" to protect your portfolio from policy errors
- The danger of "Zombie Companies" in passive index funds
- Why you must balance financial defense with living for today
Escape The Clock Resources:
- Book: www.escapetheclock.com/book
- Planner: www.escapetheclock.com/toolkit
- 1:1 Help: www.escapetheclock.com/schedule
- Free Weekly Newsletter: www.escapetheclock.com/subscribe
Episode References:
- The M2 Money Supply exploded by 40% between 2020 and 2022, while real productivity barely budged - Federal Reserve Economic Data (2024) - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL
- Since 2009, US Household Wealth has nearly tripled to $150 Trillion, largely driven by asset price inflation rather than GDP growth - Federal Reserve Financial Accounts of the US (2023) - https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/
- The percentage of "Zombie Companies" (firms that can't cover interest payments with profits) rose to nearly 20% in the US by 2020 - Bank for International Settlements 2020) - https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2009a.htm
- Over the last 100 years, gold supplies have increased at an annual rate of only 1% to 3%, making it hard to manipulate - Mark Skousen, The Structure of Production (2015) - https://www.amazon.com/Structure-Production-Mark-Skousen/dp/1479848522
People & Concepts Mentioned:
- Michael Green: Portfolio Manager known for his research on how passive investing strategies (index funds) distort market prices.
- Paul Volcker: Former Fed Chair (1979–1987) who famously raised interest rates to 20% to crush the inflation of the 1970s.
- Paul Krugman & Paul McCulley: Economists referenced regarding their 2002 arguments for creating a "housing bubble" to replace the dot-com bubble.
- Bob Kierlin (Fastenal): The founder referenced by Paul as a prime example of ethical stewardship for distributing wealth to his employees.
Connect with Paul:
- Website: https://paddingtoncapitalmgmt.com
- Book: https://paddingtoncapitalmgmt.com/capital-offence-book-paul-musson-economic-policy-inequality-money-management-financial-intelligenc/
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paulbmusson/
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Thank you for listening. This podcast is for education only and is not financial advice.