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  • Why Small Caps Are Surging While Tech Takes a Breather

    Why Small Caps Are Surging While Tech Takes a Breather
    2026/06/14
    The Russell 2000 is up 3.1 percent in the last five days while the Nasdaq has slipped 0.2 percent. Lucas and Luna unpack what's driving this rotation into small-cap stocks in mid-June 2026. They look at the yield curve now positively sloped at 39 basis points, the VIX dropping to 17.68, and how real GDP growth of 1.6 percent is supporting domestically focused companies. The hosts discuss whether this is a genuine regime shift or just a temporary reprieve for beaten-down small caps, and what history says about small-cap leadership in a late-cycle environment. They also touch on what SpaceX's massive IPO means for retail investors who might be chasing the next big thing instead of paying attention to the rotation already happening beneath the surface. #Russell2000 #SmallCaps #Nasdaq #TechSelloff #MarketRotation #YieldCurve #VIX #GDP #SpaceX #IPO #RetailInvestors #DomesticStocks #LateCycle #FactorInvesting #Finance #StockMarket #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    10 分
  • The Russell 2000 Is Crushing the Nasdaq Right Now

    The Russell 2000 Is Crushing the Nasdaq Right Now
    2026/06/13
    The Russell 2000 is up 3.1% in the past week while the Nasdaq has slipped 0.2%. Lucas and Luna dig into what's driving this small-cap outperformance — falling Treasury yields, the yield curve uninversion, and a shift away from mega-cap tech. They discuss whether this is a genuine rotation or just a temporary relief rally, and what it means for portfolio positioning in June 2026. Plus, a look at the VIX at 17.68 and what the VVIX at 93.82 tells us about options market anxiety. Specific numbers, concrete history, and one actionable takeaway for listeners. #Russell2000 #SmallCaps #Nasdaq #StockMarket #YieldCurve #TreasuryYields #VIX #VVIX #MarketRotation #S&P500 #DowJones #FOMC #Investing #PortfolioStrategy #BearMarketPodcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    8 分
  • SpaceX IPO and the Retail Allocation Reality

    SpaceX IPO and the Retail Allocation Reality
    2026/06/12
    In this episode of The Bear Market Podcast, Lucas and Luna unpack the SpaceX IPO's retail allocation — currently in the low 20% range — and what that signals for ordinary investors. They explore why institutions dominate these high-profile listings, how the S&P 500's indirect exposure via index funds already prices in SpaceX's value, and what the $2 trillion-plus market cap implies for long-term resilience. With the S&P 500 at 7,425 and the Russell 2000 surging 3.4% in five days, they discuss whether chasing the next mega-IPO is smart or whether a grounded strategy wins. A must-listen for anyone eyeing the SpaceX debut and wondering if they're missing out. #SpaceX #IPO #RetailInvesting #StockMarket #S&P500 #Russell2000 #Nasdaq #InstitutionalInvestors #IndexFunds #MarketCap #Finance #BusinessPodcast #FexingoBusiness #BearMarketPodcast #WealthManagement #LongTermInvesting #IPOAllocation #SpaceEconomy Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    5 分
  • What SpaceXs IPO Means for Retail Investors

    What SpaceXs IPO Means for Retail Investors
    2026/06/12
    SpaceX is preparing for its record-setting IPO, with a market cap expected to exceed $2 trillion. In this episode, Lucas and Luna break down what the IPO means for everyday investors—from the retail allocation being cut to the low 20% range to the implications for those who missed the early-stage ride. They look at the history of big tech IPOs, the risks of buying at the top, and how to think about participation without getting caught up in the hype. With the S&P 500 sitting at 7,394 and the VIX at 19.44, they also discuss the broader market context and why this IPO is different from the ones that came before. If you're wondering whether to buy the SpaceX IPO or sit it out, this episode gives you the framework to decide. #SpaceXIPO #IPOInvesting #RetailInvestors #MarketCap #ElonMusk #StockMarket #Finance #InvestmentStrategy #IPODebut #SpaceX #Valuation #RiskManagement #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #BearMarketPodcast #BuyTheHype #LongTermInvesting #IPOAllocation Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    5 分
  • Why the Yield Curve Uninversion Matters for Your Portfolio

    Why the Yield Curve Uninversion Matters for Your Portfolio
    2026/06/12
    Episode 46 of The Bear Market Podcast dives into the recent yield curve uninversion and what it historically signals for markets. As of June 12, 2026, the 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.55%, the 2-year at 4.13%, and the spread has widened to 40 basis points. Lucas and Luna break down why this shift from an inverted curve to a steeper one often precedes recessions, how it's playing out differently this cycle, and what investors should watch next. They reference past cycles like 1990, 2001, and 2008, and discuss the current economic context of 1.6% real GDP growth and a VIX at 19.44. The conversation also touches on the Russell 2000's recent 3.1% gain as a potential signal for small-cap rotation. This episode is essential for anyone trying to navigate the bond market's warnings and position their portfolio for what's ahead. #YieldCurve #Uninversion #TreasuryYields #RecessionSignal #BondMarket #10YearTreasury #2YearTreasury #FederalReserve #EconomicIndicators #GDPGrowth #Russell2000 #SmallCaps #VIX #PortfolioStrategy #BearMarket #Finance #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
  • The Yield Curve Uninversion What History Says Next

    The Yield Curve Uninversion What History Says Next
    2026/06/11
    Episode 45 of The Bear Market Podcast with Fexingo. Lucas and Luna drill into a quiet but significant market signal: the yield curve has been positively sloped for over a month after two years of inversion. As of June 11, 2026, the 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.53, the 2-year at 4.13 — a spread of 40 basis points. Historically, every recession since the 1970s was preceded by a curve inversion, but the actual downturn often arrived months after the curve re-steepened. The hosts walk through the 1990-91, 2001, and 2008 examples, showing how the S&P 500 rallied an average of 8 percent in the six months after uninversion before trouble hit. They also discuss why this time might be different: the post-inversion GDP growth rate is 1.6 percent annualized, not negative, and small caps (Russell 2000) are actually up 1.4 percent in the last five days while the Nasdaq fell 1.6 percent. Lucas argues the signal is a yellow flag, not a red one. Luna pushes back on recency bias. Specific, grounded, no hot takes. #YieldCurve #Uninversion #RecessionSignal #10YearTreasury #2YearTreasury #BondMarket #S&P500 #Russell2000 #SmallCaps #GDPGrowth #BearMarketPodcast #Finance #Investing #Macro #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EconomicIndicators #BondYield Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    10 分
  • How to Read the Russell 2000 Small-Cap Divergence

    How to Read the Russell 2000 Small-Cap Divergence
    2026/06/11
    The Russell 2000 is down 2.3% in five days while the S&P 500 barely budges. Lucas and Luna dig into why this small-cap selloff matters more than headline numbers suggest. They look at the yield curve steepening to 42 basis points, the VIX jumping 44% to 22.22, and what history says about a market where large caps hide small-cap pain. The hosts walk through how small caps behave differently when the Fed is on hold, why the Russell 2000's composition makes it a leading indicator for economic uncertainty, and one concrete signal to watch before buying the dip. No hot takes — just the data and a framework for thinking about divergence trades in 2026. #Russell2000 #SmallCaps #MarketDivergence #YieldCurve #VIX #StockMarket #Investing #BearMarket #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance #SmallCapStocks #EconomicIndicators #FederalReserve #DipBuying #RiskManagement #PortfolioStrategy #MarketAnalysis Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    8 分