エピソード

  • Is Donald Trump Running Out of Power? Domestic Decay, Global Disorder, and the Question of Survival
    2025/12/20

    Thisepisode explores a central paradox of 2026: global instability is accelerating just as Donald Trump’s political power appears to be weakening. Using Francis Fukuyama’s argument that Trump has already reached “peak power,” we examine howdomestic resistance, electoral headwinds, and institutional pushback are eroding his ability to govern—even as his policies continue to fuel conflict at home and abroad.

    Drawing on recent analyses from the Council on Foreign Relations, Chatham House, and the European Council on Foreign Relations, the episode asks whether a weakened U.S.president can survive mounting domestic and international crises—and what this means for allies, especially Europe and Ukraine, in a world no longer anchored by reliable American leadership

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    9 分
  • A Dangerous Pivot: Why the U.S. Is Risking Its Own Power
    2025/12/15

    This episode unpacks the seismic shift in U.S. foreign policy revealed in Trump’s 2025 National Security Strategy. It explains how “America First” reshapes alliances, unsettles Europe, reassures autocrats, and risks weakening the foundations ofU.S. global power.

    Bibliography

    – National Security Strategy of the United States of America (2025). The White House.

    – Emily Harding, “The National Security Strategy: The Good, the Not So Great, and the Alarm Bells,” Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), 5December 2025. CSIS+1

    – Laurel Rapp, “Trump’s new national security strategy: Cut deals, hammer Europe, and tread gently around autocrats,” Chatham House, 9 December 2025. chathamhouse.org+1

    – Carl Bildt, “Reading Trump’s National Security Strategy: Europe through a distorted lens,” European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), 9 December 2025. EuropeanCouncil on Foreign Relations+1

    –Christopher Caldwell, “Trump Is Not Attacking Europe. He’s Attacking Something Else,” The New York Times, 11 December 2025 (referenced via social share). Mastodonhosted on mastodon.social

    – “Danish Intelligence Report Raises Concerns About U.S.,” reported in The New York Times, summarized viaPolitical Wire, 11 December 2025. Political Wire

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    18 分
  • Casablanca 2025: Europe, Russia and an America That Cannot Decide
    2025/12/06

    This week’s analysis looks at the future of Europe and Russia in a moment that feels similar to the film Casablanca. While Russia shows military strength and active sabotage in Europe, it also faces deep long-term weaknesses. At the same time, the United States is divided: part of America continues to defend Europe,while the MAGA movement prefers nationalist politics and even supports far-right groups inside the EU.

    Europe is now deciding whether it should keep depending on the United States or become a real strategic power of its own. Using recent investigations, expert opinions, and international news, the lesson explains how today’s choices will shape thebalance between democracy, security, and authoritarian influence in the years ahead.

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    13 分
  • The Fox, the Hedgehog, and a Bad Peace: This Week’s Lesson on Ukraine
    2025/11/30

    Thisanalysis explores the unfolding Ukraine peace negotiations through the lens of Archilochus’s metaphor of the fox and the hedgehog. The U.S.–Russia 28-point proposal, pushed by Donald Trump, is dissected as a tactical, transactional“fox” document—rich in clauses, deals, and improvisations—while Vladimir Putin’s approach is interpreted as the relentless, single-minded logic of the “hedgehog,” focused on Ukrainian subordination and territorial control. The text explains the differences between the U.S. plan and Europeancounter-proposals, identifies the clauses that jeopardize Ukrainian security, and examines how European leaders now face a decisive moment: whether to passively accept a flawed settlement or actively reshape the geopolitical termsof peace. The piece concludes with a forecast of the likely outcomes over the coming year, stressing the dangers of a bad peace and the strategic importance of European agency.

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    16 分
  • China, the U.S., and the Irony of the A.I. Doomsday Machine
    2025/11/22

    In an age where the A.I. race resembles a high-tech version of Dr. Strangelove, the world is building its own digital Doomsday Machine—vast data centers, trillion-dollar bets, and political deals that nobody fully controls. While U.S. giants like Nvidia fuel an explosive boom, China quietly advances with cheaper, faster, and surprisingly powerful open-source models. The result is a global competition shaped by cost, strategy, and geopolitical tension. This thread explores how Chinese A.I. is challenging U.S. dominance, why analysts fear an A.I. bubble, and how both nations risk locking themselves inside anunstoppable technological arms race.

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    6 分
  • The Day That Never Ended: Chile, the Far Right, and the Return of the Uncanny
    2025/11/15

    This episode reads the Chilean far right’s comeback through the lens of Zero Day (Netflix, 2025), transforming the thriller’s theme of repetition and blurred reality into a metaphor for Chile’s political unconscious. Figures like José Antonio Kast and Johannes Kaiser are seen as symptoms of a nation caught in aloop — replaying the trauma of dictatorship in digital form. Drawing on Freud’s notion of the uncanny and the concept of political repetition, the text explores how fear, nostalgia, and misinformation resurrect the ghost of Pinochet not through violence, but through routine. The piece closes by callingfor symbolic renewal — education, art, and memory — as the only ways to break Chile’s endless “zero day.”

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    5 分
  • “Better to Reign in the Bunker than Serve in the Sunlight”: Dick Cheney and the Morals of Crisis
    2025/11/10

    This episode looks at the life and legacy of Dick Cheney, the most powerful U.S. vice president of modern times. Using John Milton’s “Paradise Lost” and Machiavelli’s “The Prince” as guides, it explores how Cheney believed that in times of crisis, power must be strong—even if moral limits are stretched. The episodeexplains how his actions after 9/11 expanded presidential authority, how those powers outlived the emergency, and how, in his final years, Cheney surprised many by defending democracy against Donald Trump. The piece asks a simple moralquestion: should leaders seek to reign in crisis or serve the law that restrains them?

    #dickcheney #satan #heaven #unitedstates #trump

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    8 分
  • The Three Bodies of Deterrence: Toward a New Nuclear Triad of Fear
    2025/10/31

    This episode explores the emerging nuclear confrontation between Russia, the United States, and China through the lens of The Three-Body Problem by Liu Cixin. It connects current geopolitical events — Putin’s test of the Poseidonunderwater nuclear drone, Trump’s call for U.S. nuclear testing, and China’s rapid nuclear expansion — to the novel’s idea of an unstable three-body system where no balance is possible.

    The analysis argues that each power represents a distinct force of deterrence: Russia’s spectacle of destruction, America’s theatre of parity, and China’s silent strategic patience. Together, they form a chaotic triad that mirrors both Mearsheimer’s theory of great-power insecurity and Liu Cixin’s vision ofcosmic instability.

    In the end, the piece suggests that humanity has entered a new “nuclear era of the Real,” where fear and uncertainty themselves — not actual war — govern international order.

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    8 分