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  • Tactical Edge Podcast - Brought To You By TWM - Episode 4
    2025/12/04

    The Tactical Edge Podcast with Raj Bhuyan takes a step “off script” in this special listener Q&A episode, tackling some of the biggest questions raised by earlier shows. From what’s really real when we talk about inflation to how money supply, policy choices, and index construction shape long-term outcomes, Raj pulls back the curtain on the mechanics behind the numbers investors see every day.

    In this episode, Raj explains why he prefers pre-1983 inflation definitions, how CPI has evolved, and why those changes matter for anyone relying on bonds, cash, or “safe” yield in a world of aggressive monetary and fiscal expansion. He also introduces the Tactical Wealth Management team and walks through how macro views, technical signals, and disciplined process come together—from big-picture calls like bonds vs. gold to day-to-day positioning.

    The conversation then turns to concentration risk and cap-weighted indices, the gap between U.S. equities and emerging markets, and whether we may be approaching a major rotation in global leadership. Raj closes with a cliffhanger, setting up the next episode where CIO Marty Ruether will provide a comprehensive technical roadmap for markets into 2026 and beyond.

    Topics Covered:

    • “What is real?”—making sense of inflation, money, and purchasing power
    • Quantity Theory vs. the “inflation gap” approach (Keynes)
    • How CPI changed after 1983 and why housing/owner’s equivalent rent matters
    • Money supply, policy incentives, and the hidden cost of financial repression
    • Bonds vs. gold: macro thesis, timing, and relational price signals
    • How the Tactical Wealth Management team blends macro, technicals, and sentiment
    • Cap-weighted index concentration and the risk inside “diversified” portfolios
    • U.S. vs. emerging markets: leadership cycles and potential regime shifts
    • Why investors may feel worse than markets look on paper

    Disclaimer:
    This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult your advisor for guidance specific to your situation.

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    48 分
  • TWM Tactical Edge Podcast - Ep 3 - Hosted by Raj Bhuyan
    2025/11/13

    The Tactical Edge Podcast with Raj Bhuyan returns with a timely discussion on one of the most important — and misunderstood — elements of successful investing: proactive risk management. In this episode, Raj explores why “lane switching” in volatile markets may be the key to long-term success, and why so many investors — and even major institutions — still fail to do it effectively.

    Drawing from decades of market data, behavioral studies, and historical analogs, Raj explains how Tactical Wealth Management’s dynamic risk budgeting approach works to reduce chaos and disorder in portfolios. From market cycles and investor psychology to trend analysis and valuation extremes, this episode shows why adaptability and context matter more than ever in an era of structural change.

    Through stories that span from Benjamin Graham’s wisdom to Isaac Newton’s investment downfall, and from the 1970s Nifty Fifty crash to today’s AI-driven markets, Raj makes a powerful case for replacing passive complacency with proactive, quantitative discipline.

    Topics Covered:
    Lane switching: proactive risk management in volatile markets
    Dynamic risk budgeting and variability in portfolio exposure
    Why investor behavior — not intelligence — drives underperformance
    Historical parallels: 1970s inflation, the Nifty Fifty, and modern market concentration
    The myth of “missing the best days” and what the data really show
    How trend analysis, volatility mapping, and relational signals reveal market inflection points
    Why the next cycle may be the most challenging in a generation
    Building portfolios that can adapt, not just diversify

    Disclaimer:
    This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult your advisor for guidance specific to your situation.

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    55 分
  • Tactical Edge Podcast - Brought To You By TWM - Episode 2
    2025/10/28

    The Tactical Edge Podcast with Raj Bhuyan returns with an in-depth exploration of one of the most pivotal turning points in modern financial history — the end of U.S. dollar convertibility to gold in 1971. What really happened when President Nixon closed the gold window, and how does that decision continue to shape the global monetary system today?

    In this episode, Raj breaks down the historical context behind the dollar’s shift from a gold-backed currency to a fully fiat system, tracing the ripple effects through centuries of monetary debasement, from Rome to Henry VIII to the modern Federal Reserve. Through this lens, he examines what history teaches us about inflation, currency erosion, and the role of gold as the “original reserve currency.”

    From the rise of the Spanish Empire’s silver dominance to the creation of the Bretton Woods system, and from the global accumulation of gold by modern central banks to today’s $38 trillion U.S. debt load — this discussion connects the dots across time. Raj also highlights why investors should pay attention to the long-term decline of the dollar’s purchasing power, the renewed strength of precious metals, and the implications of AI, automation, and policy-driven monetary expansion.

    Topics Covered:

    • Why 1971 changed everything: Nixon, gold, and the end of convertibility
    • The long history of currency debasement — from Rome to modern fiat systems
    • How central banks are reaccumulating gold and what that signals
    • Historical analogs: the Spanish silver bubble, Bretton Woods, and reserve currency cycles
    • Inflation, money printing, and the challenge of preserving real wealth
    • The quiet risk of dollar concentration in global portfolios
    • What AI and fiscal policy could mean for future monetary dynamics

    Disclaimer:
    This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult your advisor for guidance specific to your situation.

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    45 分
  • Tactical Edge Podcast - Brought To You By TWM - Episode 1
    2025/10/03

    The Tactical Edge Podcast with Raj Bhujan dives into the realities of today’s financial markets and explores whether investors are sailing on a “cruise ship” or navigating the waters with a “speedboat.” In this episode, Raj breaks down macro-level trends, equity valuations, investor sentiment, and historical market cycles to uncover what the data is really telling us.

    From the unprecedented highs of the S&P 500 to the lessons of the 1970s, and from Warren Buffett’s valuation indicators to the implications of global monetary policy, this discussion goes beyond the noise to uncover the signal. Raj also highlights why investors may need to rethink autopilot strategies, consider overlooked sectors, and prepare for generational shifts in markets, bonds, commodities, and even artificial intelligence.

    This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please consult your advisor for guidance specific to your situation.

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    37 分