『Sweet Surplus: Sugar's Sticky Situation in 2026 & Beyond』のカバーアート

Sweet Surplus: Sugar's Sticky Situation in 2026 & Beyond

Sweet Surplus: Sugar's Sticky Situation in 2026 & Beyond

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This is your Daily Sugar Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey everyone, welcome back to Daily Sugar Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. I'm your host Vanessa, and today we're diving into the latest on sugar prices, market moves, and what it all means for you whether you're baking at home, running a business, or just keeping an eye on this sweet commodity.

First up, the current trading prices as of December 12th. On the NME spot trading session, six sugar contracts totaling 480 metric tons sold at an average price of 47,688 Russian rubles per metric ton, which converts to about 601 US dollars per metric ton using the Central Bank of Russia exchange rate. Over in China, white sugar futures closed the day at 5,214 with a high of 5,245. And raw sugar? It's showing strength, closing up 1.7 percent on bullish technical signals according to broker ADM ISI, with potential for a short-covering rally if it nears 15.05 cents per pound.

Looking at the bigger picture, analysts at CZ app are forecasting a massive global sugar production surplus of 9.3 million tonnes for the 2025-26 season, the second highest in the last decade. That's driven by expected recovery in northern hemisphere cane crops in places like India, Thailand, Mexico, and China, pushing total production close to a record 188.8 million tonnes. Consumption is seen dipping slightly to 179.4 million tonnes, partly due to drugs like Ozempic cutting sugar intake in wealthy countries. This surplus could ease prices starting with Brazil's cane harvest around May or June next year.

On the sweeteners side, the overall market is booming, projected to grow from 90 billion dollars in 2025 to 138 billion by 2035 at a 4.4 percent compound annual growth rate, with sucrose still dominating at nearly 80 percent share. Countries like India and China lead the charge with faster growth rates.

So what's your takeaway? If you're trading or hedging, watch those technical levels for raw sugar rallies, but brace for surplus pressure longer term. Home bakers, stock up now if prices feel right, and explore natural alternatives as health trends evolve. Stay sweet and smart out there.

Thanks for joining me on Daily Sugar Price Tracker. If you loved this, subscribe, share with a friend, and tune in tomorrow for more. Talk soon!

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This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI
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