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Sugar Prices Dip: India's Output Surges, Brazil's Ethanol Shift Looms

Sugar Prices Dip: India's Output Surges, Brazil's Ethanol Shift Looms

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This is your Daily Sugar Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey friends, welcome back to the Daily Sugar Price Tracker with me, Vanessa Clark. Today, were diving into the latest on sugar prices, market moves, and what it all means for you whether youre baking up a storm at home, running a cafe, or just keeping an eye on commodity trends.

First up, the current trading price for No.11 raw sugar futures. CZ app reports its sitting at 14.96 cents per pound right now, after softening a bit from Fridays close of 15.18 cents per pound. Trading Economics notes it dipped to 14.93 USd per pound today, down about 1.15 percent from yesterday. Over the week, it opened around 14.8 cents, rallied midweek, but pulled back on low volume. London No.5 refined sugar is hovering at USD 424 per tonne, with the white premium steady at 96 dollars per tonne.

Why the dip? Plenty of supply pressure. Indias sugar output surged 43 percent in the first two months of the 2025-26 season to 4.1 million tons, per the National Federation of Sugar Mill Cooperatives of India. Brazils Center-South region saw production up 8.7 percent year-on-year to 983,000 tons in early November, according to Unica. The International Sugar Organization forecasts a global surplus of 1.63 million tons this season, flipping from last years deficit. Speculators are still net short at over 207,000 lots, adding bearish vibes.

But hey, not all downside. In Brazil, mills might shift more cane to ethanol if oil prices perk up, which could tighten sugar supply. And in Sao Paulo, spot prices rose with firm demand for high-quality crystal sugar.

Actionable takeaway for you: If youre stocking up for baking or business, these lower prices could be a sweet spot to buy now before any weather hiccups or ethanol shifts flip the script. Watch Brazils crush numbers and Indias exports they often swing the market.

Thats your daily sugar update, packed with the freshest insights. Thanks for tuning in, friends grab that subscribe button, share with your crew, and Ill catch you next time on the Daily Sugar Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Stay sweet!

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