SpaceX Guided to $260B by 2029. Shay Bought the Lockup Fear. | Ep. 51
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TITLE: Ep 51: SpaceX Guided to $260B by 2029. Shay Bought the Lockup Fear.
DESCRIPTION: SpaceX just delivered its first earnings report as a public company, and the number nobody modeled stole the whole show. Daniel Newman and Shay Boloor spend episode 51 on the print, the lockup everyone was selling ahead of, and why a weak jobs report has the entire AI trade breathing again.
The guys go deep on SpaceX: 92% growth in an AI cloud business that was never supposed to exist at this scale, a revenue path from $44 billion this year toward $260 billion by 2029, and the math behind Shay buying the lockup fear at $109 to $110 before the print. From there it's Palantir's rerating with net dollar retention at 157% and roughly $6 billion of US commercial contract value closed, Daniel calling the end of the SaaS apocalypse, AMD's conservative guide and the Helios rack scale ramp, the no rate hike case under Kevin Warsh after a weak jobs Friday, Shay's new Vertiv position for AI power exposure, Micron over SK Hynix on HBM, and the reveal that Shay sold every share of his Tesla on a SpaceX merger theory. The Q&A covers Daniel's put selling playbook, the Oscar Health case study, T1 Energy and EOS Energy, and who wins when models get cheap.
Watch the full episode with chapters on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/bRWV51UXeDQ
The show is live every Friday. Bring your tickers and questions to the chat and the guys will take them on air.