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Soybeans Slide: Brazil Rains, Lagging Exports, & Biofuel Buzz

Soybeans Slide: Brazil Rains, Lagging Exports, & Biofuel Buzz

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This is your Daily Soybeans Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey friends, welcome back to Daily Soybeans Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. I'm Vanessa, your go-to gal for all things soybeans, and today we're diving into the freshest market buzz, trading action, and what it means for you.

Let's kick off with the big number youre probably here for: January soybeans futures are sitting at about 10.72 bucks per bushel right now, according to Ever.Ag spot market data from this afternoon. Thats down a smidge, around 4 to 6 cents from recent sessions, with some early morning firmness giving way to pressure as the day wore on. Grainsprices.com noted it opened around 10.78 this morning, but Total Farm Marketing reports its dipped near 10.70 midday. Soybean meal is holding steadier at 303.70, up a touch.

Why the dip? Beneficial rains hit Brazil over the weekend, easing weather worries there, as ADMIS points out, and their soybean planting is now 97% done per AgRural. US exports are lagging big time, down 42% from last year at 371 million bushels so far, says Ohio Ag Net, with corn stealing the show instead. China grabbed 136,000 metric tons of US soybeans this morning per USDA flash sales, their fourth straight day buying, and theyre inching toward that 12 million ton deal, notes AgMarket.Net. But tough South American competition and uncertainty over US biofuel programs like 45Z are keeping things volatile. NOPA November crush estimates came in strong at over 220 million bushels, with soy oil stocks at a seven-month high, tying into renewable fuels demand.

Looking ahead, watch for catch-up export sales data expecting 0.8 to 3 million metric tons, and that October gap in January futures is just 10 cents away from filling. Managed money holds a hefty net long over 229,000 contracts.

Actionable tip for you farmers and traders: If youre holding soybeans, consider support at 10.68 from the 100-day moving average per AgMarket.Net, and resistance up at 10.98. Scale out on rallies if exports stay soft, or hedge with meal if crush margins firm up. Volatilitys expected into 2026, so stay nimble.

Thats your daily soybeans scoop, friends. Thanks for tuning in, hit subscribe so you never miss an update, and Ill catch you next time on Daily Soybeans Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Take care!

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