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Silicon Valley VCs Navigate AI Booms and Economic Headwinds

Silicon Valley VCs Navigate AI Booms and Economic Headwinds

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概要

 Silicon Valley venture capital firms are navigating a whirlwind of AI-driven opportunities and economic headwinds, with massive infrastructure bets dominating recent headlines. Oracle's bombshell announcement on February 1, 2026, revealed plans to raise $45 to $50 billion in equity and debt this year to fuel its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure expansion, serving AI giants like OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, and Meta. This underscores VC confidence in cloud and AI scalability despite high capex demands.

Y Combinator, the iconic accelerator, continues its B2B dominance, with over 5,000 companies backed generating $600 billion in valuation. In 2025, YC ramped up fintech deals by 65%, hitting 100 investments by September, while B2B SaaS in sales, HR, and dev tools leads at 35% of focus. Hugging Face's rejection of Nvidia's $500 million offer at a $7 billion valuation highlights founders prioritizing independence amid fierce AI competition.

Economic challenges are testing investors. Microsoft's Q2 2026 earnings sparked stock slides as Azure growth lagged surging capex, with CEO Satya Nadella pushing "tokens per watt per dollar" as the new AI efficiency metric. Investors fret over ROI timelines, especially with 45% of Microsoft's remaining performance obligations tied to OpenAI. Tesla's $2 billion pour into xAI and Optimus robots signals a pivot from EVs, mirroring broader shifts to AI and robotics.

Peter Thiel's Thiel Macro fund dumped Nvidia and Tesla, loading up on Apple and Microsoft, which now claim 61% of its portfolio, betting on their AI integrations like Apple's Gemini-powered Siri and Microsoft's Agent 365. Trends show caution on bubbles—top economist Oliver Lamont says no IPO flood like dotcom days proves smart money's restraint, though 2026 could see mega-IPOs from OpenAI and others.

Firms respond by doubling down on AI infrastructure, enterprise pragmatism, and measurable returns, with less buzz on climate tech or diversity mandates amid macro caution. Funding stats reflect resilience: Oracle's 185% cloud growth projection outpaces peers, while CoreWeave enters enterprise radars.

These dynamics point to a maturing VC landscape—AI flywheels will propel winners, but decoupling capex from quick revenue risks shakeouts. Silicon Valley's future hinges on efficient scaling, not hype.

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