Psychology of Intelligence Analysis - Richards J. Heuer, Jr.
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"Psychology of Intelligence Analysis" by Richards J. Heuer, Jr. is a book that explores the cognitive limitations of intelligence analysts and how they can improve their decision-making. The book discusses how human perception, memory, and information processing can lead to biases and errors in judgment. Heuer identifies strategies for analysts to overcome these limitations, including questioning their assumptions, considering alternative perspectives, and structuring analytical problems systematically. He also highlights the importance of identifying and evaluating competing hypotheses. Jack Davis, the author of the book's introduction, provides insights into the work of other influential figures in intelligence analysis, such as Sherman Kent, Robert Gates, and Douglas MacEachin. The book emphasizes the importance of training and promoting a culture of analytical excellence within intelligence agencies.