エピソード

  • Dr. Mark Thornton: ‘Firestorm’ to hit Global Economy & The Commodity Supercycle

    Dr. Mark Thornton: ‘Firestorm’ to hit Global Economy & The Commodity Supercycle
    2026/04/30

    Your host, Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Dr. Mark Thornton to the show. Dr. Mark Thornton is Economist and Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute. This discussion centers on global economic disruptions, particularly in commodity markets and energy sectors, stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Dr. Thornton highlights the significant impact of potential oil and gas supply disruptions, estimating that 15-20% of global supply might be affected.

    Timestamps:
    00:00:00 – Introduction
    00:01:05 – Global Economy Uncertainty
    00:04:10 – Middle East Disruption Impact
    00:04:57 – Stock Market vs Oil Discrepancy
    00:06:52 – Supply Chain Byproducts Effects
    00:11:13 – Oil Cutoff Long-term Consequences
    00:14:33 – Global Pain Points Analysis
    00:22:38 – Reshoring vs Free Trade
    00:31:26 – Natural Gas Opportunities North America
    00:39:08 – Unleashing US Resource Potential
    00:43:43 – Petrodollar System Cracks
    00:50:25 – Gold Settlement Currency Role
    00:56:03 – Gold & Fiat Currencies
    01:02:42 – Concluding Thoughts

    Guest Links:
    Website: https://mises.org
    X: https://x.com/DrMarkThornton
    E-Mail: mailto:mthornton@mises.org
    YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=mark+thornton+minor+issues
    Book-Hayek: https://mises.org/library/book/hayek-21st-century-essays-political-economy

    Dr. Mark Thornton is a Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute and formerly held the Peterson-Luddy Chair in Austrian Economics. He hosts the podcasts Minor Issues and Unanimity and is Book Review Editor of the Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics. His books include The Economics of Prohibition, Tariffs, Blockades, and Inflation, The Bastiat Collection, and The Skyscraper Curse.

    He has served on multiple editorial boards, taught economics at several universities, and worked as Assistant Superintendent of Banking and adviser to Alabama Governor Fob James. He holds degrees from St. Bonaventure University and Auburn University and has debated the “War on Drugs” at the Oxford Union.

    Dr. Thornton has been featured in major outlets such as The Economist, Forbes, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and USA Today, along with numerous international and regional newspapers. His commentary appears regularly on the Mises Institute’s platforms and on programs such as Boom-Bust, the Tom Woods Show, and the Scott Horton Show.
    続きを読む 一部表示
    1 時間 5 分
  • Bob Moriarty: Iran War Most Important ‘Turning-Point’ in My Life, Commodities Set To Skyrocket

    Bob Moriarty: Iran War Most Important ‘Turning-Point’ in My Life, Commodities Set To Skyrocket
    2026/04/24

    Stijn Schmitz welcomes backBob Moriarty back to the show. Bob is an author, the founder of 321 Gold, and a former marine fighter pilot. In this wide-ranging interview, Moriarty provides a critical geopolitical analysis of the current tensions in the Middle East, particularly focusing on the conflict involving Iran, Israel, and the United States. Moriarty argues that the conflict with Iran has been planned for 40 years and is fundamentally a voluntary war driven by Israel’s strategic interests. He emphasizes that Iran does not have a nuclear weapons program and that the current situation represents an extremely dangerous geopolitical moment. The disruption of the Strait of Hormuz has significant global implications, potentially affecting oil supplies, fertilizer distribution, and global trade.

    The discussion extensively covers the economic ramifications of these geopolitical tensions. Moriarty predicts severe consequences, including potential food shortages, fuel scarcity, and disruptions in medical supply chains. He suggests that the world is transitioning from a debt-based economic system to a resource-based system, with countries like China and Russia strategically positioning themselves. A key theme of the conversation is the role of gold in the global financial system. Moriarty views physical gold and silver as insurance policies against financial chaos and believes the world will inevitably return to a gold standard out of necessity. He points out that the United States is already exporting non-monetary gold as a means of international settlement. Moriarty is highly critical of current leadership in the United States and Israel, arguing that there are no “adults in the room” capable of finding a rational solution to the ongoing conflicts. He warns that if the current situation continues unresolved, the world could face catastrophic economic and humanitarian consequences.

    Timestamps:
    00:00:00 – Introduction
    00:00:55 – Geopolitical Chessboard Analysis
    00:04:33 – Iran’s Fight for Survival
    00:09:30 – Israel and Iran Vulnerabilities
    00:14:30 – Petrodollar and Middle East Peace
    00:18:46 – Companies with Benefits?
    00:21:21 – Strait of Hormuz Blockade
    00:23:20 – The Role of Gold
    00:28:35 – Hyperinflation Scenario
    00:33:35 – Hidden US Casualties Revealed
    00:36:32 – Oil, Inflation, & Efficency
    00:39:21 – Fertilizer and Supply Disruptions
    00:44:05 – Curent Political Leadership
    00:50:09 – Gold as Financial Insurance
    00:53:35 – Fuel Bail-Outs
    00:54:30 – 321 Gold & Books

    Guest Links:
    Website: http://www.321gold.com
    Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Robert-Moriarty/e/B01A9I4TJU?ref=sr_ntt_srch_lnk_3&qid=1599932580&sr=8-3

    Bob Moriarty founded 321gold.com with his late wife, Barbara Moriarty, more than 16 years ago. They later added 321energy.com to cover oil, natural gas, gasoline, coal, solar, wind, and nuclear energy. Both sites feature articles, editorial opinions, pricing figures, and updates on both sectors’ current events. Previously, Moriarty was a Marine F-4B and O-1 pilot, with more than 832 missions in Vietnam. He holds fourteen international aviation records.
    続きを読む 一部表示
    56 分
  • Steve Hanke: Massive Inflation Ahead & Markets ‘Totally Complacent’ On Iran War

    Steve Hanke: Massive Inflation Ahead & Markets ‘Totally Complacent’ On Iran War
    2026/04/23
    Stijn Schmitz welcomes Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University, to discuss global economic trends, monetary policy, and the emerging commodity super cycle. The professor’s outlook suggests a complex economic landscape with potential for significant disruption, driven by monetary policy, geopolitical tensions, and structural changes in global trade and commodity markets. Hanke emphasizes the critical importance of money supply as a key indicator of economic activity and inflation, noting that the United States is currently experiencing an accelerating money supply that will make controlling inflation challenging. The discussion highlights several significant global economic dynamics, particularly focusing on commodity markets and geopolitical tensions. Hanke argues that the world is entering a commodity super cycle characterized by underinvestment, supply chain disruptions, and precautionary inventory building. The ongoing conflict in the Gulf region and disruptions to global trade have further complicated commodity markets, with potential oil prices ranging from $100 to $350 per barrel depending on supply constraints. Geopolitically, Hanke suggests that Russia and China are emerging as significant winners in this environment, while the United States has potentially weakened its global position through its actions. He dismisses concerns about de-dollarization, arguing that the US dollar remains the dominant global currency with limited realistic alternatives. On inflation, Hanke predicts continued upward pressure due to monetary policy loosening, commercial bank lending growth, and federal reserve actions. He emphasizes that inflation is fundamentally a monetary phenomenon, driven by increases in money supply rather than isolated economic events. Regarding commodities, Hanke identifies several sectors poised for growth, including critical materials like lithium and vanadium. He recommends investors be “long everything” in the commodity space, noting significant price increases in various exotic commodities. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:52 – Key Economic Metrics 00:02:00 – US Money Supply Acceleration 00:03:58 – China’s Inflation Challenges 00:04:56 – Commodity Supply Disruptions 00:05:30 – US Tariffs and Sanctions 00:07:13 – Iran War and Strait Closure 00:11:55 – Iranian Economy 00:12:45 – Oil Price Scenarios 00:13:10 – Commodity Super Cycle Thesis 00:17:00 – Oil Supply Impacts 00:20:44 – Market Complacency on Risks 00:24:06 – Winners and Losers Analysis 00:25:12 – China’s Economy 00:27:55 – De-Dollarization Myths 00:30:36 – Gold’s Geopolitical Role 00:33:15 – Supply Shocks & Infrastructure 00:37:20 – Inflation and Money Supply 00:41:40 – Treasury Demand & Inflation 00:46:40 – Bank Lending & Money Supply 00:48:28 – Commodity Picks & Wrap Up Guest Links: X: https://x.com/steve_hanke Website: https://thegoldsentimentreport.com Amazon Book: https://www.amazon.com/Making-Money-Work-Rewrite-Financial/dp/1394257260 Amazon Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Interest-Waiting-Controversies-Additions/dp/3031633970 E-Mail: mailto:hanke@jhu.edu Steve H. Hanke is a Professor of Applied Economics and Founder & Co-Director of the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise at The Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. He is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Troubled Currencies Project at the Cato Institute in Washington, D.C., a Senior Advisor at the Renmin University of China’s International Monetary Research Institute in Beijing, a Special Counselor to the Center for Financial Stability in New York, a contributing editor at Central Banking in London, and a regular contributor to the Wall Street Journal’s Opinion pages. Prof. Hanke is also a member of the Charter Council of the Society of Economic Measurement and of Euromoney Country Risk’s Experts Panel. In the past, Prof. Hanke taught economics at the Colorado School of Mines and at the University of California, Berkeley. He served as a Member of the Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors in Maryland in 1976-77, as a Senior Economist on President Reagan’s Council of Economic Advisors in 1981-82, and as a Senior Advisor to the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress in 1984-88. Prof. Hanke served as a State Counselor to both the Republic of Lithuania in 1994-96 and the Republic of Montenegro in 1999-2003. He was also an Advisor to the Presidents of Bulgaria in 1997- 2002, Venezuela in 1995-96, and Indonesia in 1998. He played an important role in establishing new currency regimes in Argentina, Estonia, Bulgaria, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Ecuador, Lithuania, and Montenegro. Prof. Hanke has also held senior appointments in the governments of many other countries, including Albania, Kazakhstan, the United Arab Emirates, and Yugoslavia. Prof. Hanke has been awarded honorary doctorate degrees by the Bulgarian Academy ...
    続きを読む 一部表示
    51 分
  • Rory Johnston: This is When Oil Prices Will Shoot Higher | Demand Destruction

    Rory Johnston: This is When Oil Prices Will Shoot Higher | Demand Destruction
    2026/04/22

    Stijn Schmitz welcomes Rory Johnston to the show. Rory Johnston is Commodity Market Research who specializes in oil and gas. This episode delves into the complex dynamics of the current oil market crisis stemming from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, exploring the profound implications for global energy supply and geopolitical tensions. Johnston provides a detailed analysis of the current oil market situation, highlighting that approximately 20 million barrels of oil per day typically transit through the Strait of Hormuz, with about 13 million barrels currently disrupted. Despite this massive supply shock, oil prices remain surprisingly low, which Johnston attributes to several factors, including market resilience, slow-moving commodity markets, and complex geopolitical negotiations.

    The discussion reveals the potential devastating consequences of prolonged strait closure, particularly for developing countries. While advanced economies might absorb price increases, many regions in the global south could experience complete fuel shortages, causing significant economic and humanitarian challenges. Johnston predicts that if the situation continues, demand destruction will become inevitable, potentially forcing prices to astronomical levels.

    Interestingly, the conversation also explores the nuanced motivations of key players like the United States, Iran, and Israel. Johnston suggests that Iran potentially benefits from prolonging the conflict, while the United States appears increasingly desperate to reach a resolution. He believes the crisis will likely conclude with Iran gaining some recognized control over the Strait of Hormuz. Johnston’s base case scenario anticipates the strait potentially reopening by mid-May, but warns that the market will require months to rebalance. The cumulative oil supply loss could reach over 1.2 billion barrels, fundamentally altering the global oil market’s dynamics. He emphasizes that what was previously an oversupplied market will likely transform into a tighter, potentially higher-priced environment.

    Timestamps:
    00:00:00 – Introduction
    00:00:48 – Strait of Hormuz Basics
    00:01:55 – Supply Rerouting Efforts
    00:02:57 – Total Supply Losses
    00:06:09 – Replacing Lost Production
    00:08:46 – Demand Destruction Scenario
    00:11:15 – Price Reaction Analysis
    00:19:23 – Trump’s Market Interventions
    00:23:43 – US Treasury Intervention?
    00:25:24 – Regional Shortage Timelines
    00:30:41 – Global South Impacts
    00:32:20 – War Incentives Discussion
    00:41:40 – Iran, Trump, & Israel
    00:46:11 – Base Case Outlook
    00:51:56 – Refinery Fire Concerns
    00:55:54 – Wrap Up

    Guest Links:
    Substack: https://www.commoditycontext.com/
    X: https://x.com/Rory_Johnston

    Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto’s Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, host of the Oil Ground Up podcast, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines.

    He is a leading voice on oil market analysis, advising institutional investors, global policy makers, and corporate decision makers. His views are regularly quoted in major international media including the Financial Times, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Reuters, BNN Bloomberg, CBC, and Financial Post, and he frequently appears on numerous market and industry podcasts (e.g., Bloomberg’s Odd Lots, Hidden Forces, etc.).

    Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank where he set the bank’s energy and metals price forecasts, advised the bank’s executives and clients, and sat on the bank’s senior credit committee for commodity-exposed sectors.
    続きを読む 一部表示
    58 分
  • Rick Rule: The Energy Crisis, Opportunities in Fertilizers, Helium & Gold

    Rick Rule: The Energy Crisis, Opportunities in Fertilizers, Helium & Gold
    2026/04/17

    Stijn Schmitz welcomes back legendary investor and speculator Rick Rule to the show. Rick discusses the current commodity landscape, with a particular focus on energy, geopolitical tensions, and investment opportunities. He provides insights into the oil market, highlighting significant supply challenges and potential disruptions. He notes that global underinvestment in sustaining capital, particularly in the energy sector, could lead to substantial price increases in the coming years. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has further complicated the energy market, with potential long-term implications for global supply chains.

    Regarding commodities, Rule discusses opportunities in helium, fertilizers, and precious metals. He emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking in commodity investments, particularly in the agricultural sector, where demographic shifts will continue to drive demand. On gold, Rule presents a compelling case for holding the metal as a savings instrument, arguing that not holding gold is “irresponsible.” He views gold as a critical asset that maintains purchasing power and provides liquidity during economic uncertainties.

    Rule provides nuanced perspectives on investment strategies, particularly in natural resource sectors. He highlights the potential in junior mining exploration, noting that while the sector as a whole destroys capital, the top 10% of companies can generate significant value. His approach emphasizes thorough research, patience, and a willingness to hold investments through volatile periods.

    The discussion also touches on geopolitical risks and investment opportunities in less-explored markets. Rule suggests that Western investors often overestimate political risks in unfamiliar regions and underestimate risks in seemingly stable markets like the US and Canada. Throughout the conversation, Rule demonstrates his characteristic blend of macroeconomic insight, speculative wisdom, and pragmatic investment philosophy.

    Timestamps:
    00:00:00 – Introduction
    00:01:00 – Oil Supply Disruptions
    00:02:54 – War Impact on Prices
    00:04:22 – If War Ends Scenario
    00:05:18 – Long-term Underinvestment
    00:06:20 – Historical Oil Parallels
    00:08:20 – Oil Equities Valuation
    00:09:54 – Producer Opportunities Overview
    00:17:03 – Other Commodities Disrupted
    00:22:58 – Fertilizers and Potash
    00:28:50 – Gold’s Portfolio Role
    00:33:00 – Gold & Emerg. Selling
    00:35:20 – Silver and Miners
    00:38:20 – Hated Places
    00:40:49 – Precious Metals Miners
    00:44:00 – Junior Explorers Value
    00:47:10 – Developers
    00:49:10 – Wrap Up & Conference

    Guest Links:
    X: https://x.com/@realrickrule
    Website: https://ruleinvestmentmedia.com
    YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@RuleInvestmentMedia
    Classroom: https://ruleclassroom.com
    Battle Bank: https://battlebank.com

    Rick Rule has dedicated his entire adult life to many aspects of natural resources securities investing. Besides the knowledge and experience gained in a long and focused career, he has a global network of contacts in the natural resources and finance sectors.

    Mr. Rule is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and is regularly interviewed for radio, television, print, and online media outlets concerning natural resources investment and industry topics. Prominent natural resources-oriented newsletters and advisories frequently quote him. Mr. Rule and his team have expertise in many resource sectors, including agriculture, alternative energy, forestry, oil and gas, mining, and water.
    続きを読む 一部表示
    54 分
  • Col. Douglas Macgregor: ‘Complete Disaster’ For The Global Economy, Fuel-Rationing & Famine

    Col. Douglas Macgregor: ‘Complete Disaster’ For The Global Economy, Fuel-Rationing & Famine
    2026/04/16
    Stijn Schmitz welcomes Colonel Douglas Macgregor to the show. Douglas is a retired U.S. Army Colonel & Decorated Combat Veteran. In a comprehensive analysis, Macgregor provides a dire assessment of the current geopolitical and economic landscape, focusing on the potential escalation of conflict in the Middle East and its global implications. Macgregor warns of a severe global crisis emerging from ongoing tensions, particularly highlighting the devastating impact on the global energy and fertilizer markets. He explains that approximately 15-20 million barrels of oil have been removed from the market, and 35% of global fertilizer production has been disrupted. This disruption could lead to widespread food shortages, potential famines in the global south, and significant economic challenges for countries worldwide. The discussion centers on the potential for a massive air and missile campaign against Iran, which Macgregor believes could be catastrophically counterproductive. He argues that Iran has substantially rebuilt its military capabilities, with an estimated 45-50,000 drones and 15-20,000 ballistic and cruise missiles, supported by improved air defense systems from China and Russia. Macgregor critically examines the motivations behind the potential conflict, suggesting it stems from Israeli demands and pressure from what he calls the “Zionist billionaire class.” He emphasizes the potential economic consequences, including a possible global recession or depression, disruptions in shipping, and severe energy shortages. The conversation also delves into broader economic implications, including the potential death of the petrodollar, resource nationalism, and the importance of hard assets like gold and silver. Macgregor strongly advises investors to prepare for challenging times by investing in tangible assets and maintaining cash reserves. Ultimately, he calls for rational leadership to prevent a potential humanitarian disaster, warning that the current trajectory could lead to significant global instability and economic upheaval. Macgregor’s analysis presents a stark and sobering view of the current geopolitical and economic landscape. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:38 – Welcoming Colonel McGregor 00:01:02 – Iran War Ceasefire Analysis 00:01:53 – Global Energy Complex Crisis 00:02:36 – Fertilizer Shortage Famine Risk 00:04:35 – Diesel Supply Europe Challenges 00:07:09 – Petrodollar System Collapse 00:09:16 – Trump Israel Iran Demands 00:13:00 – Iranian Defense Blockade Issues 00:15:08 – Upcoming Air Missile Campaign 00:20:09 – Infrastructure Destruction Escalation 00:22:01 – Global Recession Depression Warnings 00:25:13 – Gold Silver Investment Urgency 00:27:49 – Oil Market Reality Discrepancy 00:34:53 – Resource Nationalism Sovereignty Path 00:45:26 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://douglasmacgregor.com X: https://x.com/DougAMacgregor YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@douglasmacgregorTV Articles: https://breakingdefense.com/author/doug-macgregor/ Substack: https://substack.com/@coloneldoug Douglas Macgregor is a decorated combat veteran, an author of five books, a PhD, and a defense and foreign policy consultant. Macgregor was commissioned in the Regular Army in 1976 after 1 year at VMI and 4 years at West Point. In 2004, Macgregor retired with the rank of Colonel. In 2020, the President appointed Macgregor to serve as Senior Advisor to the Secretary of Defense, a post he held until President Trump left office. He holds an MA in comparative politics and a PhD in international relations from the University of Virginia. Macgregor is widely known inside the U.S., Europe, Israel, Russia, China and Korea for both his leadership in the Battle of 73 Easting, the U.S. Army’s largest tank battle since World War II, and for his ground breaking books on military transformation: Breaking the Phalanx (Praeger, 1997) and Transformation under Fire (Praeger, 2003). Macgregor’s recommendations for change in Force Design and “integrated all arms-all effects” operations have profoundly influenced force development in Israel, Russia and China. In 2010, Macgregor traveled to Seoul, Korea to advise the ROK Ministry of Defense on force design. In 2019, Transformation under Fire was selected by Lt. Gen. Aviv Kohavi, Chief of the Israeli Defense Force (IDF), as the intellectual basis for IDF transformation. His fifth book, Margin of Victory: Five Battles that Changed the Face of Modern War from Naval Institute Press is available in Chinese, as well as, English and will soon appear in Hebrew. In 28 years of service Macgregor taught in the Department of Social Sciences at West Point, commanded the 1st Squadron, 4th Cavalry, and served as the Director of the Joint Operations Center at SHAPE during the 1999 Kosovo Air Campaign for which he was awarded the Defense Superior Service medal. In January 2002, at Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld’s ...
    続きを読む 一部表示
    48 分
  • Dr. Stephen Leeb: The Return of Gold, Death of the Petro-Dollar & Critical Mineral Shortages

    Dr. Stephen Leeb: The Return of Gold, Death of the Petro-Dollar & Critical Mineral Shortages
    2026/04/15
    Stijn Schmitz welcomes Dr. Stephen Leeb to the show. Dr. Stephen is Author and Founder of Leeb Capital Management. In this wide-ranging discussion, Leeb provides a comprehensive analysis of the global economic landscape, focusing on commodities, geopolitics, and the potential role of gold in reshaping the international monetary system. Leeb argues that the world is at a critical juncture, with natural gas and gold emerging as key strategic assets. He highlights the United States’ unexpected advantage in liquefied natural gas (LNG) and suggests that cooperation, rather than conflict, is the path forward for global economic stability. The conversation then delves into the declining status of the US dollar and the potential for a gold-backed monetary system, with China and Russia playing significant roles in this potential transition. Stephen emphasizes the critical shortage of fundamental commodities, particularly copper and silver, and the need for sustainable energy solutions. Leeb warns that a shortage of any major critical commodity could lead to severe economic consequences, underlining the importance of international cooperation in resource management. A central theme of the conversation is the potential for gold to serve as a unifying monetary force. Leeb views gold as more than just a commodity, describing it almost as a spiritual bridge between beauty and materiality. He suggests that countries adopting a gold standard have historically performed exceptionally well, and that gold could be instrumental in creating a more cooperative global economic system. Leeb is particularly critical of current geopolitical tensions, especially between the United States, China, and Russia. He advocates for a collaborative approach, arguing that cooperation is the key to addressing global challenges in resource scarcity, technological innovation, and economic development. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:50 – Iran War Economic Impact 00:01:22 – LNG US Strategic Advantage 00:03:41 – Petrodollar System Origins 00:04:45 – Natural Gas Byproducts Value 00:08:47 – End of Petrodollar Era 00:11:21 – Europe’s Economic Crossroads 00:13:41 – Global Cooperation Imperative 00:18:07 – Gold Monetary System Role 00:21:03 – Oil Price Discrepancies Explained 00:24:50 – Market Manipulation Concerns 00:25:52 – China’s Gold Wealth Strategy 00:50:11 – Commodity Supercycle Potential 00:52:04 – Sustainability and Resource Scarcity 00:64:81 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://tti.kartra.com/page/AboutTTI Substack: https://drstephenleebphd.substack.com/ Website: https://www.stephenleeb.com/ X: https://x.com/DrStephenLeeb Book Sample: https://read.amazon.com/sample/126044127X?clientId=share Dr. Stephen Leeb is a recognized authority on the stock market, macroeconomic trends, and commodities, especially oil and precious metals. As Chairman and Chief Investment Officer of Leeb Capital Management, Dr. Leeb combines his knowledge of macro-economic trends and current market conditions with detailed information about specific companies he follows to guide the Committee’s investment decisions. Stephen Leeb is a financial author, wealth manager, and publisher of a family of investment newsletters. He has been a recurring guest on CNN, Fox News, NPR, Bloomberg, and many others through the years. Leeb was also said to be one of the country’s foremost financial experts, with Charlie Gasparino in 2016 recommending Leeb as a good candidate for Federal Reserve Chairman. Leeb earned a B.S. in Economics from the Wharton School of Business. He also earned a Master’s in Mathematics and a Ph.D. in Psychology from the University of Illinois. He authored research papers on psychology and statistics in the peer-reviewed journal Psychological Reports. Stephen Leeb is married and lives in New York City, New York. Leeb has written nine books on macroeconomic trends, finance, and investment, including the New York Times Best Sellers. Stephen’s recent book Red Alert was awarded the 2012 Axiom Business Book Awards silver medal in the International Business/Globalization category.
    続きを読む 一部表示
    1 時間 6 分
  • David Skarica: The Final ‘Extremely’ Parabolic Move for Gold, 10-Bagger Juniors & Higher Oil Prices

    David Skarica: The Final ‘Extremely’ Parabolic Move for Gold, 10-Bagger Juniors & Higher Oil Prices
    2026/04/10

    Stijn Schmitz welcomes David Skarica to the show. David Skarica is Contrarian Investor and the Founder of Profit From Pessimism. In this wide-ranging discussion, Skarica offers insights into current market dynamics, focusing on gold, commodities, and investment strategies. Skarica views the current gold market as part of a long-term macro trend that began in 1999, with potentially another four to six years of growth ahead. He attributes this potential to global debt levels, which have reached unprecedented heights. Central bank buying and potential retail investor interest are additional factors supporting gold’s trajectory. While gold has already seen significant appreciation, Skarica believes we are only in the first or second stage of its bull market in terms of pricing.

    Regarding mining stocks, Skarica is particularly interested in smaller miners near production or with strong cash flow potential. He sees opportunities in junior mining companies that can potentially increase their market capitalization significantly. His investment approach focuses on finding undervalued companies with asymmetric risk-reward profiles, preferring to make concentrated bets on a handful of carefully selected investments.

    Stijn also explores energy markets, with Skarica noting potential opportunities in oil, natural gas, and even renewable energy sectors. He suggests that the ongoing geopolitical tensions and increased energy demands from technological developments like AI could support higher energy prices and create investment opportunities. Skarica’s investment philosophy emphasizes contrarian thinking, patience, and seeking value in overlooked or undervalued assets. He warns against over-concentration in any single investment and recommends diversification across sectors and careful position sizing.

    Timestamps:
    00:00:00 – Introduction
    00:00:42 – Market Volatility Overview
    00:01:49 – Precious Metals Bull Market
    00:03:54 – Opportunities in Miners
    00:07:48 – Gold as Ultimate Hedge
    00:08:47 – Central Bank Buying
    00:11:13 – Debasement and Debt
    00:16:22 – Bull Cycle Analysis
    00:20:29 – Gold Majors Valuation
    00:24:14 – Junior Miners Strategy
    00:33:54 – Oil Energy Outlook
    00:43:13 – LNG Natural Gas Plays
    00:50:42 – Concluding Thoughts

    Guest Links:
    X: https://x.com/DavidSkarica
    Website: https://profitfrompessimism.com
    YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/@profitpess

    David Skarica had an interest in financial markets at an early age. At the age of 16, he read the small booklet “The Plague of the Black Debt”, by James Dale Davidson, which was given to him by his uncle.

    David was always a sports stat nut, loving football, hockey and baseball stats, which lead to David becoming intrigued with economics and markets. David is such an avid Football and Las Vegas Raiders fan — his principal in grammar school was Bernie Custis, who was the late Raiders owner Al Davis’ roommate at Syracuse University, and the first ever African American quarterback in college and pro football history — that he also runs his own football vlog, Raiders Greats, which discusses great Raiders player of the past. He also is a soccer fan who supports Leeds Utd., as his father was born in Leeds, England.

    In 1996, at the age of 18, David became the youngest person on record (that he knows of anyhow) to obtain the Canadian Securities Course (CSC) license to trade investment securities.

    In the late 1990s, David felt that the market was becoming another epic bubble similar to the bubble of the 1920s, so he decided at the tender age of 20 to write his first book, Stock Market Panic!, which was published in 1998. Over the next decade, gold soared from $250 an ounce to nearly $1900, while the S&P 500 lost value.

    In the same year that this book was published, he decided to start his newsletter, Addicted to Profits. The newsletter’s name was a spin on Robert Palmer’s famed song Addicted to Love. The irony was Robert Palmer recorded this song in the Bahamas ay the famous Compass Point Recording Studio, and David himself would end up moving to the Bahamas in 2005 (another Irony about David moving to the Bahamas is that his mentor Sir John Templeton also resided there).
    続きを読む 一部表示
    1分未満