On The Ledge

著者： Story Studio Network Dave Trafford and iContact Productions
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  • The Ledge, n: slang for the legislature. Mostly used by members of the legislative press gallery.
    On the Ledge posts weekly when the Ontario Legislature is sitting. But there have been times when we've had to "recall" the Ledge for an emergency session to address pressing matters of Ontario politics when Queen's Park isn't sitting!

    Our OTL team includes former Ontario Premier, Kathleen Wynne, former Progressive Conservative Leader, (and Wynne's erstwhile parliamentary sparring partner), Tim Hudak, Queen's Park broadcast commentator Keith Leslie, John Wright, our veteran pollster and co-founding host, and Dave Trafford, Chief Executive Producer at Story Studio Network.
    Copyright Story Studio Network
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あらすじ・解説

The Ledge, n: slang for the legislature. Mostly used by members of the legislative press gallery.
On the Ledge posts weekly when the Ontario Legislature is sitting. But there have been times when we've had to "recall" the Ledge for an emergency session to address pressing matters of Ontario politics when Queen's Park isn't sitting!

Our OTL team includes former Ontario Premier, Kathleen Wynne, former Progressive Conservative Leader, (and Wynne's erstwhile parliamentary sparring partner), Tim Hudak, Queen's Park broadcast commentator Keith Leslie, John Wright, our veteran pollster and co-founding host, and Dave Trafford, Chief Executive Producer at Story Studio Network.
Copyright Story Studio Network
政治・政府 政治学
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エピソード
  • Rants, Rifts, and Rulings- Ford’s Fury and Inside the Conservative Civil War

    Rants, Rifts, and Rulings- Ford’s Fury and Inside the Conservative Civil War
    2025/05/01
    On the Ledge – May 1, 2025

    Host: Dave Trafford Guests: Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, John Wright

    Episode Summary:
    In this week's fiery edition of On the Ledge, host Dave Trafford is joined by Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, and John Wright to unpack a turbulent week in Canadian conservative politics.

    The panel dissects the fallout from the recent federal election, including Jamil Jivani’s scathing remarks about Doug Ford, rising tensions between provincial and federal Conservatives, and speculation about Pierre Poilievre’s future as leader.

    The discussion pivots to Premier Ford’s explosive rant about the judiciary, prompting a lively debate over judicial independence, policy-making, and political accountability.

    As Ontario barrels toward a new political season, the hosts reflect on the role of pragmatism, governance, and due process in a rapidly polarizing landscape.

    Key Takeaways:
    • Jamil Jivani’s blistering critique of Doug Ford sparked fresh infighting between federal and provincial Conservatives.
    • Kathleen Wynne called the tensions “more personal than strategic,” highlighting a leadership vacuum and raw post-election emotions.
    • Tim Hudak framed Ford’s popularity as a national Conservative asset, cautioning against picking fights with Ontario’s three-time majority Premier.
    • The panel debated Pierre Poilievre’s silence and whether he can unify the party or is losing control of the narrative.
    • Premier Ford’s controversial rant about “electing judges” led to sharp critique from Wynne and Wright, who defended judicial independence.
    • John Wright stressed the importance of due process, warning that undermining judicial trust sets a dangerous precedent.
    • Melissa Lantsman was identified as a potential interim leader or strong voice for the Conservatives in the House if Poilievre delays running.
    • The group agreed that bigger national issues—like economic downturns and the Carney government’s next moves—will soon eclipse the Conservative family feud.
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    1 時間
  • Election Fallout - Carney’s Challenges, Poilievre’s Future, and the NDP Collapse

    Election Fallout - Carney’s Challenges, Poilievre’s Future, and the NDP Collapse
    2025/04/29
    On the Ledge – Special Election Edition

    Host: Dave Trafford
    Guests: Keith Leslie, Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, John Wright

    Summary:
    In this special post-election edition of On the Ledge, Dave Trafford convenes the panel to break down the federal election results.

    Keith Leslie, Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, and John Wright dive into what the Liberal minority outcome means for the country, why polling predictions missed key shifts, and how the ground game, turnout, and last-minute voter motivations shaped the final result.

    They also examine the collapse of the NDP, the future of Pierre Poilievre’s leadership after losing his seat, and the challenges facing Prime Minister Mark Carney as he seeks to unify a fractured Parliament and prepare for an unpredictable Trump-led U.S.

    Key Takeaways:
    • Poll Accuracy & Aggregators: John Wright defends pollsters but criticizes seat projection aggregators for inaccuracies that fueled public distrust.
    • High Voter Turnout: Motivated by stark party contrasts and affordability concerns, Canadians turned out in record numbers.
    • NDP Collapse: The New Democrats suffered devastating losses, notably in Hamilton and Northern Ontario, fueling leadership questions.
    • Pierre Poilievre's Future: Despite leading the Conservatives to strong seat gains, losing his own riding could trigger leadership challenges.
    • Carney’s Challenges: The new PM must rebuild Western trust, advance critical infrastructure projects, and present a fresh cabinet distinct from Trudeau’s.
    • Minority Government Dynamics: Carney will rely heavily on NDP cooperation to survive, though few are eager for another election soon.
    • Trump Factor: While the Trump threat remains, voters increasingly focused on domestic issues like affordability in the final campaign days.
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    49 分
  • The NDP collapse killed Poilievre's PM hopes

    The NDP collapse killed Poilievre's PM hopes
    2025/04/25
    Boomer Turnout, Betting Markets, and a Liberal Path to Victory

    On the Ledge – April 24, 2025

    Host: Dave Trafford
    Guests: Kathleen Wynne, John Wright, Keith Leslie, Amanda Galbraith (filling in for Tim Hudak)

    In this edition of On the Ledge, Dave Trafford and the panel dig into the final days of the federal campaign. With polling margins narrowing, the conversation pivots to the strategic implications of the NDP collapse, the Conservatives’ stalled momentum, and whether Mark Carney’s Liberals can secure a fourth term.

    Amanda Galbraith delivers sharp insight on why the NDP’s decline may have done more to harm Pierre Poilievre’s chances than help.

    The panel also critiques political ad strategies, speculates on shifting voter coalitions, and debates whether the electorate is still moved by messages of hope or just fed up.

    In provincial politics, the crew discusses subway procurement, sole-sourcing, and the Ford government's growing tensions with school boards.

    Key Takeaways:
    • Polling Plateau: Despite breathless media reports, the polls remain largely unchanged; regional shifts are minimal and final telephone-based polls may provide clearer trends (John Wright).
    • NDP's Collapse: Amanda Galbraith argues the NDP's self-inflicted decline undermines the Conservatives' vote-splitting advantage and may cost Poilievre a path to power.
    • Ad Wars and Missed Messages: The panel criticizes a Conservative ad targeting older male voters, suggesting it misses the emotional connection needed in a campaign’s final stretch.
    • Boomer vs. Youth Turnout: Young conservative-leaning men may stay home, while reliable boomer voters help buoy Liberal support.
    • Online Betting Markets: Unofficial political betting lines show rising odds for a Liberal majority — a surprising twist not yet echoed in public polling.
    • Transit and Tariffs: Ford’s proposal to sole-source subway cars in Thunder Bay sparks debate over cost control and trade protectionism.
    • School Board Frustration: The panel anticipates a public appetite for stronger oversight and accountability in Ontario’s school boards amid financial controversies.
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    57 分

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