エピソード

  • The XRP Question: Anatomy of an Asymmetric Plumbing Trade
    2025/12/21

    This episode analyzes XRP as a high-risk financial instrument, moving past common marketing hype to evaluate its role as global payment infrastructure. This podcast frames the asset as a speculative bet on cross-border settlement plumbing, comparing its current negative public perception to the early, skeptical stages of companies like Amazon. While acknowledging significant regulatory hurdles and concentrated ownership, the text suggests that institutional testing by major firms indicates potential utility. Ultimately, the source defines the token not as a traditional currency or stock, but as an asymmetric investment opportunity that depends on future legal clarity and widespread banking adoption. It concludes that while the asset remains unproven, its value lies in its contrarian position and its ability to function as a bridge for international liquidity.

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    14 分
  • Healthcare Value Screen and Top Stock Ranking
    2025/12/14

    This episode provides a detailed value investing analysis of ten major healthcare stocks, stemming from an initial inquiry into undervalued opportunities within the sector. It introduces a comprehensive, multi-step quantitative and qualitative screening template designed to identify true value, focusing on metrics like P/E, cash flow, balance sheet strength, and business quality. The stocks were ranked using a 30-point scoring system, but the analysis then incorporates refinements by explicitly adding a Dividend Strength component and later an Improving Regulatory & Financial Climate factor, ultimately leading to a 35-point scoring framework. The high-conviction recommendation names AbbVie (ABBV), Molina Healthcare (MOH), and Pfizer (PFE) as the top three holdings, each selected for complementary reasons such as income, compounding, and potential for mispricing correction.

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    40 分
  • Spreadsheet Discipline: Building Your Investor Research Engine
    2025/12/07

    This episode provides a comprehensive, step-by-step guide for novice investors seeking to build a disciplined stock tracking system using readily available technology. This methodology begins by utilizing a basic Excel spreadsheet where users are instructed to choose and monitor a small selection of 5–10 core financial indicators pulled from public finance sources. To foster diversification, the strategy mandates the creation of a watchlist comprising approximately ten stocks from each of the four market capitalization groups: Small, Mid, Large, and Mega caps. The core function of this spreadsheet is to serve as a personal research engine, providing structure for tracking trends, comparing company metrics, and identifying potential buying opportunities. Although the process starts small, the materials recommend eventually upgrading to Google Sheets to leverage its capabilities for automated data retrieval and enhanced analysis. Happy Investing!

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    14 分
  • Strategy on Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Buy Playbook
    2025/12/06

    This episode details an opportunistic investment strategy for ShiftFour Payments Inc. (FOUR), modeled explicitly after the high-conviction value investing style of Michael Burry, focused on a 3–5 year time horizon. The strategy emphasizes mean reversion and accumulating shares when the valuation is compressed and market sentiment is weak, viewing the company as a growing mid-cap with an asymmetric return profile. The approach dictates establishing a long-term core position that is never fully sold, while a satellite portion is traded around this core by aggressively trimming small gains (5–15% pops) and subsequently reloading heavily on sharp pullbacks (10–25% drops). This continuous trading cycle aims to reduce the average cost basis and maximize profit from short-term volatility without jeopardizing the multi-year growth thesis. The document concludes with a comprehensive playbook, offering specific rules for layered accumulation, profit taking, and recognizing fundamental red flags that would necessitate a complete exit.

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    35 分
  • Whirlpool? What does David Tepper see?
    2025/11/30

    This episode is a deep dive the Whirlpool Corporation Form 10-Q Quarterly Report for the period ended September 30, 2025, providing investors with condensed financial statements and management's operating analysis. The results show that while consolidated net sales increased slightly for the quarter, net earnings dropped significantly, a decrease attributed primarily to heightened tariff costs affecting the MDA North America segment. Strategic portfolio transformation remains a focus, evidenced by the recently completed deconsolidation of the European appliance business and the announced intent to reduce the ownership stake in Whirlpool India to repay corporate debt. The filing addresses material risks, including ongoing, significant tax litigation and assessments in Brazil and the operational challenges arising from the recent downgrade of the company’s debt ratings to non-investment grade. This podcast details the company's current financial position and its maneuvers to manage intense competition and persistent macroeconomic volatility.

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    13 分
  • Nvidia's AI Fraud and the Machine-Speed Reckoning
    2025/11/24

    This episode primarily focus on the financial and legal controversies surrounding Nvidia, a key company in the Artificial Intelligence sector. One major source details how algorithmic trading systems rapidly exposed an alleged $610 billion circular financing scheme and accounting irregularities, particularly concerning Nvidia's high accounts receivable and inventory levels, which veteran investor Michael Burry has also commented on. The separate legal issues are highlighted by the news of federal charges brought against four individuals for plotting to illegally export restricted Nvidia chips used for AI and supercomputing applications to China and Hong Kong. The podcast paints a picture of significant financial instability and regulatory risk surrounding the company and the broader AI industry's valuation model.

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    33 分
  • Third Quarter 2025 13F Hedge Fund Investment Strategy Analysis
    2025/11/15

    This podcast provides a detailed summary of the third-quarter 13F filings for several prominent investors, including Dr. Michael Burry, Lee Ainslie, David Einhorn, David Tepper, and Bill Miller. Michael Burry's activity is highlighted, noting his closure of SCION Hedge fund in late October, his significant increase in LULU shares, and the placement of large PUT options on PLTR and NVDA. The podcast talks specific portfolio adjustments for each investor, listing new stock acquisitions, additions to existing positions, and the approximate percentage of the total portfolio these changes represent. The podcast offers a snapshot of high-profile institutional investment strategies, focusing on notable buys and sales across various sectors like energy, technology, and consumer goods.

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    33 分
  • Week of November 10th, 2025 Financial Wrap-up
    2025/11/15

    This episode provides a detailed week-in-review for the financial markets from November 10–14, 2025, focusing on market, economic, and policy developments. Early in the week, markets saw a strong rebound driven by tech stocks and optimism about a resolution to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which had been the longest in history. However, this initial enthusiasm was quickly curtailed mid-week when hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials increased concerns about persistent inflation and dampened expectations for a near-term interest rate cut. Throughout the period, the economic drag and data uncertainty caused by the shutdown persisted, and the overall market rally remained concentrated in a narrow group of technology and mega-cap companies, indicating underlying fragility.

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    30 分