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In this episode of Money, Markets & New Age Investing Greg puts forth a new macro-thematic thought process as a way to answer what has become THE MOST asked question of the year…"why now, why after decades of worry, does the US Public Debt MATTER???"

The answer is simply physics, and a study of "stabilization" and "rotational angles", and the physics behind how a seesaw "works".

Just like Greg's "Debt Black Hole" analogy...the "see-saw", Pete Seger's "Teaspoons of Sand" theory, and the dynamics linked to mass, weight, and angles...to suggest that see-saw has FLIPPED, away from GDP growth, Income growth, Discretionary Spending growth...and the see-saw is now weighed-down by TRILLIONS of spoonful's of sand, which now FAR "outweighs" the economy's capacity to produce growth, without relying on even MORE DEBT.

The Fed remains behind-the-monetary-policy-curve, and the Mortgage REITS, Property Developer's shares, the Dow Transportation Average, and Consumer Discretionary sectors got WHACKED last week, as the Fed is facing a Housing market CRISIS, Deflation in the Labor market, a Consumer Credit contraction, and NOW HIGHER INFLATION thanks to Trump's tariffs.

The Consumer has reached the tipping point.

The Mortgage market has reached the tipping point.

The Housing market has reached the tipping point.

The Labor market has reached the tipping point.

And without the Fed, the Stock-Bond Ratio stands directly in HARM'S WAY, at its most over-valued level EVER, by a factor of more than 2:1, beyond the high in 2000, the high in 2007, and the high in 2018, all of which preceded a MAJOR decline in equity indexes.

Yes, the Stock market has also reached...a tipping point...particularly when stock indexes are compared to Bonds and/or Gold.

What to do???

Start by listening to today's episode, and for Greg's recent US Macro-Market Special Focus, 47 pages of mega-cool charts and thoughts...email Greg directly at gregweldon@weldononline.com

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The current macro-economic “narrative” is as follows:

1. The Consumer remains "strong", with a "healthy" Balance Sheet

2. The Labor Market remains "solid."

In today's podcast I use FACTS, data and simple mathematics to COMPLETELY blow up that narrative and debunk the greatest macro-economic myth out there right now, that the Consumer remains in a "strong" position, with a "healthy" balance sheet, and that the Labor market remains "solid".

The macro-economic data is SOLID, in suggesting the complete OPPOSITE is true, that the Consumer is CHOKING, their Balance Sheet imploding, and a Consumer Cocoon and Credit Crunch is now well underway, more so as the Labor market gets a whiff of outright DEFLATION in the June Employment Situation Report for June. Throw in the New York Federal Reserve Bank's June Consumer Survey, revealing that Consumers fully expect that "real" (inflation-adjusted) Wage-Earnings-Income will DEFLATE by anywhere from (-) 0.7% to as much as (-) 2.1%, depending on Income Level, with those Earning $50,000 per year or less getting CRUSHED!!!

As for the Labor market, if not for a +329,000 increase in the Number of People NOT in the Labor Force (AKA dropouts) the Unemployment Rate would have RISEN, as 8 of 19 industries tracked by the BLS posted OUTRIGHT JOB LOSSES, the most in four years ... while Average Weekly Earnings DEFLATED in June, as 14 of 19 industries reported LESS Hours Worked, with the Aggregate Hours Index, used by economists as a proxy for GDP, posted a (-) 3.6% annualized contraction!!!

And, Revolving Credit has been DEFLATING on a monthly, and year-year basis, something seen only two other times in US History, in 2008-09 global financial crisis, and the 2020 global health crisis ... thanks in part to a RARE DECLINE in PCE Personal Income, which fell (-) $125 billion in June, leading to an across-the-board decline in Spending!!!

Strong??? Yeah, NOT

Healthy??? Yeah, NOT

Weak??? Hell Yes!!!

ILL??? Hell Yes!!!

So, what to do, investment wise??
I answer that by asking YOU, Got Metals?? Got Crypto??

If not, get some NOW!!!

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As a tsunami of "supply" rolls towards the shores of the US Treasury market ... it’s hard to envision how US Bond yields don't rise further unless, or more realistically until, the Fed takes action, taking the 30-Year T- Bond above 5% and calling into question the underlying "credibility" of the US Bond market.

Indeed, the top-down secular fundamentals for both the US Treasury market and the value of the US currency is DECIDELY BEARISH, as it pertains to the Debt Black Hole the US has entered.

Oddly enough, Greg has noted a "tight" and intensifying positive correlation between the yield on the US 30-Year T-Bond and the price of Bitcoin.

In fact, the ONLY time BTC (spot futures) has been above $100,000 has correlated with a move in the US 30-Year T-Bond yield above 5%.

Moreover, BTC is breaking out on a long-term trend basis versus the 30-Year T-Bond (price) and has reached a NEW ALL-TIME HIGH versus the Treasury market AND the US stock market, on a Ratio Spread basis.

ONLY Gold is holding firm WITH Bitcoin...precisely as Greg has been highlighting for months.

Find out WHY Greg asks the question, Is Bitcoin the "new" T-Bond, and is Gold the new "US Dollar"?

And find out WHY Greg believes the simple "math" is MORE than the Bond market can handle and could be THE "cause" that drives the Fed into acquiescing to higher inflation, to protect growth and the Bond market.

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