For nearly two decades, Gaza has endured a devastating cycle of war, destruction, reconstruction, and renewed conflict.

Can that cycle finally be broken?

In this episode of the Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, Avi examines the newly announced roadmap associated with the Board of Peace, which envisions the disarmament of Hamas, a new Palestinian technocratic administration, international stabilization, and a long-term reconstruction effort.

If successful, this initiative could represent one of the most ambitious post-conflict reconstruction efforts in modern Middle Eastern history.

President Trump's proposed 30-year civil nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia is being viewed primarily as an energy and technology partnership. But could it also be laying the foundation for a much broader geopolitical realignment?

In this episode, Avi Kaner examines how major Middle East agreements often include quiet understandings that are not immediately visible. He explores Saudi Arabia's strategic interests, the long-running U.S.-Saudi relationship, and the possibility that the nuclear deal could eventually pave the way for normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel.

The discussion also looks at Saudi Arabia's role in the Abraham Accords, continued Israeli overflights through Saudi airspace, growing cooperation on Lebanon, shared concerns about Iran, the potential impact of Israel's upcoming elections, and why some of Israel's most enduring diplomatic breakthroughs have come under conservative governments.

Is the nuclear agreement simply about reactors and energy?

Or is it the first step toward reshaping the Middle East for decades to come?

For decades, understanding Iran was relatively straightforward. Ultimate authority rested with one man: the Supreme Leader.

Today, that picture is far more complicated.

In this episode of the Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, Avi explores how Iran's leadership structure has evolved during the current war and why negotiations with Tehran have become increasingly difficult.

Using a compelling analogy, he explains how power is now spread across military commanders, political institutions, security organizations, state-controlled economic empires, and influential business networks.

Whether you follow Middle East politics, global security, or international diplomacy, this episode provides a framework for understanding one of the world's most complex political systems.

A Saudi-owned broadcaster. An Israeli president. A wide-ranging interview conducted in Jerusalem.

Not long ago, this would have been unimaginable.

In this episode of Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, I examine why President Isaac Herzog's interview with Melinda Nucifora of Al Arabiya may prove to be one of the most significant media moments in the evolving relationship between Israel and the Arab world.

Topics include:

• Why a Saudi-owned broadcaster interviewing Israel's president in Jerusalem is historically significant
• Herzog's assessment of Iran's behavior following renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz
• His support for continued U.S. leadership in confronting Iran's nuclear ambitions and regional aggression
• His vision of "a dialogue between Jerusalem and Mecca" and what normalization with Saudi Arabia could mean for the Middle East
• His dream of one day driving from Jerusalem to Beirut and Damascus in a peaceful region
• His response to difficult questions about Gaza, civilian casualties, and Israel's international standing
• Why he believes the battle over public opinion has become as important as the military battlefield

This wasn't just another diplomatic interview.

It was a conversation broadcast to hundreds of millions of Arabic speakers across the Middle East and beyond - one that reflects a region gradually moving from isolation toward dialogue.

Sometimes history isn't made at a peace conference.

Sometimes it begins with a conversation.

Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner delivers historical context, geopolitical analysis, and thoughtful conversations on the events shaping Israel, the Middle East, and the world.

The amendment to eliminate U.S. security assistance to Israel failed decisively in the House of Representatives, 314–104. But the real story isn't that it failed.

It's who voted for it.

For decades, support for Israel was one of the few truly bipartisan issues in Washington. Yesterday's vote suggests that consensus may be changing.

In this episode of Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, I examine:

• Why this House vote could become a turning point in the U.S.-Israel relationship
• How bipartisan support for Israel evolved over the past 75 years
• Why 103 Democrats and one Republican voted to eliminate U.S. aid to Israel
• The impact of generational change, social media, and shifting political coalitions
• Qatar's investment in American universities and the global influence of Al Jazeera as part of the broader information battle
• Why Israel is now fighting not only on the battlefield, but also in the arena of public opinion
• What this vote could mean for the future of American foreign policy

The amendment failed by a wide margin. But history may remember this vote not because of the outcome...

...but because of what it revealed about where American politics may be heading.

Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner delivers historical context, geopolitical analysis, and thoughtful conversations on the issues shaping Israel, the Middle East, and the world.

What if one of Israel's greatest enemies suddenly became part of a plan to reshape Iran?

A remarkable report from The New York Times claims that Israel and the United States explored the possibility of former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad playing a role in a post-Islamic Republic transition.

In this episode of Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, I examine:

• Why Ahmadinejad, a Holocaust denier and longtime adversary of Israel, was considered as a possible transitional figure.
• The strategic challenge of removing a regime without creating chaos.
• Lessons from Iraq and other attempts at regime change.
• Whether intelligence agencies sometimes have to work with deeply flawed individuals to achieve a larger objective.
• The difference between military victory and political transition.
• Why legitimacy, not military power alone, ultimately determines whether a new government can survive.

This episode isn't about defending or condemning the reported plan. It's about exploring one of the oldest dilemmas in statecraft:

When confronting a dangerous regime, how far should democracies go - and who, if anyone, should help build what comes next?

Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner delivers historical context, geopolitical analysis, and thoughtful conversations on the events shaping Israel, the Middle East, and the world.

A few weeks ago, I introduced what I called "The Bazaar Strategy" - the idea that President Donald Trump's negotiating style mirrors the bargaining culture of a Middle Eastern marketplace: maximum pressure, strategic unpredictability, and always leaving room for a deal.

Has that strategy now reached its limit?

In this episode of Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, I examine President Trump's latest remarks from Türkiye, where he declared, "I think it's over," describing the Iranian regime as "liars," "cheats," and "sick people," while questioning whether any future agreement is possible.

Has the negotiation truly ended, or is this simply another chapter in a high-stakes strategy?

Join me as we examine one of the most consequential shifts in U.S.-Iran relations - and what it could mean for Israel, the Middle East, and the wider world.

Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner delivers concise historical context and geopolitical analysis on the events shaping Israel, the Middle East, and global affairs.

Nearly three years after the October 7 massacre, Israel still has not established a truly independent national commission of inquiry.

Instead, the Knesset has advanced legislation to create a politically appointed commission.

Should a government investigate itself?

In this episode of Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner, Avi argues that the victims, the hostages, the families of fallen Israeli soldiers, and every Israeli citizen deserve an independent, impartial investigation that follows the evidence wherever it leads.

The episode examines:

• Why an independent commission is essential to a healthy democracy
• The political divisions, judicial reform protests, and internal turmoil that gripped Israel before October 7
• Questions about intelligence sharing, warning signs, and military preparedness
• Lessons from Israel's own Agranat, Kahan, and Winograd Commissions
• International examples, including the U.S. 9/11 Commission and other independent national inquiries
• Why delaying an investigation risks losing evidence, fading memories, and eroding public trust

This episode is not about assigning political blame. It is about ensuring that Israel learns every possible lesson from the darkest day in its history and honors those who paid the ultimate price by seeking the truth.

Middle East Brief with Avi Kaner delivers thoughtful analysis of Israel, the Middle East, and the geopolitical events shaping our world through historical context and informed discussion.