Dr. Dirk Willer is a Managing Director and Global Head of Macro and Asset Allocation at Citi Research in New York. Prior to this role, Dirk headed global Emerging Market Strategy, where he and his teams were consistently ranked in the top three in the institutional investor surveys. Previously, Dirk worked at Omega Advisors and RHG Capital as a global macro strategist and portfolio manager, and at Swiss Bank as a fixed income strategist for Russia and Eastern Europe. Dirk holds a PhD and MSc in Economics from the London School of Economics. Dirk is also the author of an influential book on how to trade emerging market fixed income, published by Wiley in 2020, and of a book on global macro trading, released in 2026. In this podcast, we discuss:

1. Unlearning the QE Reflex
2. Trading "Close to the Fire"
3. The Nearest Neighbour Regime Framework
4. PMIs vs. "Noisy" Indicators
5. Yield Curve Inversions and Fed Lags
6. The "GMO" Bubble Methodology
7. Credit as the Equity Canary
8. The Four-Indicator Dollar Model
9. Fading Geopolitical Shocks
10. The Role of Human Judgment in AI

Dylan is the founder of arcMacro, where he analyses macro and private markets. His previous roles include serving as an economist at Goldman Sachs and Rosenberg Research, and later as a private market consultant at McKinsey. In this podcast, we discuss:

1. The Hormuz Supply Shock
2. Stagflation as the New Base Case
3. AI Capex vs. Energy Headwinds
4. A Hawkish Fed Outlook
5. Canada's Productivity Pivot
6. The USMCA Trade Cloud
7. Private Market Maturation
8. Normalising Credit Defaults
9. AI's Private Market Future

Shawn Edwards is Bloomberg's Chief Technology Officer. Based in New York, he oversees the development of Bloomberg's global technology strategy. In 2017, Shawn was named in the top ten of the Institutional Investor Tech 40 – an annual ranking of financial industry technology leaders. Prior to joining Bloomberg in 2003, Shawn worked for Bear Stearns & Co., where he was a managing director in the company's fixed income trading group. He has also held positions at Mentor Graphics and IBM. In this podcast, we discuss:

1. Engineering Trust through "Entailment"
2. Automating "The Bloomberg Way"
3. ASKB: Reimagining the Terminal
4. Workflow-Specific AI Expansion
5. Actionable Alternative Data
6. Empowering Non-Programmers
7. Accelerating Data Onboarding
8. Competition vs. Domain Knowledge
9. A Cautious View on AGI

Andrew Perry is the creator of Macro Pillars, a macro research product servicing a bespoke selection of global banks, hedge funds, and sophisticated investors. He has over 35+ years of experience in markets, including as a Portfolio Manager at Tudor Investment Corporation under Paul Tudor Jones, and later as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Nomura. In this podcast, we discuss:

1. The Five Pillars of Global Macro
2. The Move Index: The Ultimate Indicator
3. Non-Traditional Liquidity and Market Plumbing
4. Australia's "Lucky Country" Crisis
5. From Supply Shock to Demand Shock
6. The Significance of "Critical Dates"
7. Risk Management and Emotional Resilience
8. US Equity Outperformance and Policy Makers

Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about:

1. The Oil Price Shock and "Negative Supply Curve" Impact
2. US Economic Stagnation and Population Seismic Shift
3. AI as a Short-Term Inflationary Impulse
4. The Fed's Potential Hawkish Pivot
5. European and Japanese Central Bank Outlooks
6. China's Resilience and the "Thucydides Trap"
7. Market Rotations and the "Safe Asset" Shift
8. US Midterms and Trade Tensions

Nader is Argus' Middle East editor, based in Dubai. Argus is a leading independent provider of global energy and commodity market intelligence. Nader has more than 15 years of experience covering oil and gas in the region, and today heads up the company's Middle East and OPEC coverage. Prior to moving to Argus in 2015, Nader spent five years with the Middle East Economic Survey (MEES) weekly in Cyprus. In this podcast, we discuss:

1. Fragmented GCC Stances
2. Iran's Hormuz "Stranglehold"
3. The "Zero Enrichment" Stalemate
4. The Hormuz Transit Toll
5. US Naval Blockade Tactics
6. Downstream Infrastructure Damage
7. Returning Shut-in Production
8. Bypassing the Strait

Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines. Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank. In this podcast, we discuss:

1. The Billion-Barrel Supply Gap
2. Physical Insurance and Pipelines
3. The "Toll Booth" Strait
4. Sanctions as a Safety Valve
5. Wealth vs. Shortages
6. China's Strategic Resilience
7. The "Unilateral Taco" Scenario
8. Long-Term Energy Optionality