エピソード

  • The 7,095 Trigger: Is Retail Leverage About to Crack? - May 24, 2026
    2026/05/25

    Retail margin debt is flashing a warning sign. In this episode of Macros & Flows, we break down the “7,095 trigger” and why a seemingly technical market level could matter for risk appetite, leverage, and the next phase of the equity rally.

    As stocks continue to grind higher, a growing layer of retail leverage sits beneath the surface. The question is whether this leverage is fuel for another melt-up — or the kindling for a sharper unwind if key market levels begin to break.

    We discuss what rising margin debt says about investor psychology, why forced selling can accelerate downside moves, and how macro conditions, rates, liquidity, and market structure could turn a routine pullback into something more consequential.


    Disclosure: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    18 分
  • The Melt-Up Meets a Stalling Macro Engine - May 17, 2026
    2026/05/17

    Markets are melting higher, risk appetite is back, and investors are chasing momentum — but beneath the surface, the macro engine may be starting to stall.

    In this episode of Market Pulse by Orestes Capital, we break down the tension between equity market euphoria and emerging warning signs across rates, credit, the consumer, and macro data. The rally may still have momentum, but the key question is whether markets are looking through weakness — or ignoring it entirely.

    We cover:

    • Why the market continues to reward risk-taking
    • The disconnect between asset prices and macro fundamentals
    • What rates and credit are signaling
    • Consumer pressure points investors should watch
    • Why “melt-up” conditions can create hidden downside risk

    This is a must-listen for investors tracking cross-asset markets, macro risk, and the fragile balance between liquidity, sentiment, and fundamentals.

    Disclosure: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any security or financial product. Views expressed are those of the speaker and are subject to change. Always consult your own financial, legal, and tax advisors before making investment decisions.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    18 分
  • Global Markets Reach Peak Growth Euphoria - May 10, 2026
    2026/05/10

    In this episode of Macro & Flows by Orestes Capital, we examine why global markets appear to be entering a phase of peak growth euphoria — a powerful risk-on environment shaped by resilient economic data, AI-led investment enthusiasm, supportive liquidity, and strong cross-asset momentum.

    The discussion breaks down the message from equities, rates, credit, commodities, currencies, and investor flows, with a focus on whether recent market strength reflects a durable growth upswing or a crowded late-cycle positioning impulse.

    We also highlight the key risks investors should watch, including rate volatility, inflation surprises, stretched sentiment, narrow leadership, and signs of a two-speed economy beneath the surface.

    Topics covered include global growth momentum, equity market leadership, Fed expectations, cross-asset positioning, investor flows, liquidity conditions, and the macro regime signals shaping portfolio strategy.

    For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

    続きを読む 一部表示
    42 分