Kevin Warsh, a Compromised Fed, and the Bond Dump | Ep 495
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概要
Good now revolutionaries—
Solo-host vibes. Will runs the show today while Evan takes the day off under a new trial schedule, with Alex co-riding. Bitcoin is trying to push through initial resistance toward $81–83K, but Alex isn't convinced the fundamentals are driving this — he sees insider-led trade action, a potentially compromised Fed chair in Kevin Warsh, and oil-market theatrics around the Iran-US "ceasefire where no one ceased firing." His only high-conviction fundamental play right now is Hyperliquid.
Post-hack DeFi is the spine of this one. Will and Alex walk through why Aave wasn't hacked (the contracts worked exactly as written — a user set slippage to "absolutely bananas"), how the Drift $292M theft was pulled off Italian Job-style by a DPRK group who socially engineered the multi-sig to remove the time lock, and why the Arbitrum Security Council freeze was written in the founding docs — people just didn't read them. A clean zero-day explainer and a sharp disambiguation of the Layer Zero / Kelp DVN blame game round it out.
Two PSA moments to watch for: Alex's MEXC warning (the White Whale freeze story, plus his personal grant story where MEXC tried to strong-arm him into launching a token) and his warning about the "crash-it-to-a-new-system" narrative — which he's seen weaponized to shill specific assets to scared people. There is no new system. There are just people extracting on the way down.
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