Julian Morris presents slides on climate change: global temperatures have risen since 1850 and human greenhouse gas emissions plausibly contribute via radiative forcing, but he argues harms are not worsening. Using the EM-DAT disaster database, he notes reported extreme-weather disasters rose while geophysical disasters rose similarly, suggesting reporting and population effects; meanwhile climate-disaster mortality has fallen over 90% since the 1920s due to adaptation, technology, trade, infrastructure, warnings, and better buildings. He highlights long-term declines in energy and CO2 per GDP and potential decoupling, attributing progress to innovation and institutions like free markets and property rights. He critiques democratically unaccountable NGO–foundation–intergovernmental coalitions, discusses perverse incentives in conservation (rhino horn trade bans), ethanol mandates, and possible blockchain tracking for wildlife products.

00:00 Meet Julian Morris

01:02 Is the World Warming

01:33 Are Humans Causing It

02:24 Disaster Counts Rising

04:51 Why Disasters Get Counted

06:21 Deaths From Disasters Fall

07:46 How Humans Adapt

11:03 Should We Worry Next

11:34 Efficiency Cuts Emissions

13:57 Energy Decouples From CO2

16:20 Fuel Shifts Over Time

21:13 Tech Efficiency Breakthroughs

23:18 Projecting To Net Zero

24:37 Environmental Kuznets Curve

27:24 Institutions Drive Decoupling

29:48 Policy Takeaways And Tradeoffs

31:54 Global Carbon Intensity Trends

32:22 Hurricanes And Alarmism

32:47 Lighting Progress Metrics

33:44 Segmented Sleep Debate

35:07 Democratic Deficit Ecosystem

37:32 Climate Coalition Incentives

39:39 Declining Climate Credibility

42:13 Availability Cascades Explained

43:35 Perverse NGO Incentives

46:10 Rhino Horn Trade Ban Fallout

50:42 Saving Species With Trade

51:59 Ethanol Baptist Bootleggers

54:54 Blockchain For Provenance

57:26 Wrap Up And Resources

https://reason.org/author/julian-morris/

https://x.com/Julian_Morris

Defending Democracy from the DoDOs: How Power Escapes Democratic Control: https://laweconcenter.org/resources/defending-democracy-from-the-dodos-part-i-how-power-escapes-democratic-control/

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1