Is the DNC already shaping the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

The Democratic National Committee’s Rules and Bylaws Committee has proposed placing South Carolina first in the 2028 Democratic primary calendar, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire. Matt Diemer and Laura Rodriguez-Carbone examine how that decision could influence which presidential candidates gain momentum and which campaigns struggle to survive.

Laura applies five political “filters” to the potential 2028 Democratic field, including access to South Carolina’s political network, ideological positioning, appeal in states Donald Trump won, the party’s apparent candidate preferences, and growing Democratic opposition to AIPAC.

The discussion covers Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Andy Beshear, Jon Ossoff, Mark Kelly, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, Ro Khanna, Jim Clyburn, the DSA, progressive Democrats, and the divide between Democratic voters and the party establishment.

Is South Carolina going first about representing the Democratic coalition, or is the party putting its thumb on the scale? And could AOC and the progressive movement disrupt the establishment’s strategy?

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