Is the ceasefire already falling apart? In this episode, Charlie and Peter break down the supposed US-Iran ceasefire framework, Israel’s continued strikes on Lebanon, whether Trump is looking for a way out, and what this all means for Iran, Israel, and the wider region. They also discuss the political fallout for Trump, the failed rescue/uranium raid theory, the state of the war in Ukraine, Taiwan, and whether the US can adapt to a changing multipolar world.

Timestamps:00:00 Intro00:15 Is there actually a ceasefire?02:59 Was Israel ever bound by the deal?03:31 Can Trump really walk away?06:15 Trump’s nightmare scenario in Iran11:03 Why this moment could be different11:55 What happens to Israel if the US pulls back?17:48 Why Gaza remains the core issue25:30 Is this ceasefire a win for Iran?28:28 Why a full US-Iran agreement seems impossible30:52 Political fallout for Trump32:37 Global realignment: Gulf states, Taiwan, and US credibility37:31 Could Taiwan move toward peaceful reunification?38:33 What an America-first foreign policy would look like42:22 Could the US rebuild relations with Russia, Iran, and China?44:50 Why Trump likely can’t make that shift47:08 Was the failed F-15E raid really about uranium?50:15 Ukraine war update56:23 Why Ukraine hasn’t collapsed yet57:00 Is Israel a US proxy—or does it influence Washington?1:01:10 US empire, proxies, and blowback1:05:49 Final thoughts

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Can Trump actually walk away, or does Israel drag the US back in?

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