Is the 10-Year Property Doubling Rule Dead? (Plus: Proposed 28% Capital Gains Tax) | NZ Property Insights Ep 20
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The election campaign has officially ignited a fierce debate over capital, wealth, and property taxes in New Zealand. In this episode, we dive deep into the facts behind Labour’s proposed 28% Capital Gains Tax and the Green Party’s proposed wealth and inheritance tax structures.
We also crunch 70 years of historical real estate data to reveal the truth behind the 10-year doubling rule, look at why high-quality listings are essentially "on special" right now, and address the staggering new Inland Revenue data showing a massive spike in KiwiSaver financial hardship applications.
The Looming Property Taxes: Labour has proposed a 28% Capital Gains Tax on realized residential and commercial property gains starting from a July 1, 2027 valuation day (excluding the family home currently). Meanwhile, the Green Party has proposed a 2.5% wealth tax on net assets over $10 million and a 33% inheritance tax on assets over $1 million.
The Confirmed Banking Levy: Under Budget 2026, a new prudential levy on banks and insurers is expected to raise $290 million. Financial institutions rarely absorb these operational fees, meaning they will likely pass them down to consumers via higher mortgage interest rates.
The 10-Year Doubling Rule Exposed: Historical data since 1950 reveals that nominal house prices doubling every decade only actually occurs about 55% of the time. The 2020s are currently on track to be the weakest growth decade in 70 years, sitting at just 10% value growth so far.
The KiwiSaver Hardship Reality: Over 58,000 KiwiSaver members submitted financial hardship applications in 2025—a clean doubling of the volume recorded just two years prior.
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Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. We recommend seeking advice from a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
*Property Advice Group Limited trading as Property Apprentice has been granted a FULL Licence with the Financial Markets Authority of New Zealand. (FSP Number: FSP157564) Debbie Roberts | Financial Adviser (FSP221305) For our Public disclosure statement please go to our website or you may request a copy free of charge.