Miles Mercer examines two catastrophic polling failures that changed history: the 1936 Literary Digest disaster predicting Alf Landon over FDR, and the infamous 1948 "Dewey Defeats Truman" headline. Through these stories, the episode reveals how sampling bias, voluntary response errors, and misplaced confidence turned millions of data points into spectacular mispredictions that destroyed reputations and reshaped political forecasting forever.
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