How to Invest Globally: A Macro Framework with Adrian Leon. Beating Sisyphus, EP. 2
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EM’s now represent a larger portion of the market than they ever have. How should investors think about these opportunities?
In this episode of Beating Sisyphus, we sit down with Adrian Leon, CFA, Vice President at Insigneo ($35B AUM) and former Guggenheim Partners LatAm to discuss global diversification.
With the US market outperforming for the last 15 years, many assume the trend will last forever. Adrian explains why trees don't grow to the sky, breaking down the cyclical nature of markets and why the next decade might belong to Emerging Markets.
IN THIS EPISODE, WE COVER:
• The "Haystack" Strategy: Why trying to find the needle is a mistake—and why you should own the whole market instead.
• The Macro Framework: A masterclass in analyzing nations using 5 key metrics: Deficits, Debt-to-GDP, Interest Rates, Money Supply (M2), and FX Reserves.
• The $44 Trillion Bond Market: Why Emerging Market debt is a massive asset class you can't afford to overlook.
• US vs. Global Valuations: Understanding why US tech commands a premium and where the "catch-up" trade exists abroad.
• The India Opportunity: Why India stands out in Adrian’s framework as a top contender for future growth.
ABOUT THE GUEST:
Adrian Leon is a CFA Charterholder and MBA graduate specializing in global asset and wealth management. He brings nearly a decade of experience in estate planning, investments, and tax strategy, having worked with high-net-worth individuals and institutions across the Americas.
CHAPTERS:
(00:00) Intro & Adrian Leon Bio
(04:59) Why You Should "Buy the Whole Haystack"
(07:26) The Shift: Global Market Composition (1987 vs. Today)
(08:39) The Overlooked $44 Trillion Bond Market
(10:20) A 5-Point Macro Framework for Analyzing Countries
(14:17) The Impact of Deficits & Debt on Asset Prices
(17:14) Inflation, Money Supply & Equity Returns
(21:53) Cycles: Will US Outperformance Last Forever?
(24:50) Tech Dominance & Valuation Gaps
(28:11) Spotlight: Why India is the Standout Emerging Market
DISCLAIMER:
The views and opinions expressed in this program are those of the speakers and do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of the entities they represent. Nothing herein constitutes investment advice.
#emergingmarkets #globalInvesting #diversification #macroeconomics #finance #investing #BeatingSisyphus #india #stockmarket