There's a $54,500 gap between what a distressed Iowa listing looks like it's worth and what the math actually says.
Iowa foreclosure filings are up roughly 30 percent since the fall of 2024, putting more distressed listings on the Des Moines metro market than investors have seen in years. More listings that look like a deal isn't the same thing as more deals.
The mistake is letting the discount do the thinking. A low asking price feels like a deal before anyone runs a number, and a wide comp spread can hide months of deferred maintenance a struggling seller never fixed.
Rising inventory means more houses to chase, but the math doesn't get easier. Neil Timmins walks through his four-step process for every property: pull true sold comps, walk the mechanicals before the finishes, build a rehab number room by room, and run the 70 percent rule last, never first.
Then he breaks down a real Waukee listing that looked like a steal at $210,000, until 1998 mechanicals, a dying roof, and a full kitchen gut cut the real number to $155,500.
In This Episode, You'll Learn:
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How to spot an underpriced foreclosure versus one that just looks underpriced
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How to pull sold comps that reflect true after repair value
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How to walk a property for the red flags that wreck a rehab budget
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How to use days on market as a submarket-specific risk signal
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How to run the 70 percent rule last so the math decides the offer
And more.
Hosted by Iowa real estate investor Neil Timmins.
Want the written breakdown? Read the full article at https://littleguyloans.com/real-estate-deal-analysis-iowa/
Find every episode at https://www.flippingiowa.com