Episode 2: Military Survival Under Scenario G
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概要
As the cracks in the Washington guarantee deepened, Whitehall activated Scenario G—a quiet, pragmatic contingency plan to keep the lights on and the supply chains running. Explore how the UK shifted toward regional coordination, force automation, and the Joint Expeditionary Force to manage the sudden gap in tactical deterrence.
This was not a bid for global leadership, but a desperate scramble to preserve continuity in a fragmenting world.
IN THIS EPISODE, WE ANALYZE:
- Activating Scenario G: Tracing the urgent transition from initial, closed-door contingency planning in late 2024 to active, operational deployment by May 2026.
- The Tactical Deterrence Gap: How defense planners managed the terrifying risks of nuclear vulnerability amidst alliance uncertainty, and why UK industrial participation in the F-35 program was critical to infrastructure adaptation.
- Force Automation for Sustainability: Why replacing manpower-heavy defense models with automated platforms (including adaptations to the Queen Elizabeth carriers and Type 31 frigates) shifted from a futuristic luxury to an immediate logistical necessity.
- The Joint Expeditionary Force (JEF): How the UK bypassed gridlocked international institutions by leaning heavily on the JEF as a ready-made, primary continuity mechanism.
- The Connective Actor: Why Whitehall’s strategic repositioning was strictly about practical coordination and burden-sharing, rejecting any illusions of replacing the US as a global hegemon.
KEY CONCEPTS & GLOSSARY:
- Scenario G: The internal Ministry of Defence blueprint designed to manage military logistics, force posture, and economic survival in the event of an American withdrawal from global security obligations.
- JEF (Joint Expeditionary Force): A UK-led multinational military framework of Northern European nations that became a vital, agile alternative to larger, slower alliance structures.
- AUKUS: A trilateral security partnership that took on new, complex dimensions as the reliability of its primary partner came into question.
Broken Eagle, Rising Crown is an ongoing analytical series exploring the geopolitical, economic, and military fallout of a quiet collapse of the American security umbrella. Join us as we evaluate how institutions adapt, survive, and stabilize in a world without a central hegemon.
THE SCENARIO G MONITOR Broken Eagle, Rising Crown: A strategic simulation of the collapse of the Atlantic order (2025–2035).
ANALYSIS ARCHIVE & TRANSCRIPTS: https://shows.acast.com/broken-eagle-rising-crown-the-scenario-g-monitor
OBJECTIVE: Tracking the transition to industrial resilience and the "Neighborhood Watch" model of security.
SERIES STRUCTURE: Phase 1: US Withdrawal (2025-2026) Phase 2: UK Strategic Autonomy (Scenario G) Phase 3: The Cordon & Multipolarity (2026-2030) Phase 4: Procedural Stability (2030-2035)
INQUIRIES: Contact the project via the Acast portal.
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