Dry Winter in Phoenix Highlights Long-Term Drought Challenges for Desert City
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Local forecaster Michael Groff reported in his January 9 and January 10 weather discussions that the recent storm system has moved out, leaving behind the coldest air of the season and then quickly giving way to strong high pressure and dry air. At Phoenix Sky Harbor, the official rain total from that system was just eleven hundredths of an inch, while some neighborhoods around the Valley picked up as much as two thirds of an inch, with big variations from block to block. That quick burst of rain freshened up desert washes and parks but was nowhere near enough to make a serious dent in long‑term drought.
Now, high pressure is firmly in control. According to Groff’s latest outlook, the pattern over the next week looks locked into sunny skies, very dry air, and gradually warming afternoons, with highs climbing from the upper 60s toward the low 70s by early next week. Overnight, the dry air and clear skies will still allow for chilly mornings, but there is essentially no measurable rain in the forecast for Phoenix through at least Friday, and ensemble models suggest less than a tenth of an inch for the rest of January if the pattern holds.
What does that mean for local water? In the short term, your drinking water remains safe and reliable; city utilities rely on a blend of Colorado River water, Salt and Verde river supplies, and carefully managed groundwater, all treated to meet federal and state standards. The recent rain helps with dust, air quality, and a touch of soil moisture, but the big picture still depends on reservoirs far upstream and ongoing conservation.
That big picture is in the news too. The Colorado Sun reports that the Bureau of Reclamation just released a draft report outlining options for how to manage the Colorado River after 2026, a critical step for cities like Phoenix that depend on that river for a major portion of their supply. Federal officials are weighing how to share future shortages among the seven basin states, and they warn that in the driest years, cities such as Phoenix could be pushed to lean more on groundwater or other sources, while farmers might have to end seasons early.
So for now, enjoy the clear skies, the cool mornings, and those gradually warming afternoons. Just remember: even on sunny, perfect winter days, every drop still counts in the desert.
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