エピソード

  • GDP is hopelesss as a relative measure

    GDP is hopelesss as a relative measure
    2026/06/17
    Steve and Phil critique our systemic over-reliance on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as the definitive baseline for comparing global economies and measuring societal well-being. The discussion underscores a fundamental flaw in neoclassical modeling: while GDP measures raw industrial output, it completely fails to reflect actual public welfare due to stark differences in income distribution, unpriced volunteer and domestic labour, and varying national structures of public service delivery. For instance, a per-capita GDP comparison artificially flatters the United States over Europe or China simply because American citizens are forced to spend massive out-of-pocket sums on privatised health care, transport, and education—essential services that are heavily subsidised or provided entirely free by the state elsewhere. Would it be more worthwhile to measure something fundamental, like the relative happiness of a nation. Steve argues that GDP still has a place, but it should never be used on its own. That’s just lazy.

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    46 分
  • Is Labour right to cut tax incentives for housing speculators?

    Is Labour right to cut tax incentives for housing speculators?
    2026/06/10
    This week Phil and Steve dig into the storm of controversy over Australia's new budget rules targeting property speculators. The Labor government has scaled back negative gearing and abolished the 50% capital gains tax discount for established dwellings—major tax shelters that have historically rewarded people for gambling on rising asset prices rather than working productive jobs. Steve demonstrates that the country's absurd house-price-to-income ratio is driven entirely by the acceleration of private mortgage debt, heavily fueled by decades of destructive government policies designed to protect the wealth of baby boomers. Phil notes that while these changes may discourage real estate hoarding, Australia's massive, housing-reliant pool of intergenerational wealth still avoids inheritance taxes. So, is this a smart move by the Australian government, and could curbing the rentier class finally force the financial system to back local innovation instead of property speculation?

    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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    45 分
  • Hedging an Uncertain Future

    Hedging an Uncertain Future
    2026/05/20
    This week Phil challenges Steve on how the futures market handles terminal risk, pointing out that oil prices slope downward over time simply because traders blindly assume the Strait of Hormuz will reopen. Steve agrees and tears into the financial sector, explaining that modern pricing models dangerously mistake unquantifiable "uncertainty" for manageable "risk" by using flawed Gaussian distributions that erase the possibility of catastrophic, extreme events. Phil notes that the financial system's obsession with short-term hedging actually prevents behavior change and masks physical scarcity, leading corporations to scrap vital emergency buffers like PPE or fuel reserves in the name of market efficiency. Ultimately, Steve warns that while Western economies face a massive financial crash when these paper bets collide with zero physical supply, nations like China are strategically bypassing the market system altogether by stockpiling massive, real-world physical buffers of grain and energy to survive the looming collapse.

    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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    38 分
  • Conditioned to borrow, not save

    Conditioned to borrow, not save
    2026/05/13
    This week Phil and Steve dismantle the structural shift of the global economy toward a permanent state of debt dependence. Following a critique of Steve’s recent debate on the Piers Morgan show and a revisit to last week’s discussion on th link between energy and productivity, they look at how policy since the 1980s aggressively incentivizes borrowing over saving. Steve argues that the banking sector now functions primarily to inflate asset bubbles—particularly in housing—rather than funding productive industry, effectively conditioning entire generations to rely on debt-fueled asset growth for wealth. By debunking the neoclassical "savings myth," they show how the broader economy is dangerously fragile to any slowdown in the relentless creation of new debt.

    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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    46 分
  • Improving Productivity

    Improving Productivity
    2026/05/06
    In this episode of Debunking Economics, Steve Keen dismantles the mainstream economic obsession with "Total Factor Productivity" (TFP), labeling it a mythical construct that ignores the laws of physics. He argues that economists historically "fudged" data to credit an abstract idea of technology for growth, while in reality, productivity gains are almost entirely a function of increasing the energy throughput of machinery. Keen asserts that "labor without energy is a corpse" and "capital without energy is a sculpture," emphasizing that real output only rises when we design machines capable of converting more energy into useful work. The discussion concludes that as the global economy faces energy supply shocks and shifts from fragile "just-in-time" efficiency toward localized resilience, we must brace for a structural decline in traditional productivity, as "resilience" is effectively the physical price paid for security in a less stable world.

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    33 分
  • Beating inflation?

    Beating inflation?
    2026/04/30
    Phil and Steve analyze the 2026 return of double-digit inflation, characterizing it as a structural cost-push crisis rather than the result of excess consumer demand. Keen argues that with Brent crude hitting $100 a barrel due to the Strait of Hormuz blockade, energy costs have become a fundamental driver of prices that central bank interest rate hikes are fundamentally powerless to resolve. He delivers a scathing critique of current monetary policy, suggesting that raising rates acts as a "debt tax" that exacerbates the real income shock for households while failing to address the underlying energy supply bottlenecks. To truly "beat" this inflation, he advocates for moving beyond interest rate orthodoxy toward direct energy price interventions and an accelerated transition to energy sovereignty to decouple the economy from global fossil fuel volatility.

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    39 分
  • More Central Bank Independence?

    More Central Bank Independence?
    2026/04/22
    In this episode, Phil Dobbie and Steve Keen dissect Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey’s push for greater central bank independence, a move Bailey claims is necessary to shield price stability from politically motivated meddling. Steve Keen, however, isn't buying the mainstream narrative, arguing that central banks are operating on a "fantasy" model that ignores the actual mechanics of money creation and the volatile role of private debt. The discussion ranges from the "policy ineffectiveness" of interest rate hikes to the historic failures of central banks to act as anything more than a "Greenspan put" for a fragile banking system. Ultimately, they suggest that instead of doubling down on flawed independence, central banks should stop pretending they can micromanage GDP and start acting as a realistic police force for financial stability—before the next "unforeseen" crisis hits.

    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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    40 分
  • Energy - the AI Achille's Heel

    Energy - the AI Achille's Heel
    2026/04/14
    In this episode of the Debunking Economics podcast, Phil Dobbie and Professor Steve Keen explore the precarious intersection of the ongoing global energy crisis and the massive resource demands of the AI revolution. The conversation traverses a landscape of geopolitical instability—from Iranian influence in the Strait of Hormuz to the vulnerabilities of Western microchip manufacturing—while questioning whether the "AI promise" can survive a world of dwindling energy supplies and extreme inequality. Professor Keen offers a provocative comparison between the disruptive force of political volatility and the impending reality of global warming, arguing that without a fundamental shift toward collective economic stability and energy self-sufficiency, the high-tech future envisioned by "Tech Bros" may be sidelined by the urgent requirements of human survival.

    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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    40 分