Crypto Market Crash: Navigating the Bear Phase and Retail Adoption

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Crypto Market Crash: Navigating the Bear Phase and Retail Adoption

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概要

In the past 48 hours, the crypto industry has plunged into a sharp correction, with total market capitalization dropping 4.57 percent to about 2.45 trillion dollars as of February 5, 2026. Bitcoin trades around 71,584 dollars, down 5.65 percent in 24 hours and 18.44 percent over the past week, while Ethereum sits at 2,130 dollars, cratering 27.90 percent weekly, and Solana hovers near 91 dollars, off 26.05 percent.[1][3]

This de-risking mirrors a broader bear phase, with Bitcoin down 41 percent from its October 2025 peak of 126,000 dollars. Whales are slashing long exposure amid rising retail optimism, spot volumes collapsing by hundreds of billions since October, and a 10 billion dollar stablecoin contraction signaling thin liquidity. The Fear and Greed Index hit extreme fear at 11, with average RSI at 40.36 hinting at oversold conditions but no bottom yet.[3][4][8]

Merchant adoption bucks the trend: 39 percent of U.S. retailers now accept crypto, up sharply, with 88 percent fielding customer inquiries and 84 percent expecting it mainstream in five years, per a PayPal survey on February 4.[2] No major deals, launches, or regulatory shifts emerged, though Senate talks fuel volatility rotations into gold.[3]

Leaders like Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan see crypto winter ending, with institutional flows stabilizing and ETF inflows signaling re-accumulation; he eyes Coinbase outperforming stocks and tokenization exploding DeFi.[6] Analysts like Leshka forecast Ethereum 3x-4x in six months post-drawdown.[1]

Compared to last week's relative stability, this 48-hour rout—worse than prior dips—tests the four-year cycle's relevance, now tied more to Fed policy than halvings. Retail exhaustion may spark recovery, but downside risks loom without demand rollover.[5][8] Investors brace for chop, with bulls targeting 150,000 to 250,000 dollars Bitcoin by year-end on rate cuts.[7] (298 words)

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