🎙️From a commercial real estate perspective, it’s clear that the market hit rock bottom in 2024. Our monthly index shows that property capital values are starting to show signs of turning around, and we expect this trend to continue and gain momentum in 2025. As we leave a year where investment was at historically low levels, a rise in values, along with lower interest rates and costs of debt, will boost investment in 2025 by around 15% to £53 billion.
🎙️Trump’s return to office could bring some fiscal stimulus and a tax policy that’s good for real estate investors and occupants in the U.S. While a growing U.S. economy would be a positive thing for the UK, there’s a chance that the U.S. might impose higher tariffs on European goods, which could slow down EU growth. It’s not clear yet whether the UK will be affected by these tariffs, but if they are, they could reduce U.S. demand for UK goods. U.S. tariffs, combined with stricter immigration policies, could affect labor availability, cause inflation to rise again, and lead to higher U.S. interest rates. This could make the dollar stronger, which might encourage a lot of U.S. capital to invest in European real estate.
🎙️The sustainability agenda is still a big concern for investors, developers, and occupiers, especially since the deadline for stricter MEES regulations is coming up soon. Investors and developers are also becoming more aware of the need to protect against physical risks. In the UK, one in six properties is at risk of flooding, and it costs an annual £1 billion to fix these problems. But there are also opportunities in areas like electric vehicle charging points and renewable energy.
Credit: CBRE UK
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