『Cocoa Craze: Navigating the Volatility with Vanessa's Savvy Insights』のカバーアート

Cocoa Craze: Navigating the Volatility with Vanessa's Savvy Insights

Cocoa Craze: Navigating the Volatility with Vanessa's Savvy Insights

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey friends, welcome back to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Im your host Vanessa, and today were diving into the latest on cocoa prices, whats driving the market, and some smart tips to help you navigate this wild ride.

First up, the big number youre here for: as of December 12, cocoa closed at 6,122 dollars per tonne, down 1.81 percent from the day before, according to Trading Economics. Thats after hitting highs above 6,100 earlier in the week, fueled by speculative buying and rumors of uneven harvests in West Africa, the worlds top growing region like Ivory Coast and Ghana. Over the past month, prices are up a solid 11.57 percent, though still 45.67 percent below last years peak. Trading Economics notes cocoa hit an all-time high of 12,906 dollars back in December 2024, so were in a recovery phase after that crazy surge from weather woes and diseases.

Whats behind the bounce? Rabobank just cut its 2025-26 global surplus forecast to 250,000 metric tons from 328,000, and the International Cocoa Organization slashed the 2024-25 surplus to 49,000 metric tons with production down to 4.69 million metric tons. ICE stocks are tightening too, dropping to 1.66 million bags, the lowest since March. Plus, get this: cocoas joining the Bloomberg Commodity Index next year, which could spark up to 2 billion dollars in buying come January.

Looking ahead, forecasts from Trading Economics see it dipping to around 5,571 dollars by quarters end and 4,674 in 12 months. But Ivory Coast farmers are optimistic with recent rains boosting next harvests bean size and quality.

For you listeners, heres your takeaway: if youre stocking chocolate or eyeing investments, watch West African supply news closely. Diversify into cocoa ETFs or futures if youre bold, but play it safe with hedged positions given the volatility. Holiday chocolate prices stay high since assortments were locked in months ago, per market analysts.

Thats your daily cocoa update, packed with the fresh news to keep you ahead. Thanks for tuning in, friends, grab that subscribe button, and Ill catch you next time for more on cocoa prices and trends. Stay sweet!

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