エピソード

  • Trump's $32M Hormuz Toll, Houthis Break Truce & Oil Nears $90 | BDE 07.14.26
    2026/07/15

    Slap a 20% toll on oil tankers, add drones that can sink a ship for less than the price of a pickup, and you get a Strait of Hormuz that keeps running out of off ramps. From there it spirals into why a 141 year old Ohio brick maker got hammered by its power bill, how data centers are quietly rewiring the grid and hollowing out small towns, and whether big oil earnings are about to spark another round of Washington theater.

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    00:00 Concerts and catching up
    04:12 Iran and the 20% tanker toll
    09:08 Drones and asymmetric warfare
    11:31 Houthis, Saudis, and the spillover
    19:26 Midterms and the energy fallout
    23:31 An Ohio brick maker gets crushed
    24:40 PJM capacity charges and data centers
    32:37 The Walmart effect on small towns
    39:08 Q2 oil and gas earnings incoming
    42:03 Remembering Lindsey Graham

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    52 分
  • US Bombs 90 Iran Targets, Oil Yawns, & Russia's Diesel Export Ban Detonates Crack Spreads | BDE 07.09.26
    2026/07/09

    Four energy supply shocks landing on three continents at once, and somehow the oil traders got bored before the generals did. The crew works through strikes on Iran, Russia's diesel export ban, and how drones you could build in a garage are quietly rewriting global markets. Then a turn into Palantir CEO Alex Karp warning that the big AI models are out to eat their own customers, why the knowledge stuck in your employees' heads may be your best data, and what Collide is doing to capture it.

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    00:00 Iran strikes and a ceasefire coming apart
    03:39 Should the US be the world's enforcer
    06:59 Seizing an oil island and shale's quiet flex
    08:21 A Saving Private Ryan soccer detour
    10:09 SPR draws and where oil sits
    12:00 Russia's diesel ban and refineries under drones
    15:25 Diesel, inflation, and the midterm math
    18:43 Four supply shocks, three continents
    19:51 Cheap drones rewriting warfare
    21:20 Alex Karp on AI models eating their customers
    28:28 Who's really king of IP theft
    30:15 Tribal knowledge as the real data goldmine

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    34 分
  • Trump's Big Oil Witch Hunt, $58 Cracks Spike & California's Refinery Graveyard | BDE 07.03.26
    2026/07/03

    Gasoline creeps past four bucks and everyone reaches for the same villain, but the real story lives in the refining margin, not the gas station down the street. Arjun Murti of Veriten joins Mark Meyer for a holiday-weekend conversation on why big oil doesn't set your pump price, how refining flipped from the worst business in energy to the best, what California's shrinking refinery count really signals, and the Lee Raymond mindset that still shapes how smart operators ride the cycle.

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    00:00 Welcome and Arjun's background
    02:55 Remembering Lee Raymond
    10:09 Trump, gas prices, and the price gouging myth
    18:17 When energy policy actually got it right
    24:09 How refining went from worst business to best
    28:21 Barriers to entry and the safety tightrope
    32:47 California's refining wall
    36:01 The Jones Act and shipbuilding
    38:09 Environmental policy vs climate crisis
    43:22 Ethanol, RINs, and ag politics
    46:35 Capitalism, shale, and the LNG boom
    49:45 What comes next for the upstream
    53:40 Oil prices and the Big Tech double standard
    57:48 Adapting to 2026 and the road ahead

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    1 時間 3 分
  • Trump Blinks on Iran, Cushing Hits Tank Bottoms & Warren's Big Oil Shakedown | BDE 06.23.26
    2026/06/23

    Cushing is scraping tank bottoms, the SPR is back at 1980s lows, and somehow there is room to argue about soccer, the World Cup, and the audacity of parking your car at the Buc-ee's pump. Kirk and Mark break down the new Iran MOU and what the Strait of Hormuz standoff means for crude, why production keeps slipping while exports surge, and the recycled windfall profits tax playbook out of Warren and Whitehouse. It lands on the SpaceX IPO and the builder versus blame mindset worth chewing on.

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    00:00 Cold open and weekend banter
    02:35 Soccer, baseball, and the MLB labor cliff
    05:38 The Iran MOU and the Hormuz standoff
    12:14 Iran vs the Venezuela playbook
    14:48 Cushing at tank bottoms
    17:21 Physical vs financial and the SPR draw
    22:15 Production, rigs, and capital discipline
    25:55 Heavy crude and headlines vs reality
    27:20 The Buc-ee's debate
    32:19 Warren, Whitehouse, and the windfall profits tax
    38:23 Attention spans and the state of discourse
    41:31 The SpaceX IPO and the builder vs blame mindset
    45:27 Rockets, methane, and ESG scores
    48:18 US Open at Shinnecock and the wrap

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    52 分
  • Lee Raymond Dies, Oil's Pavlovian "Deal" Swoon & Gunvor's $300M Enron Sequel | BDE 06.12.26
    2026/06/15

    Lee Raymond gets his due first, the Exxon legend who turned the Valdez disaster into a safety overhaul and still holds the record for oil's biggest merger. Then it's whether the Iran deal is real or another oil market head fake, why trading houses like Gunvor are buying gas wells instead of pipelines, and the data center that paid fifty five million just to get its power line built four months early. Waha gas math, flaring pain, and a questionable David Lee Roth show close it out.

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    00:00 Remembering Lee Raymond
    04:58 The Bonneville and the triplets
    06:40 Moving Exxon from Manhattan to Texas
    08:08 The 357 million dollar retirement fight
    10:13 Is the Iran deal real
    16:01 Oil markets and the Trump deal tracker
    17:52 Trading houses buying gas assets
    21:22 The Enron playbook returns
    23:49 Credit capital moves into gas
    25:56 Gas to power and selling electrons
    31:08 Waha gas below zero and flaring
    33:55 Pipeline egress and the BTU problem
    37:04 The 55 million dollar Twinkle Line
    40:55 David Lee Roth and learning to Claude code

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    46 分
  • Paxton vs Talarico Goes Nuclear, ERCOT Chokes Data Centers & BP Burns Its Boss | BDE 05.28.26
    2026/05/29

    BP just fired its chairman after eight months, and that somehow is not even the wildest thing this week. The Texas Senate race opens with Ken Paxton and James Talarico already swinging, vegan campaign ads and all. ERCOT's interconnection queue is buried under 410 gigawatts of data center dreams at a 1.5 percent approval rate, so off grid gas starts looking real. Plus a quant trading lab built with Claude, Cushing draws getting tight, the shaky Iran ceasefire, and a Wuhan study with some nerve.

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    00:00 - Texas Senate race kicks off, Paxton vs Talarico

    08:22 - Welcome and a little name dropping

    09:38 - Summer mode and baseball season

    10:46 - Building a trading lab with Claude

    15:02 - ERCOT's data center interconnection logjam

    25:52 - BP fires another one at the top

    33:45 - Iran strikes and the shaky ceasefire

    37:40 - SPR and Cushing draws getting tight

    43:44 - Iran's pollution plume and a Wuhan study


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    48 分
  • Microsoft Kills Claude Code, Tank Bottoms Loom & NextEra's $67B Dominion Grab | BDE 05.22.26
    2026/05/22

    Venezuela is suddenly back on the table after being branded un-investable, and the tone shift has Mark and Kirk picking apart who blinked and why Exxon's posture lines up with Chevron's quiet move next door. Summer driving season is squeezing crude inventories, Microsoft pulled the plug on Claude Code licenses, NextEra swallowed Dominion for $67 billion, Devon dropped $2.6B on a Delaware lease sale, and XAI is running 46 turbines without federal permits. Physics keeps showing up uninvited.

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    00:00 Nantucket, baseball, and barehanded line drives
    01:38 Venezuela back in play and Exxon's un-investable reversal
    10:31 SPR draws, tank bottoms, and summer driving season
    16:33 Sparkling water inflation check
    17:03 Microsoft cancels Claude Code and the AI energy bill
    22:22 Strait of Hormuz, insurers, and Iran's slow rebuild
    24:33 Devon spends $2.6 billion on a BLM lease sale
    27:17 Delaware Basin economics and Taylor Sheridan as an oil man
    33:07 NextEra buys Dominion in a $67 billion deal
    37:14 Nantucket property taxes and the ratepayer problem
    40:07 XAI's 46 turbines, the EPA, and Colossus 2
    44:30 Texas vs Massachusetts taxes and Memorial Day sign-off

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    47 分
  • Reacting to Joe Rogan's Deranged Oil Take, Climate Doomsday Dies & Claude Mead Caged | BDE 05.14.26
    2026/05/14

    Gas hits $7.90 a gallon in LA and Joe Rogan blames Big Oil, so Chuck and Mark grab the mic to set the record straight on California's fuel island, refinery shutdowns, and why nationalizing oil sounds great until you actually think about it. From there it's the death of climate model RCP 8.5, Anthropic's Claude Mead and the Glass Wing trusted partner group, EIA's call for higher residential power bills, and Geraldo Rivera's wild plan for the Strait of Hormuz.

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    00:00 Rogan's gas price rant and California's fuel island
    08:25 Nationalize oil? The shale revolution counterargument
    13:13 John Fogerty backstage and the stolen guitar
    16:33 Climate models, RCP 8.5, and a PSA about your PSA
    26:25 Claude Mead, Glass Wing, and OpenAI's Daybreak
    30:51 EIA outlook and rising residential power bills
    34:27 Geraldo, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Zapruder film

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    41 分