Wall Street closed lower for a second day on Wednesday as a spike in treasury yields prompted investors to sell equities on growing fears that a new US budget bill would place even more pressure on the country’s already large deficit. The S&P500 fell 1.61%, the Nasdaq lost 1.41% and the Dow Jones ended the day down 1.91%.

Across the European region on Wednesday, markets closed mixed as hotter-than-expected inflation out of the UK and a slew of corporate earnings results weighed on investor sentiment. The STOXX 600 fell 0.3%, Germany’s DAX lost 0.2%, the French CAC slipped 0.3% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day down 0.2%. UK inflation data for April came in at a rise to 3.5%, topping expectations of a rise to 3.3%, which slashes hopes of a rate cut in the near term.

Across the Asia region on Wednesday markets closed mostly higher led by South Korea’s Kospi Index rising 0.91%, while China’s CSI index rose 0.47%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 0.62%, but Japan’s Nikkei ended the day down 0.61%.

Locally on Wednesday, the ASX200 posted a 0.52% gain as investor optimism carried from the prior day and multiple factors boosted the local market.

Investor sentiment was driven by the RBA’s rate cut in Australia and outlook for more policy easing in months to come and, on a global scale, by China and the US making progress on the tariff negotiations front. Bond yields are also falling which drives investor appetite for equities and a rise in commodities fuelled investor appetite for materials and energy stocks yesterday so broadly it was a great day on the market.

Nine of the 11 sectors ended today’s session in the green led by energy and healthcare sectors rising around 1% each.

Mayne Pharma shares tumbled near 30% on Wednesday amid uncertainty over the Cosette takeover offer. Cosette, a US pharmaceutical giant now believes there has been a material adverse change in the company’s financial performance since the offer was first made in February including Mayne issuing weaker-than-expected earnings guidance and disclosed a potential US regulatory issue regarding its contraceptive pill.

What to watch today:

• On the commodities front this morning, oil is trading 1.33% lower at US$61.21/barrel, gold is up 0.81% at US$3317.30/ounce and iron ore is flat at US$100.05/tonne.
• The Aussie dollar has further strengthened against the greenback to buy 64.34 US cents, 92.67 Japanese Yen, 48.01 British Pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 8 cents.
• Ahead of Thursday’s trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX 200 will open the day down almost 1% tracking Wall Street’s slide overnight.

Trading ideas:

• Bell Potter has raised the 12-month price target on Catapult Group (ASX:CAT) from $4.40 to $5.00 and maintain a hold rating on the sports tracking and data technology company following the release of the company’s results yesterday including revenue and gross profits for FY25 modestly ahead of BP expectations, as well as free cash flow of US$8.6m which was a positive surprise.
• And Trading Central has identified a bearish signal on Sims (ASX:SGM) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 41-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may fall from the close of $15.42 to the range of $11.60 to $12.30 according to standard principles of technical analysis.

Wall Street closed lower on Tuesday as investors await clarification on the tariffs front following a strong rally in recent weeks. The S&P500 fell 0.4%, the Dow Jones lost 0.27% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the day down 0.38%. The recovery rally since Trump announced negotiations were underway with China has seen the S&P500 rally more than 20% since hitting an April low, so investors have just pulled back on Tuesday in anticipation for further clarification on the tariffs front.

In Europe overnight, markets closed higher as strong corporate earnings results in the region boosted investor sentiment. The STOXX 600 rose 0.7%, Germany’s DAX gained 0.3%, the French CAC added 0.75% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day up 0.9%.

Across the Asia region on Tuesday, markets rose as investors assessed the latest rate cuts in the region including out of the RBA and the People’s Bank of China trimming the 1-year loan prime rate from 3.1% to 3% and the 5-year to 3.5%. China’s CSI index rose 0.57% on Tuesday, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1.5%, Japan’s Nikkei added 0.8% and South Korea’s Kospi index ended the day flat.The local market closed 0.6% higher yesterday as investors welcomed the RBA’s 25 basis point rate cut amid cooling inflation and escalating cost of living pressures.The RBA cut to 3.85% came despite the latest inflation reading and labour market data coming out of favour for a rate cut, however, the overall picture is positive for Australia’s economic stability in taming inflation over the long-run.

Rate sensitive sectors like tech and real estate stocks led the gains yesterday with the sectors rising 2.3% and 1.4% respectively.Technology One soared over 10% on Tuesday after the software giant increased its interim dividend by 30% on the back of strong revenue growth in the first half. Telstra shares also rallied after the telco giant said it would be raising prices, which is good for investors but not so great for customers.

What to watch today:

• On the commodities front this morning, oil is trading 0.22% lower at US$62/barrel, gold is up 2.04% at US$3288/ounce and iron ore is down 0.08% at US$100/tonne.
• The Aussie dollar has weakened against the greenback overnight to buy 64.16 US cents, 92.75 Japanese Yen, 48.22 British Pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 8 cents.
• Ahead of the midweek trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day up 0.62%, extending on Tuesday’s rally.

Trading ideas:

• Bell Potter has maintained a hold rating on Technology One (ASX:TNE) and have raised the 12-month price target on the software giant from $31.00 to $35.50 following the release of 1H25 results including revenue and profit before tax topping BPe and FY25 guidance was slightly below BPe. The analyst maintains a hold rating as the new price target is a modest discount to the current share price.
• And Bell Potter has initiated coverage of AML3D (ASX:AL3) with a speculative buy rating and 12-month price target of 30cps with the analyst seeing the company is at an inflection point given accelerating demand from the US defence industrial base driving material increase in system sales over the next 3-years. AML3D is a welding, metallurgical science, robotics and software business that produces automated 3D printing systems that utilise Wire Additive Manufacturing technology.

Wall Street ended the first trading session of the new week in positive territory as investors overlooked the latest moody credit rating downgrade on the U.S. on Friday, and instead favoured optimism from the trade negotiation progress with China. The S&P500 rose 0.09% to post a 6th straight winning day, while the Nasdaq climbed 0.02% and the Dow Jones ended the day up 0.32%.

The debt downgrade on Friday pushed bond yields higher early on Monday before they retreated in afternoon trade hence sending equities higher to start the week.

Over in Europe on Monday markets in the region closed mostly flat ahead of key corporate earnings results out this week. The STOXX 600 closed flat, Germany’s DAX rose 0.6% to yet another fresh record high, the French CAC fell 0.04%, and, in the UK, the FTSE 100 ended the day up 0.17%.

Across the Asia markets on Monday, it was a sea of red as investors assessed the Moody’s credit rating downgrade on the U.S. and latest slew of economic data out of China including retail sales data rising at a weaker rate than expected for April, while industrial output for the same period rose more than economists were expecting.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.05%, China’s CSI index lost 0.5%, Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.68% and South Korea’s Kospi index ended the day down 0.89%.
China’s retail sales for April rose 5.1% in data out yesterday which fell short of expectations of a 5.8% rise and indicates the impact of sluggish post-pandemic era and tariffs on consumer spend in the region.

Locally to start the new trading week, the ASX200 posted a 0.58% loss on Monday as a sharp selloff in energy and materials stocks weighed on the key index and investor sentiment ahead of the RBA’s rate announcement today.

What to watch today:

• The price of gold rebounded on Monday following Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating to AA1 from AAA amid mounting concerns over US economic outlook and growing budget deficit. Gold producers including Northern Star Resources, Evolution Mining and Ramelius Resources posted gains over 1%, 3% and 2% respectively.
• On a corporate level, we saw Domino’s and Mineral Resources shares both slide yesterday after announcing respective changes at the board level, with Domino’s Chief of Australia and NZ business, Kerri Hayman, stepping down in August after 37-years with the pizza giant, while Mineral Resources announced the appointment of Malcolm Bundey as successor to outgoing chairman James McClements, who will step away from the company’s board in July.
• On the commodities front this morning, oil is trading 0.32% higher at US$62.69/barrel, gold is up 0.81% at US$3229.67/ounce, and iron ore is down 0.08% at US$100/tonne.
• The Aussie dollar has strengthened against the greenback overnight to buy 64.60 US cents, 93.53 Japanese yen, 48.30 British pence and 1 New Zealand dollar at 9 cents.
• Ahead of Tuesday’s trading session in Australia the SPI futures are anticipating the market will open the day up 0.82%.

Trading Ideas:

• Bell Potter has upgraded the rating on Paragon Care (ASX:PGC) from a hold to a buy and have a 12-month price target on the company of 52cps following the analyst seeing EPS growth in FY26 which is expected to drive all valuation metrics lower including the PE ratio to below 20x. Management are heavily invested in the long term success of the business and remain laser focused on delivery of the integration, according to the analyst.
• Trading Central has identified a bullish signal on Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 19-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may rise from the close of $18.88 to the range of $24.50 to $24.50 according to standard principles of technical analysis.

Wall Street closed higher again on Friday as investors overlooked disappointing consumer sentiment data and continued to welcome progress on the trade talk front between China and the U.S. The S&P 500 rose 0.7% on Friday and 5.3% for the week, the Nasdaq gained 0.52% on Friday and 7.2% for the week and the Dow Jones ended the day up 0.78% and rose 3.4% for the week. The latest consumer sentiment reading out on Friday showed investor sentiment fell to the second lowest Level on record in the latest reading while consumer prices are also expected to rise 7.3% over the next year, up from reported 6.5% expected last month.

Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating on Friday though from AAA to AA1 citing concerns around rising US debt.

Over in Europe on Friday, markets closed higher on Friday led by Germany’s DAX rising 0.3% to another record high close, while the STOXX 600 gained 0.4%, the French CAC rose 0.42% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day up 0.6%.

Across the Asia region on Friday, markets closed mixed as investors digested weaker-than-expected GDP data with a 0.2% contraction reported over the March quarter. Japan’s Nikkei closed flat on Friday, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.46%, China’s CSI index fell 0.4% and South Korea’s Kospi index ended the day up 0.21%. China’s stocks were weighed down by Alibaba missing earnings expectations on Friday.

Locally on Friday, the ASX ended the week at a 3-month high after Australian economic data and global investor sentiment boosted markets to strong gains throughout the week. The ASX posted a 0.56% gain on Friday led by REIT stocks jumping 2.3%.

Stock specific news, Appen soared 18.7% on Friday after unveiling full-year revenue target of between $235m-$260m.

Uranium miners came under pressure on Friday with Boss Energy, Deep Yellow and Paladin falling over 6% each.

What to watch today:

• On the commodities front this morning oil is up 0.13% at US$62.57/barrel, gold is up 1.12% at US$3240/ounce and iron ore is down 0.34% at US$100.08/tonne.
• The Aussie dollar has strengthened against the greenback to buy 64.13 US cents, 93.04 Japanese Yen, 48.23 British Pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 9 cents.
• Ahead of Monday’s trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day down 0.08%.

Trading ideas:

• Bell Potter has increased the 12-month price target on Temple & Webster from $15.60 to $21.00 and maintain a hold rating on the leading online homewares retailer after the company released a 2H trading update to-date with revenue growth of 18% on the PCP and EBITDA margins toward the top end of guidance. The hold rating is maintained as growth to $21.00/share is in-line with Bell Potter’s hold rating criteria.
• And Trading Central has identified a bullish signal on GR Engineering Services following the formation of a pattern over a period of 49-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may rise from the close of $2.82 to the range of $3.30 to $3.40 according to standard principles of technical analysis.

Investor optimism fuelled a strong start to the week following the announcement of a temporary 90-day trade agreement between the US and China. This positive sentiment propelled the ASX200 up 1.3% so far this week (Monday to Thursday), with gains in technology stocks overshadowing declines in the utilities, staples, and REIT sectors.

In this week’s wrap, Grady covers:

• (0:36): the latest update on US – China trade
• (1:41): wage price growth & jobs data out this week
• (3:13): the rally in Xero, Aristocrat Leisure, GrainCorp & Life360
• (4:45): how the ASX200 performed this week so far
• (5:24): the most traded stocks & ETFs by Bell Direct clients
• (5:51): economic news items to watch out for.

We’ve had a strong start to the week with the S&P500 and the Dow up more than 4% and 1% respectively, and the Nasdaq advancing more than 6% with investors embracing AI and mega caps. Overnight the major benchmarks closed mixed, the Dow 0.2% in the red, while the S&P500 up 0.1% and the Nasdaq up 0.7%. And the 10 year Government bond yield hit a 3 month high in the last session.

European markets were all lower with the STOXX600 down 0.24%. Locally yesterday, the ASX200 closed in the green with energy and information technology leading market gains.

What to watch today:

• Australian shares are expected to end a 6- day winning streak today, ahead of jobs data. The SPI futures are suggesting the market will drop 0.43% at the drop this morning.
• In economic data today, the unemployment rate for April will be released as well as consumer inflation expectations for May.
• In commodities,
  
  • Cruide oil is 1.7% lower at US$62.59 per barrel, ending a four-day rally as traders likely took profits amid a surprise rise in US crude inventories and renewed demand concerns.
  • The price of gold is down more than 2% at US$3,181.98 an ounce, as easing trade tensions between the US and China continued to weigh on its safe-haven appeal.
  • And iron ore is up 1.25% at US$100.75 per tonne.

Trading Ideas:

• Bell Potter have downgraded athlete tracking solutions company Catapult Group (ASX:CAT) from a Buy to a Hold and have increased their price target from $4.00 to $4.40.
• Trading Central have identified a bullish signal in Sevcorp (ASX:SRV) indicating that the stock price may rise from the close of $5.26 to the range of $5.52 to $5.58 over 28 days according to the standard principles of technical analysis.

Wall St closed mostly higher again on Tuesday as soft inflation data and progress on the trade talk front continue to boost investor sentiment. The S&P500 rose 0.72%, the Nasdaq gained 1.61% and the Dow Jones fell 0.64% as United Health declined 17% to pressure the benchmark index. US CPI data for April came in at an increase of 2.3% on an annual basis which was lower than economists’ were expecting and indicate the US inflation journey remains under control despite fears of tariffs boosting CPI.

In Europe overnight, markets in the region closed slightly higher as uncertainty over global trade outlook remains positive amid China and the US agreeing to a temporary deal. The STOXX 600 rose 0.07%, Germany’s DAX added 0.23% to close at another fresh record high, the French CAC gained 0.3%, and, in the UK, the FTSE 100 ended the day flat.

Across the Asia region on Tuesday, markets closed mixed as investor outlook beyond the 90-day US China tariff deal remains uncertain. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.87%, China’s CSI index rose 0.15%, India’s Nifty 50 fell 1.27% and Japan’s Nikkei ended the day down 1.43%.

The local market hit an 11-week high yesterday, ending Tuesday’s session up 0.43%, taking lead from the global market rally on Monday as investors welcomed the latest deal tariff between China and the US.

With the outlook for lower tariffs on imports into the US from China and vice versa, investors regained appetite for risk and growth stocks, while investors sold out of safe-haven assets like the banks and gold.

Mining giants recovered yesterday with the rising price of oil and iron ore fuelling investor appetite for BHP (ASX:BHP), Woodside (ASX:WDS), Rio (ASX:RIO) and Santos (ASX:STO).

Location tracking tech giant Life 360 (ASX:360) soared over 10% yesterday after releasing record Q1 results including a 33% increase in total subscription revenue to US$81.9m, a 32% increase in total revenue to US$103.6m and positive operating cash flow of US$12.1m, up 13% YoY, and the company ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash of US$170.4m.

What to watch today

• On the commodities front this morning oil is trading 2.76% higher at US$63.66/barrel, gold is up 0.41% at US$3249/ounce and iron ore is up 1.22% at US$99.75/tonne.
• The Aussie dollar has strengthened against the greenback overnight to buy 64.76 US cents, 95.50 Japanese Yen, 48.69 British Pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 9 cents.
• Ahead of the midweek trading session here in Australia the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day up 0.22%.
  Before the bell this morning CBA (ASX:CBA) released its Q3 trading update including cash profit for the quarter of $2.6bn which is flat on 1H25 quarterly average and up 6% on the PCP, while operating income rose 1% and operating expenses also rose 1%. Net interest income for the big bank rose 1% while the net interest margin was stable.

Trading ideas:

• Bell Potter has increased the 12-month price target on JB Hi-Fi (ASX:JBH) following the release of the company’s Q3 trading update including sales up 6% on the PCP, while outlook for Q4 remains strong and the company remains as one of the most productive retailers globally.
• And Trading Central has identified a bullish signal on AMP (ASX:AMP) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 50-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may rise from the close of $1.32 to the range of $1.56 to $1.62 according to standard principles of technical analysis.

Wall Street started the new trading week significantly higher as investors welcomed the temporary progress in trade talks between China and the US. The Dow Jones rose 2.81%, the S&P500 climbed 3.26% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the day up 4.35%. Shares in companies that rely on production and supply chain elements from China like Tesla, Apple and Nvidia had investors buying in on Monday with each rising over 5%.

The latest update from the China and US trade talks is that both nations have agreed to cut their respective tariffs on one another for 90-days, with tariffs on Chinese imported goods into the US to be 30% and tariffs on US good into China to be 10% for the period.

In Europe overnight, markets also closed higher in the region as global investors welcomed progress on the global trade front. The STOXX 600 rose 1.1%, Germany’s DAX climbed 0.2% to another fresh record high, the French CAC added 1.4% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day up 0.6%.

Across the APAC region on Monday, markets rallied after the US and China temporary trade deal was unveiled. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 2.98%, China’s CSI index climbed 1.16%, India’s Nifty 50 gained 3.5%, and Japan’s Nikkei ended the day up 0.38%.

Locally to start the week, the ASX200 posted a 0.03% rise to start the new trading week as weakness among pharmaceutical stocks weighed on strong gains for the big miners amid progress in talks between China and the US.

Trump’s latest pharmaceutical tariff announcement hit locally listed healthcare providers hard this week with Botanix, Neuren, Telix and Clarity all dropping over 5% on Monday. Trump’s latest move in the healthcare space is that he wants to cut the price of prescription drugs which will in-turn hurt the margins made by any pharmaceutical producer selling their treatments in the US.

As progress talks between the US and China continue to make headway, safe-haven stocks were on the chopping block yesterday as market uncertainty begins to ease. Gold stocks retreated with Evolution Mining, Northern Star Resources and Genesis Minerals each fell over 3%.

What to watch today:

• On the commodities front this morning oil is trading 1.61% higher at US$62/barrel, gold is down 2.65% at US$3236/ounce and iron ore is up 1.22% at US$99.75/tonne.
• The Aussie dollar has weakened against the greenback overnight to buy 63.70 US cents, 94.53 Japanese Yen, 48.57 British Pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 9 cents.
• Ahead of Tuesday’s trading session here in Australia the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day up 1.17% tracking global market strength overnight.

Trading Ideas:

• Bell Potter has raised the 12-month price target on REA Group (ASX:REA) from $264 to $267 and maintain a buy rating on the leading online real estate platform following the release of the company’s Q3 update including double-digit revenue growth, and strong yield growth which is set to continue amid the rate cut outlook.
• Trading Central has identified a bearish signal on Technology One (ASX:TNE) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 25-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may fall from the close of $31.62 to the range of $23.25 to $24.75 according to standard principles of technical analysis.