『Are You Retiring Into Real Life or a Spreadsheet?』のカバーアート

Are You Retiring Into Real Life or a Spreadsheet?

Are You Retiring Into Real Life or a Spreadsheet?

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概要

Most retirement plans assume the dollar is stable because it has been stable for most of our lifetimes. But stability is a period, not a guarantee. And when the measuring stick changes, the measurement changes. This episode is not about collapse or fear. It is about whether your retirement plan still works if purchasing power behaves differently over the next 10, 20, or 30 years. Many families feel the tension right now. Markets can look calm while real life still feels expensive, especially in retiree-heavy categories like insurance, healthcare, and travel.


We break down what the dollar is and what it is not. The U.S. dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency, and change typically happens at the margins, not through sudden abandonment. The dollar does not need to fail for planning assumptions to change. Then we talk about the shift most plans ignore. Since 1971, we have lived in a policy-driven purchasing power environment. That matters because retirees feel purchasing power risk first. Retirement turns income into withdrawals, withdrawals are fixed, and expenses are variable. You do not retire into an index. You retire into real life. We walk through the three risks that matter most for retired and near-retired families: purchasing power risk, sequence of returns risk, and policy risk. We also reframe the gold question and explain why forecasting the dollar is the wrong game. You do not need the right prediction. You need the right structure.

Finally, we outline the AMG planning response: separating lifestyle capital from legacy capital, layering income sources across tax treatments, stress-testing withdrawals across inflation regimes, using real assets intentionally, and coordinating investments, taxes, and distribution strategy.

The goal is not to be alarmed. The goal is to be prepared, so you can fund life with stability, regardless of what the next economic regime looks like.

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