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  • Beans, Beef, And Budget Pressure
    2025/11/04

    www.agbull.com

    Soybeans break higher while China plays its options, fertilizer refuses to blink, and cattle prices remind us how fast demand can shift. We use charts to frame solar rent math, soybean sales windows, and acreage moves that protect margin into 2026.

    • solar lease economics versus row crop revenue
    • soybean stock flexibility in China and sourcing paths
    • price pop creates disciplined selling windows for beans
    • trade aid uncertainty and cash flow planning
    • fertilizer share of revenue rising and sticky costs
    • acreage tilt toward soybeans as ratios shift
    • fall 2025 fertilizer expense outlook and procurement
    • cattle volatility, imports, and beef demand strength
    • practical risk management with spreads and scale-up sales


    Please like and subscribe @agbullmedia


    Watch Us on U-Tube AG Bull Podcast
    (105) AG Bull Podcast - YouTube

    www.agbull.com
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    E-Mail tg@agbull.com

    Thank you, Tommy G


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    14 分
  • Wiesemeyer's Perspectives | Why A Government Reopening Could Spark Ag And Trade
    2025/10/31

    www.agbull.com

    We track a likely end to the shutdown, the return of critical USDA data, and fresh China commitments that pushed soybeans out of a grinding range. Rates, tariffs, and biofuel policy collide with export flows to shape a fragile but improving demand story.

    • shutdown pressure from elections and program timing
    • partial USDA reopenings and FSA payment backlogs
    • NASS crop production and WASDE returning mid November
    • Fed uncertainty keeps dollar firm and bonds soft
    • soybean rally on China purchase floors and port relief
    • tariff tweaks, rare earth delay, and export logistics
    • $13bn CCC shift toward trade aid and formula impacts
    • biofuels, RFS volumes, and 45Z as domestic demand engine
    • cattle volatility, Argentine beef optics, and sticky retail prices
    • FMC slide as a warning for inputs and LATAM credit
    • basis improvements at PNW and NOLA as demand signal

    Subscribe at www.agbull.com for alerts, morning emails, and Wiesemeyer Intel. “Drop a comment: What can we do better? What would you like to see more of?”


    Please like and subscribe @agbullmedia

    The Ag Bull website is Live www.agbull.com


    Watch Us on U-Tube AG Bull Podcast
    (105) AG Bull Podcast - YouTube

    www.agbull.com
    AG BULL Media


    E-Mail tg@agbull.com

    Thank you, Tommy G


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    33 分
  • Wiesemeyer's Perspectives | Beef, Tariffs, And A Wrecking Ball Walk Into Washington
    2025/10/24

    www.agbull.com

    We walk through a volatile week where shutdown politics, CPI relief, and global trade headlines moved cattle limit down while grains firmed. From Argentina beef optics to a possible Trump–Xi meeting, we connect DC decisions to cash flow, price risk, and the week ahead.

    • shutdown timing linked to ACA premium hikes and party leverage
    • partial FSA reopening and roughly 3bn dollars in payments to producers
    • CPI at 3 percent yoy, equities rally, odds of another Fed cut rise
    • beef inflation stubborn, cattle limit-down driven by optics and fear
    • Argentina imports small in scale versus US consumption
    • screwworm controls, Mexico cattle border reopening scenarios
    • trade cards: 301 probe on China, soy and sorghum deliverables
    • Canada talks pause, Japan signals added US commodity buys
    • Brazil tariffs, coffee prices, and hamburger flows
    • API withdraws support for year-round E15 and seeks reforms
    • Senate hearing on seed and fertilizer market power and history
    • market highs, debt surge, and risks from congressional dysfunction

    Trading futures and options involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.


    Please like and subscribe @agbullmedia

    The Ag Bull website is Live www.agbull.com


    Watch Us on U-Tube AG Bull Podcast
    (105) AG Bull Podcast - YouTube

    www.agbull.com
    AG BULL Media


    E-Mail tg@agbull.com

    Thank you, Tommy G


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    42 分
  • AEI.Ag | Corn Or Soybeans? The 2026 Acreage Battle
    2025/10/19

    www.agbull.com

    We break down why cash rent outperforms in booms but lags in lean years, and how flex and share contracts shift risk when margins tighten. We map the corn–soybean tilt across regions, unpack China’s stockpiles, and set a practical plan for selling into strength amid missing reports.

    • cash rent versus flex and share in lean and boom years
    • why averages mislead when planning risk
    • regional yield and price ratios steering corn or soybeans
    • $150-per-acre swing from local assumptions
    • China’s grain stockpiles and trade war shifts
    • rallying beans, weaker export signals, tighter basis
    • navigating uncertainty without key reports
    • AEI’s data-led strategies for 2025–2026
    • long-run demand from income growth and energy uses

    For the charts mentioned, email: tg@agbull.com or contact AEI at AEI.ag


    Please like and subscribe @agbullmedia


    Watch Us on U-Tube AG Bull Podcast
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    www.agbull.com
    AG BULL Media


    E-Mail tg@agbull.com

    Thank you, Tommy G


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    16 分
  • Wiesemeyer's Perspectives | How Trump’s Beef Plan & China Moves Rattle Markets
    2025/10/17

    www.agbull.com

    We unpack Trump’s push to cool beef prices, the market’s limit-down reaction in feeder cattle, and how policy headlines are whipsawing cash and futures. We track ripple effects from talk of banning Chinese used cooking oil, Argentina’s reemergence in trade flows, and the cash-first logic behind ADM’s free DP on soybeans.

    • options floated to temper beef prices and why cattle producers resist
    • volatility from policy signaling, tweets, and import adjustments
    • used cooking oil import talk and renewable diesel feedstock shifts
    • Argentina currency backstops and meat quota implications
    • soybean crush strategy in South America and delayed 45Z clarity
    • basis strength, convergence mechanics, and cash flow priorities
    • free DP as a signal of physical tightness, not a trick
    • rate outlook into 2026 and potential China soybean “deliverables”
    • shutdown impact on reports, CPI priority, and USDA timing
    • land values supported by investors and solar leases
    • bridge aid, reciprocity in trade, and farmer margins under pressure

    Subscribe for updates and premium alerts at Ag Bull Media. Contact: 1-855-737-FARM. “Wiesemeyer’s Perspectives is always free.”


    Please like and subscribe @agbullmedia


    Watch Us on U-Tube AG Bull Podcast
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    www.agbull.com
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    E-Mail tg@agbull.com

    Thank you, Tommy G


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    47 分
  • Fat Tuesday | Trump says he can lower Beef prices!
    2025/10/17

    www.agbull.com

    We walk through a fast-moving cattle market as futures flip to a premium over cash, spreads widen, and feeders gain leverage to push bids or wait. We also weigh packer margins, rising carcass weights, retail features, and why alternative meats are losing steam.

    • Futures premium over cash reshapes feeder incentives
    • October–December spread widens and implies stronger mid‑November values
    • Government shutdown delays key data and clouds signals
    • Carcass weights climb toward records and lift beef tonnage
    • Quality grading improves with longer days on feed
    • Packer margins turn negative and risk slaughter cuts
    • Retail features drive meat case movement and pricing
    • Alternative meats struggle against price and clean label trends
    • Structural tight supplies favor firm beef prices into 2026

    If you enjoy this podcast, well, good news. If you're a client of mine, client of Mike's friend of Nesvik, you'll get it for free. But moving forward in the months to come, you're gonna have to join premium www.agbull.com. We hope to see you on the premium side.


    Please like and subscribe @agbullmedia


    Watch Us on U-Tube AG Bull Podcast
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    www.agbull.com
    AG BULL Media


    E-Mail tg@agbull.com

    Thank you, Tommy G


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    24 分
  • Cary Artac | Corn, Amazon, Bitcoin | Wicked Charts
    2025/10/16

    www.agbull.com

    We map the weekly levels that could steer Amazon, corn futures, and Bitcoin over the next few months, with clear lines, timelines, and trade scenarios. We keep it simple: respect the weekly close, define risk at support and resistance, and let price confirm the plan.

    • Amazon’s ceiling at 237.68–242.52 with 266 long-term channel target if broken
    • 215.29 as buyable support; 191.36 as Fibonacci objective on breakdown
    • Options framing for two to three month and six to twelve month horizons
    • Corn’s descending channel top at 428.25; 406.00 as down pivot
    • 385.00 as likely target on a weekly close below 406.00
    • 481.00 as long-term trend identifier turning 2026 bullish if cleared
    • Bitcoin’s rising channel bottom at 108,565; 122,433 as near-term cap
    • Breakdown path into the mid to upper 80s on settlement below 108,565
    • Cross-asset read-through for SPX and NDX from Amazon and Bitcoin signals
    • Where to find daily and weekly research and free resources


    Search Wicked Stocks on YouTube for daily NVIDIA, daily Tesla, weekly Bitcoin, and Mag 7
    Go to wickedstocks.com for a five-day free trial with SPY, QQQ, Apple, and two stock picks every week.



    Please like and subscribe @agbullmedia


    Watch Us on U-Tube AG Bull Podcast
    (105) AG Bull Podcast - YouTube

    www.agbull.com
    AG BULL Media


    E-Mail tg@agbull.com

    Thank you, Tommy G


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    11 分
  • Jed Sidwell | Volatility in Cattle Live from OK State
    2025/10/15

    www.agbull.com

    We sit down with Jed Sidwell, an Oklahoma State senior and lifelong cattle hand, to unpack why cattle keep climbing, how cheap corn props up feeders, and why headlines from metals to screw worm can jolt prices. Jed shares a clear, calm view of animal health risks, the reality of hedging when markets run, and why direct ties to consumers make this a rare window for ag.

    • background in custom forage, feedyards, and show stock
    • lessons from a Nashville brokerage and Series 3
    • metals rally, inflation talk, and job market links
    • corn’s signal for desk activity and risk appetite
    • campus free-speech moments and processing public loss
    • cattle highs, feeder margins, and timing hedges
    • screw worm basics, treatment, and market psychology
    • tools and protocols that keep health risks contained
    • student podcast access and learning resources
    • optimism about direct-to-consumer and ag education

    Click like and subscribe

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    Please like and subscribe @agbullmedia


    Watch Us on U-Tube AG Bull Podcast
    (105) AG Bull Podcast - YouTube

    www.agbull.com
    AG BULL Media


    E-Mail tg@agbull.com

    Thank you, Tommy G


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    31 分