#348 - How Far Will Australian Property Prices Fall/Collapse? (Based on History)
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In this new episode, Lloyd breaks down why Australian property prices are already slipping and what history suggests could happen next.
You’ll hear:
◼️ How clearance rates signal the first stage of a downturn
◼️ The impact of tax changes, interest rates and borrowing capacity
◼️ What global markets show about 20–40% corrections
◼️ Why immigration and supply constraints may soften the fall
◼️ What buyers, owners and investors should do in this cycle
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Introduction
00:00:24 Why property prices are already falling
00:01:11 How to read market cycles and history
00:02:56 Auction clearance rates collapsing
00:04:45 Tax changes and investor uncertainty
00:06:52 Interest rates, borrowing capacity and macro factors
00:08:49 Immigration, supply constraints and price floors
00:09:56 Long‑term returns: shares vs property
00:12:31 Reversion to the mean explained
00:13:44 Global examples of 20–40% corrections
00:15:24 Early signs of Australia’s correction
00:16:20 Key factors driving the downturn
00:17:12 Likely correction range: 10–20% (30% possible)
00:18:21 What buyers should do now
00:20:28 Guidance for owners and investors
00:22:39 Long‑term outlook for Australian property
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DISCLAIMER
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. This is not financial, investment, or legal advice. Investing carries inherent risks including potential loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Individual results vary based on market conditions, personal circumstances, and investment strategy.