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He Should Have Died: How One Man Survived 6 Days in 52°F Water

He Should Have Died: How One Man Survived 6 Days in 52°F Water

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He Should Have Died: How One Man Survived 6 Days in 52°F Water

Cold water kills fast: one to three hours is the expected window for incapacitation at 52°F, yet Richard Stroud spent 144 hours afloat in the North Pacific without a wetsuit, radio, or beacon. What kept him alive, and why were rescuers searching the wrong ocean?

In this episode, we tell the sequence of events from the moment debris was sighted on June 4, 2011 to the call that reopened the case on June 8, 2011, following the clues that led to Richard’s unexpected survival and the search errors that let him slip past prediction. How did currents, a scratched message, and one man's preparation change everything?

Person: Richard Stroud
Date: June 4-10, 2011
Location: North Pacific off Tillamook Bay / Garibaldi, Oregon
Water temperature: 52°F
Boat: Patience (15-foot daysailer)

- Richard Stroud was in the water for 144 hours (six days) with no wetsuit, emergency radio, or rescue beacon.
- The initial debris report from the fishing vessel Carla B came at approximately 6:15 PM on June 4, 2011, eleven miles northwest of Cape Meares.
- Standard drift models predicted a northeast drift, but a strong upwelling in June 2011 produced a south-southeast counter-current that the model did not account for.
- The Coast Guard search ran box searches starting before midnight on June 4 and again through June 5, then was suspended over twelve hours before Barbara Ells called on June 8.
- On day four, Richard scratched a clue into fiberglass with a belt buckle that later turned up 1.5 miles inland in a yard of a man who never read it.

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