Crypto Market Downturn: Bitcoin Struggles, Derivative Shifts, and Evolving Consumer Trends
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概要
In the past 48 hours, derivatives markets show bearish shifts, with Bitcoin futures open interest sliding from 19 billion to 16 billion dollars over the prior week, funding rates turning neutral-to-negative, and 397 million dollars in 24-hour liquidations split evenly between longs and shorts[1]. Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows in early February after 54 billion dollars in inflows from 2024-2025, contrasting with gold ETFs gaining 19 billion dollars in January amid risk-off sentiment[6].
No major new deals, partnerships, or regulatory changes emerged in the last two days, though Rainbow Wallets RNBW token launch last week tumbled 75 percent to 0.025 dollars before recovering slightly to 0.031 dollars due to infrastructure issues[1]. Stablecoin trends point to growing onramps and payments integration, with 46 trillion dollars in volume last year outpacing Visa and nearing ACH levels, signaling shifts toward utility over speculation[4].
Consumer behavior is evolving, particularly in UK entertainment and retail, where users favor crypto for privacy, speed, and low fees in iGaming and shopping[2]. Industry leaders like Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan note ETF outflows decelerating near 200 million dollars, potentially signaling an inflection point despite 50-52 percent Bitcoin retraces from peaks, less severe than 77-85 percent in prior bears[5].
Compared to last weeks steeper drops, current stabilization suggests exhaustion, but mining faces 2028 halving risks with rising energy costs from AI competition[6]. Overall, the industry braces for deeper bear phases amid cooled institutional demand[1][5].
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