A generator hums, dragging life into a street that shouldn’t need it. Kids kick a tattered ball, their laughter sharp, brittle against the heat, carried over the scent of diesel and frying arepas. Bolívar stares down from a mural, paint peeling, eyes split like the city itself. Lines curl around the corner for fuel, people shifting on cracked sidewalks, umbrellas doing double duty against the sun and the dust. The air is thick with waiting, impatience barely held in check, and even the dogs move slowly, like they know something’s off. Not war. Not yet. Just a country pretending the ground isn’t sliding out from under it, every heartbeat a quiet act of defiance.

This is the Venezuela that rarely makes headlines anymore. The collapse did not happen in an explosion. It happened in exhaustion. Currency that loses value by the hour. Hospitals overwhelmed not by war wounds but by neglect. Politicians who shake hands on television while militias patrol the outskirts after dark. And beneath it all, a quiet resentment that is starting to find direction.

The United States feels the pull whether it wants to or not. A flood of migrants crossing borders into Latin America and the Caribbean, putting pressure on nations that don’t need another crisis to worry about. Cartels and foreign powers carving influence in a region once considered firmly within Washington’s orbit. Oil reserves that still tempt, even after decades of mismanagement. And a government in Caracas that believes survival justifies any bargain, any ally, any escalation.

This is not a story about good intentions or bad actors. It is about a moment when desperation meets geopolitics. When a collapsing state starts creating consequences far beyond its borders. When the United States realizes that distance is not the same thing as insulation.

Today we dive into the questions nobody wants to say out loud: will the United States go to war with Venezuela, and what went wrong inside Venezuela to bring us to this moment?

Because if you think war sounds unthinkable now, living with a failed state Venezuela may be a more difficult choice.

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Further Reading

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/venezuela-crisis

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/venezuela/grand-bargain-venezuela

https://monthlyreview.org/articles/venezuelas-fragile-revolution/

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